George Springer, one of MLB's biggest All-Star snubs, is off to a hot start with 5 home runs in his last 10 games. He's up to 16 HRs and an .869 OPS this season—an impressive jump from last year's .674 OPS and 19 HRs. Jacob Lopez has struggled recently, allowing 7 earned runs in 7.2 innings over his last two starts. Right-handed batters have hit 7 of the 8 home runs Lopez has allowed and have a .772 OPS against him. We set Springer's line at +314 to homer today.

James Wood is in a bit of a slump this week, but this matchup presents a good opportunity to bounce back. He has a .931 OPS and 15 home runs this season against right-handed pitchers. Brandon Woodruff was sharp in his first start back from Tommy John surgery, allowing just 1 ER with 8 strikeouts, but his velocity was down. That's often a sign of potential regression, especially for a pitcher returning after two years. We set Wood's line at +295 to homer today.

Corey Seager enters today's game with multi-hit performances in four straight games and has hit 6 of his 13 home runs over the last two weeks. He owns an .889 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season. While Lance McCullers has been more effective against lefties, Seager's current form makes this a favorable spot regardless of the pitcher's splits. We set Seager's line at +320 to go deep.

Seiya Suzuki has already set a career high with 25 home runs this season and has been particularly effective against left-handed pitching, posting a .960 OPS. Carlos Rodón is having a strong season overall, but he's been prone to giving up the long ball—15 HRs allowed so far, with 11 of those coming off the bats of right-handed hitters. Righties also have an OPS over 100 points higher than lefties against Rodón. We set Suzuki's line at +358 to homer.

The model likes this matchup for Wyatt Langford against Jack Kochanowicz. Langford is a streaky hitter and is coming off back-to-back two-hit games, making this a good time to buy in. Angel Stadium is playing as the 4th most HR-friendly park this season, and Kochanowicz has struggled there, allowing opponents to hit .310. We set Langford's line at +365 to homer.

Jonathan Aranda is swinging a hot bat, going 9-for-17 (.529) with a home run over his last 4 games. He's 2-for-4 in his career against Walker Buehler with a home run and a single. Buehler has struggled against left-handed hitters this season, allowing a .333 average and a .904 OPS. Aranda, meanwhile, has a .944 OPS against right-handed pitchers. With favorable splits and recent form, we set Aranda's line at +460 to homer.

Wilyer Abreu is swinging a hot bat with 4 multi-hit games and 4 home runs over his last 7 games played. He's up to 17 home runs on the season—16 of them against right-handed pitchers. Rockies SP Antonio Senzatela leads the league in both hits allowed and losses (12), making him highly susceptible to hard contact. With Abreu's current form and favorable matchup, we set his line at +320 to homer.

Jazz Chisholm has been a completely different hitter at Yankee Stadium, where he's hitting .310 with 11 home runs compared to just .172 with 4 HRs on the road. The short porch in right field certainly helps. He's hit 14 of his 15 home runs against right-handed pitchers and faces rookie RHP Logan Evans today. Evans has struggled on the road, allowing a .330 average and .917 OPS in 4 starts away from home. We set Chisholm's line at +325 to homer.

Kyle Schwarber launched a home run into McCovey Cove yesterday, and we like his chances to go deep again today. He's 2-9 with a home run in his career against Justin Verlander. While Verlander has only allowed 1 HR over the past month, opponents are hitting .308 against him in that span. Schwarber's power makes him a threat anytime he squares one up. We set the line at +322 for Schwarber to homer.

Corey Seager is starting to heat up, now with 5 home runs in his last 10 games after going deep yesterday. He has an .866 OPS vs. right-handed pitchers compared to just .682 vs. lefties, and he's facing RHP José Soriano, against whom he's 4-5 with a home run in his career. Soriano has allowed just 4 HRs this season, but left-handed hitters are batting .268 against him. With Seager's recent power surge and past success against Soriano, we like this play at +425. We set the line at +355.

Getting Wood at +540 is good value. He has a .964 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season. While Sonny Gray has been very good overall, he's not immune to giving up home runs. Wood is just 1-5 with a single and three strikeouts against Gray, who is tough on lefties, but the +540 price is too good to pass up. We set the line at +415 for Wood to go deep.

Junior Caminero has hit 16 of his 21 home runs this season against right-handed pitchers and faces RHP Jack Flaherty, who has struggled mightily of late. Despite Detroit's strong record, Flaherty is just 5-9 and has a 10.50 ERA over his last 4 starts, allowing 5 home runs in that span. This is a favorable matchup for Caminero, and we set his line at +340 to homer.

Landen Roupp doesn't allow many home runs, but anytime you can get Kyle Schwarber at this price, our model sees value. Schwarber has 27 home runs in 90 games this season. While he's dominated lefties this year, he's historically been stronger against right-handed pitching, with a career .521 slugging percentage. We set Schwarber's line at +350 to go deep.

Riley Greene has 3 career plate appearances against Shane Baz and is 2-2 with a home run, a single, and a walk. He's hit 22 home runs this season—21 of them against right-handed pitchers—while batting .311 with a .991 OPS in those matchups. Baz has allowed 16 home runs in 17 starts this season. While he's actually been better against left-handed hitters, Greene's strong splits and success against Baz make this a worthwhile play. We set Greene's line at +370 to homer.

Bobby Witt enters today's game on a 9-game hitting streak, including 4 multi-hit games, though he hasn't shown much power this season with just 11 home runs. After back-to-back 30-HR seasons in 2023 and 2024, we expect some positive regression in the power department. He faces Anthony DeSclafani, a pitcher who has bounced between the majors and minors and has been prone to giving up home runs. We set Witt's line at +385 to go deep.