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Sun, May 1011:30 pm UTCTarget Center
San Antonio
Spurs
SA
Last 5 ATS
W/L74-31
ATS60-45
O/U49-56-0
FINAL SCORE
109
-
114
Minnesota
Timberwolves
MIN
Last 5 ATS
W/L55-39
ATS43-51
O/U44-50-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
74-31
Win /Loss
55-39
60-45
Spread
43-51
49-56-0
Over / Under
44-50-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
SA @ MIN
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
SA @ MIN
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OVER / UNDER
SA @ MIN
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70%
PUBLIC
27%
MONEY
73%
PUBLIC
27%
MONEY
Over87%
PUBLIC
Under13%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
PTS + AST + REBJulius Randle Under 28.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -120
WIN
Unit1.0
+1342
39-23 Last 62 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

B365/MGM. With Anthony Edwards re-entering the starting lineup, and looking healthier each game, this reads as a good spot to fade Julius Randle. The matchup doesn’t bode well as for Randle, who thrives when he can get to the basket - a very hard task against the Spurs. And the typical playoff minutes bump is not guaranteed for Randle, as the Naz Reid-Rudy Gobert pairing has proved to be the better front court matchup in this series. I’d take this down to under 27.5, as his usage (24% in Game 2, 21% in Game 3, is trending in the wrong direction).

Pick Made: May 10, 10:55 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
ReboundsVictor Wembanyama Over 12.5 Total Rebounds -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1342
39-23 Last 62 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. Victor Wembanyama has exactly 15 rebounds in each game this series, averaging 21.7 rebound chances per contest. It’s a great matchup for the Frenchman, as he’s tasked guarding his countryman, Rudy Gobert, who does not pose much of an offensive threat. Free to roam around the bucket and crash, Wemby has thrived cleaning this glass this series. I don’t see that changing in Game 4.

Pick Made: May 10, 10:15 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PTS + AST + REBJulius Randle Under 29.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -123
WIN
Unit1.0
+1993
145-105 Last 250 NBA Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

The Timberwolves are finally looking better in the health department after Anthony Edwards played 41 minutes and Ayo Dosunmu logged 32 minutes in Game 3. Randle was quiet in the loss, posting 12 points, six rebounds and no assists. In two of the three games in this series with the Spurs, he has produced fewer than 20 combined points, rebounds and assists. During the Timberwolves playoff run, he has 29 or fewer combined points, rebounds and assists in six of nine games. With how the Spurs can lock down the paint and control the glass, I like Randle to hit this under.

Pick Made: May 10, 12:41 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
PointsTerrence Shannon Jr. Over 7.5 Total Points -130
WIN
Unit1.0
+1776
96-65 Last 161 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

Three key Timberwolves -- Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid and Ayo Dosunmo -- played major minutes Friday despite their injuries. Someone else needs to step up Sunday, and 25-year-old Terrence Shannon Jr. is a great candidate. He was plus-19 in Game 3, making solid contributions despite scoring five points on 2-of-6 shooting. Shannon had scored 12-plus points in the four previous playoff games. With Chris Finch shortening his rotation, Shannon should have enough opportunities to score at least eight points in Game 4.

Pick Made: May 10, 3:51 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

San Antonio Spurs
Tuesday, Jun 16, 2026
Avatar
SF
David Jones
AnkleOut
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sunday, Apr 26, 2026
Avatar
SG
Donte DiVincenzo
AchillesOut
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