Although Dallas backup QB Cooper Rush has proven to be a serviceable replacement, I don’t see him finding success in this matchup. Philadelphia’s defense has quietly shaped up over the last month. The Eagles allowed just 169 passing yards to Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence last week, and held Bengals star QB Joe Burrow to 234 yards, which was well below his Week 8 line of 257.5. Eagles DC Vic Fangio has this unit playing much sharper football, and I expect them to shut Rush down.

Cooper Rush has succeeded in the past when replacing Dak Prescott, but this time he doesn't have a similar supporting cast. The Eagles' ascending secondary should smother Dallas' wideouts, forcing Rush into a slew of tight-window throws. Saquon Barkley is poised for another monster game against a Dallas defense allowing 5.0 yards per carry over the past three games.

Locking this in with the Eagles before the hook comes. The Eagles frequently find ways to hurt themselves, but the leash is going to be long against this Cowboys team playing without Dak Prescott, Dexter Lawrence or any semblance of a run game. There are not enough weapons for Cooper Rush -- despite his track record stepping in for Dak -- to keep pace with Jalen Hurts & Co. Hurts and Saquon Barkley should have a field day against the NFL's 26th-ranked defense, which is 30th against the run. It's a large road spread, no doubt, but I'd much rather be Philadelphia in this game.

Cooper Rush has proven to be a capable backup QB with Dak Prescott sidelined. Although the Eagles' deliberate pace of play will limit possessions, there should still be enough offense to send this Over the posted total.

The loss of Dallas QB Dak Prescott to injury has triggered an overreaction. Cooper Rush is 5-1 outright as a starter. Of course, he lacks the running game that partly explains the stellar pinch-hitter record, but all the Cowboys must do is stay within a touchdown. The expected return of impactful LB Micah Parsons and the sore ankle that Eagles QB Jalen Hurts is dealing with should put a low ceiling on Philly's points. This incredible stat might seem irrelevant but still: Dallas has won 17 of the last 18 straight-up at home against division opponents.

The Cowobys have surrendered 5.0 yards per carry over the past three games. Now they have to deal with Saquon Barkley, who's run for 176, 108 and 159 yards the past three games. He has five 100-yard games and has cleared this prop total in six of eight games. With the Eagles sizable favorites, Barkley could get another monster workload in this divisional matchup.

The Eagles haven't even played their best this year and they've won four straight and they're playing the best of the season with Saquon Barkley playing at an All-Pro level and Jalen Hurts not throwing an interception in the last five games. The Cowboys are 3-5 five on the season and 0-3 at home and now they don't have Dak Prescott. It's Cooper Rush time and last weekend he barely threw 50%. I see a lot of bad body language on the Cowboys side, offense and defense. The Eagled are No. 2 rushing at 178 per game and the Cowboys are No. 30 against the run allowing 147 per game. Eagles win and cover.

A few years ago when Dak Prescott went down and Cooper Rush led them to a string of victories, all was looking good until they ran into a strong Eagles team. Expect that to happen this time around, as the major difference is that this Cowboys team isn't as good on either side of the ball and the Eagles are hitting their stride on both sides.

Are the books trying to fool us (me) with this line? In their eight games this season, only three quarterbacks haven't hit this line against Dallas and two of them were Deshaun Watson and Justin Fields (no surprise on either). With AJ Brown good to go and Dallas Goedert back for the Eagles this week, I would be surprised if Hurts doesn't sail over 200 yards on Sunday.

Yes, this number is super high. But it is very much in range with what Barkley is going every game and he can tear this pathetic Cowboys run D apart. Dallas is 32nd in run D EPA at -13.2, nearly 5 worse than any other team. That's crazy. Barkley is over this in 7 of 8 games. He's averaging 134 scrimmage yards per game.

Pushing Hurts over the goal line is back to being a staple of Eagles scoring drives. It's hit in 3 straight games and 4 of the last 5. As great as Saquan Barkley is, he isn't the TD monster you might think he is. The Cowboys run D is terrible and they specifically lack the space eaters to stop The Tush Push when this powerful QB keeps the ball. Cowboys have allowed 13 rushing TDs, second most in the NFL. Nick Sirianni loves the drama but needs to keep it simple stupid in the redzone and I suspect he does.

Dak Prescott dealing with a thumb and Dallas cannot run the bal. Even if Micah Parsons comes back they can't defend the run. This makes Cowboys a must fade for me at best number I can get. Eagles found a ridiculous way not to cover last week but they will be fired up to get a crack at a team that embarrassed them in Dallas last year; Eagles overdue for a cover in Big D, 0 for last 6. Dallas is 2-6 ATS with a -66 scoring differential in 3 home games. Saquon Barkley will go off here, and Dallas OL will dominate and Eagles will roll up 33+ points. Dallas is allowing 28/G. Eagles have scored 93 in their last 3. Offense coming alive.