SMU has yet to fully click on both sides of the ball, but we think this is a good matchup for them against Stanford. SMU's offense at home so far this season is not too far off of what they did last season when they averaged 40 PPG at home. It's their defense and road offense that have been the problem. Stanford allowed 48 points to UVA in its lone ACC road game so far this season and allowed 38 PPG on the road last season. This is a game that SMU could use to get right, and while the Mustangs have two losses, neither of those were conference losses.

Although this same bet didn't hit for us last week vs. Boise State, we are going back to Notre Dame team total again this weekend. Considering their 4 takeaways last week, Notre Dame likely should've scored more than 42 points against Boise State. NC State QB CJ Bailey is very talented but has struggled with INTs. We think ND should be able to turn more of their forced TOs into touchdowns in this game as well as hit on more explosive plays on offense.

This is a tough spot for Iowa State, who had to play at Cincinnati last week and now has to travel to Colorado. The change in altitude won't help, but what will help is playing a Colorado team that is banged up. We simply trust Rocco Becht in this game more than we trust Kaidon Salter.

Auburn went just 1-3 at home in SEC games last season, and this is their first SEC home game this season. Despite Tennessee and Alabama's offenses having success against Georgia, we don't like Auburn's chances of putting up big numbers because Georgia's run defense was still strong in both games, and we don't trust Jackson Arnold to have a big game passing the ball. Georgia already has 1 SEC loss this season, and Kirby Smart will have them playing with urgency going forward.

We have been high on Missouri all year, and while we think Alabama is a top-5 team, the Crimson Tide are just 3-5 on the road since last season. Mizzou is 11-0 in FBS home games since last season, and while we would favor Alabama on a neutral field, the home field advantage is enough for us to slightly favor Missouri. We think Missouri will be able to run the ball against Alabama's defense, which has yet to live up to its preseason expectations. The 3.5 line also offers some insurance at a key number if Mizzou loses by a field goal.

Will Smith is just 1-7 with a single and 4 Ks in his career against Cristopher Sanchez. Smith hit just .143 in 16 post season games last year, including just 1-11 against LHPs. Smith struggled in the month of August, hitting just .159 in 22 games, and the under 1.5 TBs has hit in 14 of 20 games headed into today.

This is another longshot play, but this is the best HR value in CHC-MIL tonight. The weather is going to be pitcher friendly like it was yesterday, but there were still several HRs hit in yesterday's game. Contreras is 5-10 with a HR and 0 Ks in his career against Matthew Boyd. When factoring in the weather, we set Contreras' line at +540 to hit a homer today.

This is a strong line with the consensus line being around +110 for Trea Turner to score a run. We set the line at around -120 for Turner to score a run today. Turner is hitting .323 against LHPs this season, and his ability to steal bases puts him in a strong spot to get into scoring position. This is a must win game for Philadelphia who dropped Game 1 at home to the Dodgers, and they will need their star SS to have a big game.

Blake Snell struck out 12 Phillies batters when these two teams faced off less than a month ago, but this game has different circumstances with it being a road playoff game for Snell. It is telling how patient the Phillies are with Snell's walks allowed line at 2.5. Snell could be mowing down hitters but getting in to deep counts and walking a few guys, which could limit how deep he goes tonight. We have Snell at 7 Ks, so not a bad performance, but the values is on the under which has hit in each of his last 3 road starts.

Aaron Ashby faced the Cubs in the first game of the series and was strong in 1.1 IP of work. We are assuming that Ashby's outing tonight will be a similar length, and we have him with just over 1 hit allowed. The top of the Cubs' lineup is loaded with left-handed bats (PCA, Busch, Tucker), so going with a LHP opener makes a ton of sense here. Ashby has allowed 1 or fewer hits in 30 of his 44 appearances this season.

Jameson Taillon is 17-6 on the over this season, including 8-2 in his last 10 starts. Taillon faced the Padres earlier this season and allowed 1 walk in 5.1 innings pitched.

Parker Meadows has just 4 hits and 1 run scored in his last 10 games played. He has gone under 0.5 run scored in 17 of his last 20 games played, and we would set his line at -245 to not score a run.

Giancarlo Stanton has struggled in his first two games this postseason, but he has strong career playoff numbers and was swinging a hot bat before this series. Stanton has 18 HRs in 43 career postseason games. Red Sox SP Connelly Early hasn't allowed a HR in his first 4 starts and the weather in NY is pitcher friendly, but Stanton has a .951 career OPS against left-handed pitchers, and the weather doesn't matter much if Stanton connects with the ball. DK is offering +414, which is a strong price compared to the +323 consensus odds. We set the line around +330 when factoring in the weather.

We are going with the "he's due" approach. Carlos Rodon has gone under in his last 4 starts, but before that the over hit in 7 consecutive starts. The over is 3-0 this season when Rodon faces the Red Sox and 5-1 since last year when Rodon faces the Red Sox. Boston walked 3 times yesterday against Max Fried, and look for the Red Sox to have a patient approach against Rodon as they try to get to the Yankees' bullpen which struggled last night.

This line is lower than you would expect because this game is a win or be eliminated game for the Guardians. If Bibee gets in to trouble, he won't have a long leash, but we still like the value here. This is Bibee's third consecutive start facing the Detroit Tigers, and he allowed 5 and 4 hits in the previous two. The over is 18-2 in his last 20 games including 9-1 in the last 10 games.