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    Tue, Oct 1012:15 am UTCAllegiant Stadium
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Green Bay
    Packers
    GB
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L9-8
    ATS9-8
    O/U10-7-0
    FINAL SCORE
    13
    -
    17
    Las Vegas
    Raiders
    LV
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L8-9
    ATS10-6
    O/U6-11-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    9-8
    Win /Loss
    8-9
    9-8
    Spread
    10-6
    10-7-0
    Over / Under
    6-11-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    OT
    Avatar
    CB
    Avatar
    DE
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    OT
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    GB @ LV
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    GB @ LV
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    GB @ LV
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    42%
    PUBLIC
    58%
    MONEY
    67%
    PUBLIC
    33%
    MONEY
    Over59%
    PUBLIC
    Under41%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Money LineGreen Bay +100
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +907
    19-9 in Last 28 NFL Picks
    +85
    3-2 in Last 5 NFL ML Picks
    Bob's Analysis:

    No Aaron Jones tonight for Green Bay. However, the Packers get Jaire Alexander back from injured to check Davante Adams, who is dealing with a shoulder injury. Las Vegas is only averaging 15.5 points per game on the season as compared to 25 for the Packers. Green Bay has the better coach and defense.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 11:45 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
    Point SpreadGreen Bay +2 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2294
    84-55-8 in Last 147 NFL ATS Picks
    +415
    34-27 in Last 61 GB ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    The Packers struggled to move the ball against the Lions' attacking defense last week, but they've had success in other games. The Raiders, meanwhile, are just struggling period. With Green Bay healthier up front, it should be able to handle Maxx Crosby and keep Jordan Love cleaner than he was last week. Christian Watson will also be playing after finding his sea legs last week. Even without Aaron Jones, back the Pack. (I'll probably split my wager between the spread [-110] and Green Bay straight up [+110] for even odds.)

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 11:19 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsDavante Adams Under 6.5 Total Receptions -114
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Josh's Analysis:

    The "revenge" game angle seems a bit contradictory in this one. The Packers traded Adams to his chosen destination in Las Vegas and, without him, the team missed the playoffs in its final year with Aaron Rodgers under center. Shouldn't the Packers be the ones seeking revenge? It's what we're betting on Monday. Packers DB Jaire Alexander, who had a role in holding Justin Jefferson of the Vikings to 1 catch for 15 yards last season, returns from injury to check Adams, who has been battling a shoulder issue. This is a thin number but look for Green Bay to spoil the Adams storyline.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 11:13 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadGreen Bay +2 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +788.5
    85-62-1 in Last 148 NFL Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    The Packers are better in the trenches on both sides of the ball. They also are healthier in the secondary. This isn't much of a road game either, with 57 percent of tickets sold to Green Bay fans. They get loud and the Packers cover.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 11:08 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
    Avatar
    Total CarriesJosh Jacobs Under 17.5 Total Carries -109
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1770.5
    67-39 in Last 106 NFL Player Props Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    Josh Jacobs has yet to register 18 carries in a game this season despite the fact that his team has exceeded its expected number of plays twice. I'm projecting 15 carries.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 11:04 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsJimmy Garoppolo Under 238.5 Total Passing Yards -120
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +161
    3-1 in Last 4 NFL Player Props Picks
    Todd's Analysis:

    Jimmy Garoppolo returns from a one game absence in concussion protocol. He faces a Packers defense that ranks top 10 in passing yards allowed per game and yards per attempt. Through his first three games, Garoppolo hasn't thrown deep. Just 8.1 percent of his pass attempts have traveled 20 or more air yards (27th); the league average is 11.1 percent. No chunk plays means no big day airing it out if the game stays on script.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 10:59 pm UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderUNDER 45 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1053
    63-44-2 in Last 109 NFL Picks
    +300
    3-0 in Last 3 GB O/U Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    I don't believe in either of these quarterbacks and I'm not sure their coaches do either. I expect a conservative gameplan from both teams and I expect the offenses to be largely ineffficient. This will be particularly the case on the Raiders side where they are likley to utilize a lot of Josh Jacobs and short area passing in order to neutralize the Packers pass rush. Aaron Jones being inactive certainly helps, but I think I'd be on this prime time under regardless.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 10:08 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsJosh Jacobs Under 74.5 Total Rushing Yards -114
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    Matt's Analysis:

    The Packers haven't been good against the run, but Las Vegas is last in rushing. Jacobs looks rather out of shape/slow and like a guy who got paid after a career year and then opted to skip all offseason. Our model has Jacobs finishing with 67 yards and our AI only 34.9. I think our AI might be a bit drunk with that miniscule number but I am all for it.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 9:35 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Passing InterceptionsJimmy Garoppolo Over 0.5 Total Passing Interceptions -132
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1720
    126-88 in Last 214 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Jimmy Garoppolo has been intercepted in all three games he's played. This is his first game since suffering a concussion, and historically QBs have struggled in that spot. The Packers field a strong pass defense, with top corner Jaire Alexander expected to return from his back injury.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 8:39 pm UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderUNDER 45.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +917
    83-66-3 in Last 152 NFL Picks
    +592
    18-11 in Last 29 NFL O/U Picks
    +449
    11-6 in Last 17 LV O/U Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    Green Bay RB Aaron Jones is inactive. Vegas WR Davante Adams cannot resist playing against his former team but surely will be limited. Raiders QB Jimmy Garoppolo returns from concussion rehab but has been ineffective in new surroundings, with a passer rating among the league's lowest. Vegas' offense ranks 28th, one slot ahead of Green Bay's. Jimmy G's clearance to play and a healthier-than-expected Packers O-line have pushed the total up a couple of points -- just enough to make the Under appealing.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 8:31 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsHunter Renfrow Under 18.5 Total Receiving Yards -109
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Zack's Analysis:

    A big disappointment for the Las Vegas Raiders has been Hunter Renfrow. Through the first four games of the season he has just fifty two receiving yards. Even with his prop yardage beneath twenty yards, the Raiders offense is going to remain heavily to Jakobi Meyers and Davante Adams. Take Renfrow’s under receiving yards.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 7:22 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadGreen Bay +2.5 -112
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +558
    19-12-2 in Last 33 NFL Picks
    +258
    16-12-2 in Last 30 NFL ATS Picks
    +558
    10-4-1 in Last 15 GB ATS Picks
    Micah's Analysis:

    The bottom line to me here is the number and why I believe I have 3-points of value in this game by betting on the Packers. I have the Packers 1.5-points better than the Raiders on a neutral field. A typical home-field edge for a 1-3 team like the Raiders is 1.5 to 2 points. But the Raiders get downgraded because of all the Packers fans in Las Vegas. The Raiders have no home-field edge and Packer fans kill two birds with one stone – vacation and see their Packers live. So let’s give the Raiders a 1-point home edge. I'm not even dissecting Jimmy Garoppolo or the genius of Josh McDaniels. I took the points with the Packers.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 4:44 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Money LineGreen Bay +114
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +436
    36-26 in Last 62 NFL Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    This pick is more about how I trust one team to bounce back vs. the other, specifically Matt LaFleur vs. Josh McDaniels. Green Bay had a mini bye since the Detroit loss on Thursday night in Week 4 and I expect them to lean heavily on their rushing attack, with their offensive line having a few key pieces return. Las Vegas' defense isn't great and I'm convinced the team is going nowhere in 2023. In what should be a close game, give me the Packers to win, 23-20.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 4:09 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Passing AttemptsJordan Love Under 32.5 Total Passing Attempts -127
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +566
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    Quite simply, it's not in Green Bay's best interests for Jordan Love to be throwing often in order to win. This is a team built to run with Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon likely to have double-digit carries each assuming the game is close. In the two games the Packers played in which they weren't playing catch up, Love threw 27 and 25 times. I expect to see the Packers in a similar position tonight so their QB won't have to do the heavy lifting.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 4:04 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsChristian Watson Over 42.5 Total Receiving Yards -139
    WIN
    Unit1.5
    +845.5
    74-54 in Last 128 NFL Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    It was a fairly non eventful season season debut for Christian Watson last week. I have high expectations for the 2nd year WR and believe he possesses all the traits of a WR1. Watson ran 20 routes and finished with a mildly disappointing 2/25/1 receiving line. However, Watson was clearly rusty and there were certainly reasons to be encouraged, for instance the Lions doubled teamed him on 40% of his routes run suggesting they were very worried about him. Waton has had 11 days to rest, did not appear on the injury report and gets to face a Raiders defense that is 30th in EPA per dropback and struggle getting to the QB. His alt lines are also worth a look.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 8:03 am UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsChristian Watson Over 42.5 Total Receiving Yards -139
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1720
    126-88 in Last 214 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Christian Watson (hamstring) played less than half the snaps in his season debut versus Detroit, catching two passes for 25 yards. Now he has no game designation after practicing on a limited basis all week. Watson should be matched up often with Raiders fourth-round rookie Jakorian Bennett. He's allowed 12 catches on 16 targets for 206 yards and a touchdown. Rated 149th among corners by PFF, Bennett has missed three tackles while allowing 17.2 yards per catch. Look for Watson to play the majority of the snaps and notch 50-plus yards.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 3:54 am UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadGreen Bay +2 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2450
    202-148-2 in Last 352 NFL Picks
    +1754
    79-55-2 in Last 136 NFL ATS Picks
    +1912
    37-16 in Last 53 GB ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    The Packers' offense should be close to full strength for a plus-matchup against a Raiders defense allowing 25.3 points per game. Pro Bowl guard Elgton Jenkins' return from a knee injury is particularly significant; his backup, Royce Newman, is a terrible pass blocker who ranks 67th out of 76 guards graded by PFF. Assuming Aaron Jones plays through his questionable tag, Jordan Love will have all his skill players available along with four of the O-line's projected five starters. The extra rest following Green Bay's embarrassing home loss on TNF also benefitted right tackle Zach Tom (knee) and right guard Jon Runyan (ankle). Per analyst Steve Makinen, Matt LaFleur has gotten his teams ready when playing before a bye (4-0 SU and ATS).

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 12:42 am UTC on Caesars
    Money LineGreen Bay +110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Emory's Analysis:

    Not only do the Packers have the more complete team in this matchup, but they are actually built to play any type of game. Their ability to run the ball will help them in this one against the Raiders. Also, their ability to get pressure on the QB will help them against whoever starts at QB.

    Pick Made: Oct 07, 3:30 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadGreen Bay +1 -105
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2053
    98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Picks
    +1733
    78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
    +3739
    70-28-2 in Last 100 GB ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    These two teams are hoping to get back key players for this game, with Jimmy Garoppolo expected to clear concussion protocol at some point this week and several injured Packers returning to practice. The market move on the spread seems to only be crediting the Raiders for the expected boost, but it's also possible Davante Adams is sidelined or at less than 100% due to injury as well. With Jaire Alexander returning for Green Bay, the Packers defense should be solid against the pass, and the Raiders run game has been abysmal. A healthier Packers O-line helps get a win in a game where I'd make them slight favorites.

    Pick Made: Oct 05, 8:29 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey

    Team Injuries

    Green Bay Packers
    Friday, Oct 11, 2024
    Avatar
    DE
    Arron Mosby
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    DT
    Devonte Wyatt
    AnkleOut
    Avatar
    OT
    Rasheed Walker
    KneeQuestionable
    Monday, Oct 07, 2024
    Avatar
    OT
    Jordan Morgan
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Jaire Alexander
    GroinQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Christian Watson
    AnkleQuestionable
    Las Vegas Raiders
    Friday, Oct 11, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Davante Adams
    HamstringOut
    Thursday, Oct 10, 2024
    Avatar
    G
    Jackson Powers-Johnson
    KneeQuestionable
    Wednesday, Oct 09, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Jakobi Meyers
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Tommy Eichenberg
    HamstringQuestionable
    Monday, Oct 07, 2024
    Avatar
    OT
    Thayer Munford
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Zamir White
    GroinQuestionable
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