NFL | N.Y. Giants 12 @ San Francisco 30 | 09/22 | 12:15 AM UTC
Christian McCaffrey UNDER 16.5 Total Carries -135
ANALYSIS: Sometimes you have to take coaches at their word. After Christian McCaffrey played every single snap in Week 2, 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan said it was a mistake not to get Elijah Mitchell involved and he'll rectify that. With San Fran expected to cruise in this matchup, I see the 49ers limiting McCaffrey's workload.
NFL | Cleveland 22 @ Pittsburgh 26 | 09/19 | 12:15 AM UTC
Nick Chubb OVER 13.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
ANALYSIS: Nick Chubb appears to be more of a three-down back this season for the Browns with no Kareem Hunt. His four catches in Week 1 came on fewer than 50% of snaps and would have represented his second highest catch total for all of 2022. The game he had more? Week 18 against the Steelers: five catches on six targets for 40-plus receiving yards. No Amari Cooper means Deshaun Watson needs his secondary targets, and Chubb's value in the passing game is being understated in the betting markets.
NFL | Minnesota 28 @ Philadelphia 34 | 09/15 | 12:15 AM UTC
Jordan Addison OVER 42.5 Total Receiving Yards -127
ANALYSIS: Minnesota's Justin Jefferson has a true No. 2 sidekick who can strike fear into defenses in the rookie Addison. In last year's win over the Vikings, Philly made neutralizing JJ a focal point and could do that because there were minimal concerns about Adam Thielen hurting the Eagles for big plays. Kirk Cousins was 1-for-5 for 7 yards and two interceptions on passes to Jefferson when Pro Bowl CB Darius Slay was the closest defender. If Slay travels with Jefferson tonight as likely, it's a next man up approach for the Vikes, and Philadelphia is missing James Bradberry and Reed Blankenship in the secondary.
NFL | Tennessee 15 @ New Orleans 16 | 09/10 | 5:00 PM UTC
Tennessee +3 -105
ANALYSIS: Remember the Titans…and that the horrific pass defense you saw down the stretch last year was a byproduct of cluster injuries on the back end. This Tennessee defense will make major strides with better health in 2023 and has the perfect DNA for winning on the road. Coach Mike Vrabel thrives as an underdog. He is 20-20 straight up and 23-16-1 against-the-spread in his career when his team is an underdog. Grab the points, but you won’t need them.