Even without Davante Adams in the lineup, the Rams are the side here. The Seahawks have won four straight at home but not been as dominant in Seattle as they were in the past. Whle this was a two-point loss on the road last month, Los Angeles has actually been tested since. The Seahawks continue to concern when up against tougher competition, and nearly losing to Philip Rivers last week reminded about their inconsistent offense. Adams being out hurts, but Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay have experience overcoming such adversity, and they can nearly lock up the No. 1 seed and NFC West with a victory on Thursday night.

Yeah after watching SportsCenter -- which is about unwatchable at this point; I'd rather have a root canal without anesthetic than watch that 5 p.m. High Five version -- guess we have to go Under with winds and rain. Not that I was unaware but sometimes you kinda have to see the conditions for yourself. And surely no Davante Adams for L.A. These teams combined for 40 points in ideal indoor conditions in LA earlier in the year. I don't care who wins other than if it helps the Bears; I'd much rather avoid Matthew Stafford and face Sam Darnold (DUH!) in the playoffs. Shoot, I'd rather avoid Matthew McConaughey (Interstellar version) and prefer to face Sam Darnold is what I think of Mr. Ghosts.

Short price, to be sure, but should the Rams really be getting points anywhere these days? That might hold especially true in Seattle, where Sean McVay has enjoyed great success across the years, especially vs. the spread, where the Rams have covered five straight. They'll almost have to win tonight for the points to work, but they've done that the past two seasons at Lumen Field, too. The Seahawks almost let one slip away last week vs. Philip Rivers and the Colts, as the offense repeatedly stalled in the red zone. We are yet to be convinced that Sam Darnold can outgun Matthew Stafford, though he did come close last month at SoFi in a 21-19 LA win. Play Rams

Byron Young leads the Rams in sacks this season with 11, and has the 6th most QB pressures (35) in the NFL. Seahawks LT Charles Cross has been ruled out, so I expect Verse & Young to get pressure on the edges. When these teams played in Week 11, Darnold didn’t take a sack, but he did throw 4 interceptions. He might be more willing to hold onto the ball this time around, which could help get Young sack opportunities.

Last week, the Seahawks had a bit of a letdown performance against the desperate Colts in what might have been a look-ahead spot to this game. The Rams recovered from a slow start to topple the Lions, but we expect the roles to be reversed Thursday. Sam Darnold's 4 turnovers were the key factor in a 21-19 loss in their first meeting. We expect an inspired performance from the Seattle side against a Los Angeles team that will be shorthanded without WR Davante Adams.

Seahawks safety Nick Emmanwori has played 64 percent of his snaps in the box the past four weeks. He's recorded six-plus tackles in five of his last seven games, the misses coming when Minnesota and these same Rams only ran 50 offensive plays apiece. The Rams are usually a great matchup for opposing safeties; they average 61.8 plays. With Emmanwori expected to help out on Puka Nacua, I bet the rookie to record at least six combined stops.

The Rams have won four out of the last five meetings with the Seahawks, including this year's 21-19 win, where the Seahawks outgained the Rams 414 to 249. Both teams come in with 11-3 and 10-4 ATS records. Between RB's Blake Corum and Kyren Williams, the Rams should have a bigger impact on the ground when they met the first time. The Seahawks have won four games in a row, and eight of their last nine, but their last four wins since losing to the Rams were against the Colts quarterbacked by Grandpa Rivers, the Falcons, the Vikings, and the Titans. Sam Darnold has looked his worst of the season, throwing 6 touchdowns and 6 picks in his last six games. Rams to win.

With Davante Adams unlikely to play, the Rams passing game figures to funnel through one key player. But I see this number as simply too high for this particular Thursday night game where the weather could suppress offense. The Seahawks held Nacua to 75 receiving yards in the first meeting, and all defensive attention will likely go to limiting his output, which is notable considering the elite unit opposing him. The Seahawks haven't allowed more than 90 yards to a wide receiver since Week 5, and the last three players to get to 90 receiving yards against them have been tight ends. We also have to wonder about the potential for team discipline in the form of early-game benching following Nacua's livestream antics this week.

We're looking at a few different reasons to like this play. First, these defenses forced the opposing QBs into their worst games of the year in the first meeting, resulting in a 21-19 finish. Second, that was indoors and this matchup will be outside in what are expected to be windy and possibly rainy conditions that could affect the kicking game and deep passing. Third, key offensive players will be missing on both sides, with Davante Adams doubtful and Charles Cross out. Without his left tackle, Sam Darnold is in danger of another poor outing, which would be his fourth in a six-game stretch. Divisional rematches trend to the Under historically, and these conditions are ripe for it to hit here.

Colby Parkinson has played 47 percent of the snaps this season. But with Davante Adams off the field, Parkinson's usage goes up. Last Sunday vs. Detroit, Parkinson was on the field for 81 percent of Matthew Stafford's dropbacks without Adams, per Sharp Football. Parkinson has a 23 percent target share without Adams the past four games. The Seahawks have an elite defense, but covering tight ends is one vulnerability. They allowed Kyle Pitts (90 yards), TJ Hockenson (59), Trey McBride twice (127, 52), Gunnar Helm (51), Chig Okonkwo (40), Zach Ertz (46), Dalton Schultz (98), Cade Otton (81) and Juwan Johnson (51) to clear this prop total. The Rams often line up three tight ends, especially without Adams, but Parkinson gets most of the targets.

More than 70% of the public betting tickets are on the Over, yet the total is ticking down to 43.5 on most books. Rams WR Davante Adams did not practice on Tuesday and doesn’t seem likely to play. That’s a big blow for the Rams- Adams leads the NFL in receiving TDs and red zone targets. When these teams last met in Week 11, the Rams won 21-19 and forced 4 interceptions from Sam Darnold. That game was played indoors at SoFi Stadium, and the Rams will now head to the raucous atmosphere at Lumen Field. Seattle’s defense has been elite, allowing 21 or fewer points in 11/14 games this season. Play the under in this late season NFC West clash for first place.

Rashid Shaheed has an explosive reception in each of the past two games. He’s gotten acclimated to Seattle’s offense, drawing 12 targets the past two weeks. He also had a long catch in the first meeting with the Rams, who are susceptible to outside receivers. In what should be a close game, I bet Shaheed to make at least one big play.

DraftKings. It took a few weeks for Rashid Shaheed to get up to speed in Seattle, but he’s registered 67 and 74 receiving yards the last two weeks, on twelve total targets. In those two games, he has a 23.8% first read rate (10 total targets, per FantasyPoints). It’s a fantastic matchup against the Rams defense - LA has been a funnel to outside receivers, allowing the fourth most receiving yards per game (122.3), on the ninth highest yards per route run (2.10) to pass catchers aligned out wide. Shaheed is out wide for 74% of his snaps as a Seahawk, and should be able to cash in against the soft zone coverage. I’d bet this up to over 37.5 receiving yards.