Tyler Herro went 7 of 17 from deep in the first two games of this series, then 1 of 3 in the Game 3 blowout loss. With the series decided and the Heat's only goal being respectability, I'm expecting Herro to let it fly from deep. I'm also expecting a little less defensive intensity from Cleveland. Herro went 8 of 17 in Miami's two play-in games, so Game 3 was an anomaly in terms of volume.

Kristaps Porzingis got to the free-throw line 14 times in Game 2 en route to scoring 20 points. Aside from that, Porzingis has taken a back seat offensively to Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Derrick White. We have a low total of 199.5 and a slow-paced rock fight is expected.

The Lakers are playing their big four (Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Austin Reaves and Rui Hachimura) a ton of minutes and I expect that to continue in a crucial Game 4. Austin Reaves has cleared this prop total in two straight, registering 11 and 10 combined rebounds and assists. He also cleared it in all three regular-season meetings with Minnesota. I'd still play this Over 9.5 at plus-money.

Cade Cunningham wasn't aggressive enough in Game 3, as he shot just three free throws. And he missed 15 of his 25 field-goal attempts. But the main thing is that his volume continues to be there. He has taken 21, 21 and 25 shots while playing 39, 42 and 42 minutes. After two full days of rest, and facing a virtual must-win, look for the Pistons to play Cunningham 40 to 44 minutes. Expect Cunningham to get to the foul line more often and score at least 28.

The Pacers have outscored the Bucks by 33 points with Andrew Nembhard on the floor. That's the best plus-minus of any Indiana player. Assuming we get a competitive game, Nembhard should play at least 30 minutes. He's put up 26 combined points, assists and rebounds in each of the first two games. We have a relatively high total of 230.5, so the opportunities should be there.

Malik Beasley has lit up the Knicks from beyond the arc this season, three times making at least six treys. He's coming off a 1-of-8 performance at Madison Square Garden. I like him to bounce back at home in Game 3, especially because this game comes right after he was snubbed for Sixth Man of the Year. The Pistons are using a short rotation in the playoffs with Beasley getting 35 and 30 minutes in the first two games. For the season, New York allows the fifth-best percentage from beyond the arc (36.6 percent) and is even worse on the road (37.6 percent).

The Magic are desperate for production behind Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner, and Anthony Black is a good candidate to supply it. He scored 13-plus points in eight of Orlando's final 15 games. The 6-7 guard barely played in last year's postseason, so it was understandable he made little impact in Game 1 in Boston. He played just 14 minutes. But with the way Black scored at the end of the regular season, and with his ability to defend at a high level, expect him to to have a much bigger role Wednesday. I also like that Orlando coach Jamahl Mosley wants his team to push the pace more.

Austin Reaves was hard on himself following the Lakers' Game 1 loss, and I like him to respond in a big way Tuesday. LA needs production from someone besides Luka Doncic, and Reaves is the obvious choice. He'll play 35-40 minutes. He continues to shoot it well from beyond the arc. In April, Reaves shot an eye-popping 52.9 percent drom deep.

Ivica Zubac is indispensable in this series, because the Clippers need him on the floor to have any chance of slowing down Nikola Jokic. Zubac grabbed 13 rebounds in Game 1 (none in overtime) and I like him to corral at least 12 in Game 2. Zubac is playing monster minutes in every competitive game the Clippers have had recently. LA is not bringing any centers off the bench. Several books have moved this prop to 12.5. If you can find that at -115 or better, I'm good with that too for half a unit.

Josh Hart played just 30 minutes in Game 1 after getting into early trouble. He went scoreless in his foul-plagued first half before erupting for 13 points after halftime and finishing with a plus-20 margin. This number has dipped to 11.5 at MGM, but I would still play half a unit Over 12.5 at a cheap price. Hart should play more minutes Monday -- he played monster minutes in last year's postseason -- and he will have space to operate. Detroit is using rim defender Jalen Duren on him as the Pistons can't afford to leave any other Knick open on the perimeter.

Kevon Looney’s minutes vary drastically depending on the matchup. Houston is a matchup in which Looney is needed. He averaged 8.5 rebounds in four games against the Rockets this season, notching at least seven boards each time. I bet him to grab at least five in Game 1.

The Pistons acquired Dennis Schroder in February to help compensate for Jaden Ivey's absence. Since then he's become an increasingly important player for them. Schroder averaged 18.9 minutes in February, 25.3 minutes in March and 32 minutes in April. He has cleared this prop total in 17 of his last 19 games. The Knicks give up the fifth-most points to opposing point guards. Schroder not only backs up Cade Cunningham, he plays alongside him. Even if his minutes dip slightly due to Cunningham getting a monster workload, I still like Schroder to score at least eight points.

Tyler Herro is shooting 44.4 percent from deep this month, and I bet him to make at least three 3-pointers in Friday's win-or-go-home game at Atlanta. Herro faced the Hawks four times this season: Three times he buried four 3-pointers, and in the other game he went 0 for 9 from beyond the arc. That horrific shooting performance came, however, on the second night of a road back-to-back. Herro had played 40 minutes the previous night in Milwaukee, then the Heat flew to Atlanta. The Hawks allow opponents to make 37.6 percent of their 3-point tries, third-worst in the NBA. Herro played 37 minutes in the Heat's 109-90 win over the Bulls on Wednesday. Assuming this game is close, he could play 40 minutes.

Even with Anthony Davis and Dereck Lively II starting, Daniel Gafford should get about 20 minutes. That's exactly how many Gafford received in the most recent game in which all three played, last Friday's win over Toronto. With the Kings bringing Jonas Valanciunas off the bench, the Mavs need Gafford to match up. Gafford has cleared this prop total in 18 of his last 19 games. I believe we're getting a discount because Gafford managed only three rebounds in 10 minutes vs. Sacramento on Feb. 10. That was an outlier as Kessler Edwards and Olivier-Maxence Prosper combined to play 60 minutes. Neither will play Wednesday. I'm also fine playing this Over 5.5 at plus money.

Grizzlies rookie Zach Edey has seen his minutes increase significantly under interim coach Tuomas Iisalo, who loves Edey's relentlessness on the glass and the way his screens free up Memphis' scorers. Edey faced the Warriors on April 1 and grabbed 16 rebounds in 32 minutes. He played well against Golden State in two other games this season, too. Edey's minutes also have risen due to Brandon Clarke's season-ending injury. In six April games, Edey has averaged 15.7 rebounds. With the Warriors giving up the third-most rebounds to opposing centers, I bet Edey to grab 11 or more rebounds in Tuesday's play-in game.