Apologies for the late post but Chimere Dike props didn't populate until late last night. The game logs for Dike have been a little sketchy lately as he has been very hit or miss, but this is a game where we have a nice matchup against a gettable Jaguars pass defense. I don't see a ton of success from the run game for the Titans and I do think they lean on Cam Ward (projected for 200+ pass yards where I lean to the over). I think the Titans will be competitive, but we also have the potential for a negative game script which should get Dike a couple more targets.

I liked what I saw last week from Cam Ward and the Titans offense against one of the league's best defenses. There was purpose and more importantly a semblance of balance that should pay dividends this week. Jacksonville finds themselves on the road again this week after a hard fought OT win with a game against division leading Indianapolis looming. Look betting the Titans is rarely fun but if they can stop the run and turn the Jags into a 1 dimensional outfit the home dog is very live in Nashville.

For the second week in a row, Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars are a road favorite. They got a way with a push last week in Arizona - this week it is in division and they are laying nearly a full touchdown. Lawrence gave the Cardinals plenty of chances last week and I expect more errors from him today against a division opponent who is very familiar with the Jags QB. The Titans have covered both of their games since coming off their bye. This will be the Jaguars fourth road game in five weeks. I'll take the division home dog to keep it close if not win the game outright.

Opponents are averaging 37.9 pass attempts against Jacksonville, third-most in the NFL. Ward has thrown at least 34 passes in six of his last seven games. While I like the Titans to be competitive, I can also see a scenario in which Tennessee falls behind by multiple scores and is forced to throw almost exclusively.

Tennessee has covered three straight games, and Cam Ward is showing growth late in his rookie season. He should have success against a Jaguars defense that ranks 25th in dropback success rate and could be missing defensive end Travon Walker (knee) again. Trevor Lawrence has thrown five interceptions in his last three road games. Look for Jacksonville, playing its fourth road game in its last five, to find itself in a dogfight.

This matchup exemplifies a classic betting trap. It features a winning team facing an inferior opponent, and the spread seems too easy. The Titans lost both meetings against the Jags last season, both by one possession, with a much weaker QB under center. Tennessee has not won a home game and will be motivated to secure a victory for its dedicated fans. This will be the Jaguars' fourth road game in five weeks and their first outdoor road game in over two months. That's an advantage for Tennessee that isn't reflected in the betting line. My model has Jacksonville as a 5.5-point favorite. Grab the 6.5 and sprinkle some money line action.