Atlanta hasn't performed well against left-handed pitching on the road this season, batting just .232 as a team. Zac Thornton has pitched only 23.1 innings in his major league career and may lack the experience needed to navigate the depth of the Braves' lineup. Martin Pérez has pitched well this season, posting a 3.38 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Yes, this game is essentially a coin flip, but despite Atlanta's limited success against left-handers, New York has been even worse, hitting just .222 at home against them. The absence of Juan Soto also hurts an already struggling Mets offense.

DraftKings. The Mets have to like what they’ve seen so far from Zac Thornton - the rookie is pitching to a 1.93 ERA, while only allowing 14 hits in 23.1 innings. Even if he’s pegged as the dreaded “regression candidate” with a .251 xBA compared to his .175 actual average allowed, the lefty has a great matchup on his hands tonight. The Braves have really struggled against southpaws, only hitting .226 since May 1st, and .215 over the last 30 days. Thornton, despite his success, is on a tighter leash due to workload restrictions.