Giddey is a bad fit in this series. He’should play less minutes. The best of this number is gone….I loved it at 22.5 but will still go half unit

Murphy played 44 min….made 5 threes….and took 18 shots. All of those are unlikely to happen again. Despite those outliers Murphybonly had 21 points in game one. Go under 17.5

Dallas should score. The VGK goalkeeping is the weakness….and VGK is great on the power play (2/2 in Game 1). Let’s lean over

Dallas is my pick to win the west…have been since preseason. But that’s not why I make this pick. They outplayed VGK in game 1. Difference was VGK was 2/2 on power play while Dallas was 0/2.

He’s getting minutes…he’s getting opportunities and this number hasn’t adjusted

Hero had problems with JHoliday…job 1 is stopping him. With the Heat projected under 100 Hero has to score a higher percentage of points than per usual

JTatum has become more than a scorer. He can get double digit rebounds or assists and White can benefit from this. White will get enough opportunities to go over

The Heat are well coached and know what they need to do….muck this up. Boston should be less efficient (they scored 91 points in first 3 quarters…and were 22/49 from 3). Play an under

Let’s fade a seventh goal. This series shows you it’s physical and they can go longe stretches without good chances

KD is their best and hottest player and the season is on the line. PX will not get blown out so even more chances to fill the stats for KD. We played this a lot (including last game) let’s go back. Was te,pets to just play points but they might make KD give it up…..Minn also knows KD is the #1 priority

I’m isolating DRussell as someone who should play less and not fill it tonight. But why stop there? If we push who will pull? Who is the yang to my yang? Pouring over game information leads me to find AReaves (I call him “little country”) to have more opportunities.

Embid is NOT 100%. He can’t bang and drive with the same ferocity for his full compliment of minutes. But this is the playoffs and the Sixers need him to score. So what has he done? Hoisted. The Lnicks seem happy to give it to him. He shot 8 in game 1….I project 6 tonight. 2/6 seems significantly more likely than 1/6 or 0/6.

Sixers too banged up. Grab it now!!

DMitch will have the ball in his hands all night long. I’m playing BOTH the assists alone and the assists plus points to try and hit it big here.

My guy is Tarik Skubal. He is still underrated. Let’s just isolate him in the first 5…..we push on a tie.