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B365/MGM. With Anthony Edwards re-entering the starting lineup, and looking healthier each game, this reads as a good spot to fade Julius Randle. The matchup doesn’t bode well as for Randle, who thrives when he can get to the basket - a very hard task against the Spurs. And the typical playoff minutes bump is not guaranteed for Randle, as the Naz Reid-Rudy Gobert pairing has proved to be the better front court matchup in this series. I’d take this down to under 27.5, as his usage (24% in Game 2, 21% in Game 3, is trending in the wrong direction).

FanDuel. Victor Wembanyama has exactly 15 rebounds in each game this series, averaging 21.7 rebound chances per contest. It’s a great matchup for the Frenchman, as he’s tasked guarding his countryman, Rudy Gobert, who does not pose much of an offensive threat. Free to roam around the bucket and crash, Wemby has thrived cleaning this glass this series. I don’t see that changing in Game 4.

The Timberwolves are finally looking better in the health department after Anthony Edwards played 41 minutes and Ayo Dosunmu logged 32 minutes in Game 3. Randle was quiet in the loss, posting 12 points, six rebounds and no assists. In two of the three games in this series with the Spurs, he has produced fewer than 20 combined points, rebounds and assists. During the Timberwolves playoff run, he has 29 or fewer combined points, rebounds and assists in six of nine games. With how the Spurs can lock down the paint and control the glass, I like Randle to hit this under.

Three key Timberwolves -- Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid and Ayo Dosunmo -- played major minutes Friday despite their injuries. Someone else needs to step up Sunday, and 25-year-old Terrence Shannon Jr. is a great candidate. He was plus-19 in Game 3, making solid contributions despite scoring five points on 2-of-6 shooting. Shannon had scored 12-plus points in the four previous playoff games. With Chris Finch shortening his rotation, Shannon should have enough opportunities to score at least eight points in Game 4.
Team Injuries




