Whenever you see Manchester City play a game from now till the end of the season, I would advise you to bet the over. Manchester City are in a position where if they can win out the remainder of their games, and beat Arsenal in goal differential, they will win the league. Right now, Manchester City does have a game in hand and are one goal behind Arsenal on GD, so they need to not only win, but beat up their remaining opponents and run up the score. I know this is juicy, but don't be afraid to just take City goals if you want plus odds!
I would rather set $10 dollars on fire than put money on Chelsea with the form they are in right now. Chelsea are the only team in the entire league who have lost their last five league matches in a row. On top of that, they haven't scored in any of those five matches. They lost 1-0 to Man United, 3-0 to Brighton and Manchester City , and 1-0 to Newcastle. With Nottingham Forest finding incredible form and Chelsea being... Chelsea, this one feels as close to a free win as we can find.
Aston Villa specifically when they play at home, are a bit of a problem for other teams in the league. They have played 17 games at home in Premier League play and have only lost twice. Not only are they better at home, but they're in good goal scoring form right now with Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers. Their last home matches saw them beat Sunderland 4-3, Bologna 4-0 and West Ham 2-0. This team always presses for goals, especially against a limping Spurs side. I think Aston Villa could get three by themselves.
Currently, Spurs are sitting in the relegation zone, two points behind West Ham. They have 34 points in 34 games. They have four matches left to make something happen, and to avoid one of the most embarrassing relegations in EPL history. The problem is, their next game is against and Aston Villa side, playing at Villa park, who need points. I am shocked this is plus odds. Spurs have been horrendous for months, and Aston Villa have been monsters at home all season long. Not only, do I have Aston Villa winning this game, but I have them doing it by more than one goal. This is a wild line. Full unit for me!
I'm a big Bournemouth fan. More specifically, I'm a big fan of teams that score a lot of goals, which Bournemouth happens to be! They've been having one heck of a season sitting seventh on the table, with a solid chance of finishing in a UEFA finishing spot. They've seen 104 goals in their 34 matches, and they have the second highest BTTS hit rate in the league. While Palace hasn't been the most exciting team this season, I expect a rampaging Cherries team to push for goals once again in what should be another exciting fixture.
When you're looking at Ligue 1, it's important to know that finishing in the top six is a big deal for European competitions next season. Teams like Monaco who are 7th on the table, need to step it up in the final weeks. Monaco is two points behind Marseille at the moment and down a good chunk of goals as well. They not only need to beat dead-last on the table Metz, but they need to run it up on them to help their goal differential. Monaco are the much better team, and they need to prove that against the worst defense in France.
Como are fighting tooth and nail to finish in a top four Serie A position and qualify for Champions League this season. They are currently fifth on the table, three points behind Juventus. While they're faltering a bit towards the end of the season, they can still pull it off if they finish strong. They have a brutal match ahead of them in second on the table Napoli, but their attacking form should lead to goals. Look at their last matches. 4-3 to Inter, 2-1 to Sassuolo, 3-2 again to Inter, and they scored two against Genoa. This team does nothing but press, so I'm taking an over once again for Como.
I am a firm believer that West Ham will avoid the drop and will still be in the Premier League next season. The team is sitting just two points above the line at the moment, and every match could be the difference between survival or not. West Ham cannot afford to slow down, and in the last couple weeks, they've done well. They've only lost one of their last five matches, as they scrape by sneaking points off of each opponent. Brentford will be motivated to grab a European finishing spot, but they haven't won any of their last five. I expect West Ham to at least get the draw.
I like the over 2.5, but if you don't like that juice, add BTTS or even take over 3.5 goals. West Ham have to press and push for goals, but their defense is just awful. They won't win this game keeping a clean sheet so expect the goals to flow as every minute adds more desperation to the visitors. West Ham have conceded 58 goals this season, and a good, strong scoring Brentford team, will be able to get through their backline. I think this match ends in a 2-2 draw.
I'm so so so SO excited for this matchup. The top four spots in Germany qualify for Champions League next season. Stuttgart is currently in 4th with 57 points. Hoffenheim is in fifth with 57 points as well, but down on goal differential. A win here is critical for both sides and Hoffenheim have been monsters at home. Not only though , does winning matter, but so does stacking goals for the goal differential. We have two of the best attacks in Germany clashing in a must win game. Let me sit back, pour my coffee, and enjoy betting the over.
We're getting to that point in the season where some clubs are starting to show their fatigue more than others. Teams like Hoffenheim haven't really had to deal with extracurricular competitions, while Stuttgart is still in the Pokal Cup, and their players have looked exhausted in recent weeks. While Hoffenheim just beat Dortmund, Stuttgart looked slow and sloppy in their draw against Werder Bremen last matchday. While both teams are certainty capable of making this a tricky matchup, I'm backing the in form side at home.
This is a matchup between not only two of the worst offenses in Italy, but two of the worst offenses in any of the top flights of European football. Pisa has played 34 games this season, and have only scored 24 times. That's bad, however, somehow Lecce is worse with only 22 goals scored in their 34 games. Both teams lack creativity and aggression on the attack. Pisa is already relegated and Lecce will be too scared to make mistakes and drop important points. I think this ends 1-0 Lecce
Pisa are all but mathematically relegated after an extremely disappointing year back in Serie A. Pisa have played 34 matches and only picked up two wins over those 34 matches. They have the worst defense in the league and one of the worst offenses in all of Italy. Lecce is not a good side, but they can avoid relegation if they pick up some points here, and I expect them to go out knowing that Pisa is their best chance at a very important win, and a very important three points.
I can see it now. The whistle blows and kickoff begins at Metropolitano Stadium. Arsenal proceeds to park the bus and grinds this game to a halt playing for a nil-nil first leg. Arsenal knows that their success will happen in the second leg, back at home, in front of their supporters. They will do what we see them do so often, and that's try to minimize damage on the road and keep things close. Atletico Madrid does have a decent attack, and they have to know that their only chance of breaking ahead at home. I think this ends nil-nil, but if I had to pick a winner, I'd take this spread even with the juice, expecting very little offense from Arsenal.
While I'm expecting fireworks and goals galore in the PSG v Bayern fixture, I'm expecting almost nothing exciting to happen in this one. We have two defensive sided teams, with defensive minded managers. Arsenal especially have been the kings of the low scoring affairs as of late. Their two legs against Sporting saw a combined one goal over the two matches, and both their matches against Leverkusen saw the under 2.5 goals as well. Arsenal has no problem parking the bus on the road, especially in a game like this, and I'm expecting very little goals across both legs.
