The Giants are down a key offensive lineman (Andrew Thomas), and Dallas has had a longer than usual time to prepare for this game thanks to playing on Thursday in Week 1. Russell Wilson struggled in Week 1, and I expect that to continue here. CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens could have a field day here, and the Cowboys' defense is better than expected. I like the Cowboys by a TD or more at home.

DraftKings. Javonte Williams carried the ball fifteen times last week, in a mostly neutral gamescript the Eagles. Running as the clear 1A (especially after Miles Sanders’ fumble), I expect Williams once again to lead the Cowboys backfield in Week 2. The Cowboys will take on the Giants, who allowed 220 rush yards last week to the Commanders. Not only do I expect the Cowboys to remain in a positive gamescript for most of this game, but I also have them dominating the time of possession. The Giants offense struggled in Week 1, and will once again be without left tackle Andrew Thomas. Williams isn’t much of a breakaway threat, but should find consistent success on short/medium yard opportunities.

As a Giants fan, I feel foolish for betting them +6.5 last week… should have known better. The offense looked anemic under new QB Russell Wilson. New York gained just 230 yards of total offense, and went 4-16 on 3rd downs. Although the Giants defense played fairly well, they did give up 220 rushing yards. The offense will do them no favors, and leave them on the field for too long this season. Dallas will be without CB DaRon Bland, but New York will not have LT Andrew Thomas. Aside from a weather delay and uncharacteristic drops from Ceedee Lamb, Dallas’ offense was humming under new OC Brian Schottenheimer in Week 1. Ultimately, I don’t see the Giants holding serve against the Cowboys offense.

The season-opening loss was tough to stomach for the Cowboys with Dak Prescott doing everything he could to will his team to victory. The defense also stepped up seriously limiting the Eagles' dynamic running game. Meanwhile, the Giants and Russell Wilson could barely get anything done in Washington, and now, Andrew Thomas is out, devistating New York's front. With extended rest and plenty of time to prepare at home, Dallas takes this. (Line is already as high as -6 in some places and may get there across the board Sunday.)

Even with more target competition with George Pickens joining the Cowboys, CeeDee Lamb is their true alpha receiver. Lamb saw 39.4% of the team's targets and accounted for 55% of the team's air yards in week 1. He had 110 yards receiving on seven receptions last week. The matchup against the Giants is not one to fear. And Lamb had a few crucial drops last week. So Lamb could be even more motivated to help his team secure the win and have a big day. Even though it's a big number, I love this line, and I'll likely ladder Lamb up to 100+ yards receiving.

The Giants passing game looked no better in Russell Wilson's first start, but Nabers still saw 12 targets despite catching only five while dealing with a back injury. All seven times he saw that many targets last year resulted in at least seven receptions, and I expect he'll be leaned on just as heavily this week. The Cowboys pass rush didn't look great without Micah Parsons, and now the secondary is without DaRon Bland. Nabers had eight and 12 catches against Dallas last year, and he now has a better QB situation and an easier defense to face. Love getting plus odds on this one at FanDuel.

It feels like the Cowboys prefer Javonte Williams as their lead back, which is great since they should play with the lead in this week's game versus the inept Giants. Last week, in a competitive game against a much better team, Williams had 15 carries while sharing with Miles Sanders. Sanders had a red-zone fumble that could lead to a reduction in his role, and more on Williams' plate. It might not be pretty or efficient, but Williams is a candidate for as many as 17 carries.

This seems like a crazy good price on the Cowboys' Javonte Williams after he scored twice in the season opener against the Eagles. I mean, he may not score twice again in a game the rest of the season/career, but he's clearly the goal-line guy right now and not like Dak Prescott does the tush push. The Giants allowed 220 rushing yards and two rushing scores last week vs. Washington.

Jalen Tolbert played 67% of the snaps in Week 1 last season, but with George Pickens in the mix, that fell to just 44% for last week's season opener. This has resulted in a buy-low spot for Tolbert. Dak Prescott's completion line is 21.5. CeeDee Lamb and Pickens' combined reception lines add up to 11. If you give the RBs three completions, then you are left with 7 unaccounted for catches. Tolbert had 2+ in 12 of 17 games last season and maybe if Dallas and Dak had passed for a ton of yards vs. Philly without him, I'd expect a further reduction in snaps. But since that wasn't the case, hopefully he'll get back to over 50% of snaps.

I'm going to take Jerry Jones at his word when he says rookie Jaydon Blue isn't ready to play a big role yet. It's good value on a line that's less than both Williams' career average of 2.9 and our projection of just over 2.5 receptions. His average would be higher but his totally ineffective rushing in '24 on the Denver Broncos resulted in him playing fewer snaps and he only averaged 2.0 receptions. He definitely looked better running the ball in Week 1, Blue, like I said may not be ready to play significant snaps and Miles Sanders had a really costly fumble vs the Philadelphia Eagles. Williams has gone Over 19-15 for this prop when he has at least 11 carries.

Javonte Williams had a shockingly good debut with two touchdowns but he still only had 54 rushing yards on 15 carries, which is great for 2024 Javonte Williams, but still under 4.0 ypc. Rookie Jaydon Blue apparently isn't ready according to coach/GM/owner Jerry Jones and Miles Sanders had a really costly fumble against Philadelphia. Long story short, the Cowboys need Prescott to pass plenty and he'll complete a high enough percentage to go over this line. The model projects him at 25 completions.

One week was enough to start fading the Giants as Russell Wilson will start week two. Not sure how much improvement will be made, if any, especially with the offensive line. Andrew Thomas may not play but even if he does, he won’t be the difference maker with that line. New York won’t be able to keep the Cowboys offense in check for the full game, and their offense does not seem capable of scoring anything but field goals. New York has lost seven of the eight games in Dallas by six points, or more.