In his last ten games, he has scored a lot, with an average of 24.7 points, exceeding the 24.5 mark in seven contests. Moreover, Zion's resilience after subpar games (14 points) speaks volumes about his competitive spirit. Lately, he's 3-0 in bouncing back with a vengeance after failing to hit the 24.5-point threshold, suggesting that any dip is merely calm before another scoring storm. Zion should have a big scoring game against Anthony Davis, who is far from 100% healthy.

After playing multiple consecutive games outside, the Chicago Cubs will play their first road game in a true indoor stadium. The team is sending rookie Ben Brown to the bump, with a ground-ball rate of 35.7%, a 64.3% hard-hit rate, and an average exit velocity of 96.3 MPH, ranking last in baseball. Brown's pitching style may not be effective in Arizona, as he only uses two pitches. Merrill Kelly induces ground balls 47.1% of the time, allowing a 25.5% hard-hit rate with an average exit velocity of 86.8 MPH. He has consistently performed better in games played at Chase Field than away games.

I love betting on winning home teams that lost by ten or more runs in their previous game. The Baltimore Orioles have won three out of four games this season after a defeat, and Dean Kremer has a perfect record of 3-0 after a loss dating back to the last season. Kremer has been impressive, as he has managed to limit the opposition's batting average to .170. DL Hall last pitched seven days ago and might be too eager to face his former team. Hall's numbers don't look great, with a 4.82 ERA and 4.97 FIP, suggesting he's still trying to figure things out. Additionally, his .350 batting average against is concerning. I like the Orioles in this spot!

This line opened at -150 and has since dropped on news that Connor McDavid might be out. The Oilers have a very deep team, with three other players (Draisaitl, Hyman, and Bouchard) ranked in the top 46 in points per game. Vegas has no players in the top 50 and is dealing with numerous injuries. The Golden Knights are just 10-11 since Marc Stone (53 points in 56 games) was injured on Feb. 20th. Edmonton is ranked third in shots against and has a +414 shot differential, while Vegas is ranked 17th in shots against with a +35 shot differential. The Oilers are ranked fifth in Face-off win percentage, while Vegas is ranked 19th. Edmonton is determined to surpass Vancouver for top seed.

Juan Soto has exceeded this number in four consecutive games and seven of his past 10. The New York Yankees are ranked 10th in OPS against left-handed starters, while the Miami Marlins bullpen has an ERA of 5.50 so far this season. Soto hit a home run while going 3-for-5 against Ryan Weathers in his career. I also like Juan Soto over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI at -120 odds. Calm winds with higher humidity suggest that runs will be scored.

With a Carolina Hurricanes victory in regulation, they will tie with the Boston Bruins at 107 points for the second seed in the East. Carolina is seeking revenge for their 4-1 loss (3-1 plus an empty net goal) on April 4th in Carolina. The Hurricanes are ranked first in the league in shots against and own a shot differential of +584, while Boston is ranked 23rd in shots against with a -107 shot differential. The Bruins have committed the 11th most penalty minutes (758), while Carolina is ranked 23rd (669). The Hurricanes are ranked sixth in Face-off win percentage, while the Bruins are ranked 21st. Carolina has more efficient special teams and has not lost back-to-back games against Boston since 2022.

Og Anunody has exceeded this number in eight of his past ten games, averaging 14.1 points. When Bojan Bogdanovic (questionable) misses a game, Anunody surpasses 11.5 points in eight of 10 and averages 17.1 points per game. The Milwaukee Bucks are ranked 22nd (116.8) in points allowed, and Giannis Antetokounmpo is iffy to play with hamstring tightness. My model has the Knicks' small forward reaching 15 points with increased minutes!

The Edmonton Oilers are returning home after getting blanked 5-0 by the Dallas Stars on Wednesday. This season, the Oilers are 2-0 after getting shut out and have not lost three games in a row since February 24th. The last five meetings have been decided in overtime, with the Colorado Avalanche winning four out of five. Edmonton is ranked third in shots against, while Colorado is ranked 12th. Edmonton is also ranked fifth in face-off win percentage, while the Avalanche are ranked 23rd. Despite being out-shot 46-36, Colorado won 5-2 in Minnesota yesterday. I like the home team in this statement game!

The New York Knicks have a record of 5-3 after losing two or more games in a row. They have managed to defeat the Miami Heat in their two meetings, even though they were eliminated by the Heat in the playoffs last year. The line for this game seems high, especially considering that the Knicks have a point differential of +4.7, while the Heat's point differential is +1.4 this season. Furthermore, the Heat will play with a roster suffering from injuries and have a big revenge game against Philadelphia on deck. I will gladly bet on the Knicks as the road underdogs in this spot!

UConn had only three losses during the season. Two of these losses were against Creighton and Kansas, who had a size advantage over UConn. However, Illinois is also a team with a size advantage, ranked 8th at Kenpom. The Fighting Illini have a lot of experience, ranking 11th, and have played a tougher schedule (No. 24 vs. No. 37). The Huskies have a +12.3 point differential in road/neutral site games. In comparison, Illinois has a +7.5 point differential. The Huskies have held their opponents to 58 or fewer points in four straight games. I anticipate some negative regression. Take the underdog!

The Fighting Illini currently has the top-ranked offense at Kenpom. While Iowa State is known for its excellent defense, they have mostly played against weaker opponents in non-conference games, ranking 345th in difficulty. Illinois has a more experienced team as they rank 11th in Division 1 experience, compared to Iowa State's ranking of 124th. Illinois also has a better free throw percentage, ranked 85th, whereas Iowa State ranks 293. Teams with size may challenge the Cyclones as Illinois ranks 8th in average team height, while Iowa State ranks 100th. Furthermore, Illinois is a much better rebounding team, ranking 6th compared to Iowa State's ranking of 238th. I will gladly take the points in this spot!

The Winnipeg Jets return home after a seven-day, five-game road trip, having played 71 games. On the other hand, Edmonton has played a league-low 69 games. The Oilers are ranked second in shots against with a +386 shot differential, while the Jets are ranked 13th and have a +69 shot differential. Edmonton has four players (McDavid, Draisaitl, Bouchard, and Hyman) ranked in the top 50 in points, whereas Winnipeg doesn't have any. The Oilers are ranked fifth in Face-off win percentage, while the Jets are ranked 26th. Teams have split two meetings this season with shots favoring Edmonton, 79-53. I like the road team!

The Baylor Bears have faced the third most challenging schedule overall, but they ranked 101st against non-conference opponents. On the other hand, the Clemson Tigers played the 33rd toughest schedule and were 69th in terms of non-conference opponents. Clemson has a higher ranking in free throw percentage (9 vs. 103), rebounds per game (78 vs. 198), turnovers (53 vs. 175), and blocks (83 vs. 198). According to advanced analytics, the Tigers have a better overall defense. We must take the points in this spot!

Utah State faced a much more challenging non-conference schedule compared to TCU. However, both teams maintain a close point differential, with Utah State having a +7.4 and TCU having a +8.0 this season. Utah State is a skilled team that excels at scoring inside (ranked 12th in 2-point FG%) and defending three-point shots (ranked third in the nation), according to Kenpom. The team is led by Danny Sprinkle, known for his excellent coaching skills, especially with extra time to prepare. The Aggies have demonstrated their ability to bounce back this season, going 4-1 after a loss. Utah State is 10-1 SU when playing with five or six days of rest since 2021, including 4-0 this season. Take the points in this upset maker!