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    Sun, Sep 155:00 pm UTCFord Field
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Tampa Bay
    Buccaneers
    TB
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L4-2
    ATS4-2
    O/U4-2-0
    FINAL SCORE
    20
    -
    16
    Detroit
    Lions
    DET
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L4-1
    ATS4-1
    O/U2-3-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    4-2
    Win /Loss
    4-1
    4-2
    Spread
    4-1
    4-2-0
    Over / Under
    2-3-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    DB
    Avatar
    DB
    Avatar
    WR
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    NT
    Avatar
    DE
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    TB @ DET
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    TB @ DET
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    TB @ DET
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    72%
    PUBLIC
    28%
    MONEY
    14%
    PUBLIC
    86%
    MONEY
    Over64%
    PUBLIC
    Under36%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Over / UnderUNDER 51.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +662
    12-5 in Last 17 NFL Picks
    +562
    11-5-1 in Last 17 NFL O/U Picks
    Bob's Analysis:

    Tampa Bay look advantage of a weak Commanders secondary. Detroit’s defense looked to be improved and even though the game went into overtime the game still went under the total. Lions home games last season went over the total in seven out of 10, but they had one game last season with a total higher than 51 and that game also went under the total. We’ll take the contrarian route here, since the public is expecting a lot of points today.

    Pick Made: Sep 15, 3:55 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadTampa Bay +7.5 -108
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +346
    25-18 in Last 43 NFL Picks
    +93
    9-7 in Last 16 NFL ATS Picks
    +505.5
    11-6 in Last 17 TB ATS Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    The Bucs kept pace with the Lions until the waning moments in last year's playoffs as a 6-point underdog and there's additional value with the key number plus the hook in this one. The Lions survived last week but were fortunate to get past the Rams. Don't get comfortable laying key numbers with them.

    Pick Made: Sep 15, 3:15 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Over / UnderUNDER 51.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +791
    30-21 in Last 51 NFL Picks
    +120
    10-8 in Last 18 NFL O/U Picks
    +92
    2-1 in Last 3 DET O/U Picks
    Daniel's Analysis:

    Despite playing to a 31-23 result in last season's NFC Divisional round matchup, I think the Under is the play here. In the 2023 regular season, Detroit and Tampa Bay played to a score of 20-6. Tampa's 37-point performance last week came against the Commanders, who may have the league's worst defense. The Lions are much improved on the defensive side of the ball. Both of these teams rank among the slowest in pace of play, and the Lions could go with a run-heavy approach on offense. If the clock stays running, this game can go Under this inflated total of 51.5.

    Pick Made: Sep 15, 7:49 am UTC on BetMGM
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsRachaad White Over 25.5 Total Receiving Yards -113
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +659
    11-4 in Last 15 NFL Player Props Picks
    Daniel's Analysis:

    The Lions defensive front brought heavy pressure in Week 1, and I expect more of the same against Baker Mayfield and the Bucs. Look for Mayfield to screen and check down often to RB Rachaad White, who is a skilled pass-catching back. In Week 1, White had 6 receptions on 6 targets for 75 receiving yards, including a 32-yarder that he broke off. In last year's playoff matchup against Detroit, White went over this receiving yards total. The Bucs are big underdogs, and if they are playing from behind, White can also eclipse this number in "garbage time." I would even consider laddering up White's receiving yards.

    Pick Made: Sep 15, 7:04 am UTC on FanDuel
    Point SpreadDetroit -7 -114
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +780
    10-2-1 in Last 13 NFL Picks
    +480
    7-2-1 in Last 10 NFL ATS Picks
    +246
    7-4 in Last 11 TB ATS Picks
    Zack's Analysis:

    The Detroit Lions will be sizable favorites every week, and showed that with an enormous line move before Sunday night football last week. Now instead of a 3.5 point favorite they have ballooned double the number against Tampa Bay. This is a rare spot I don’t mind backing the big number. This is the third matchup between the Lions and Buccaneers over the last two seasons, and Tampa Bay has always been an untrustworthy team off a big win. Lay it with the Lions

    Pick Made: Sep 15, 3:17 am UTC on Sugar House
    Point SpreadTampa Bay +7.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2163
    30-9-1 in Last 40 NFL Picks
    +930
    10-1-1 in Last 12 NFL ATS Picks
    +490
    5-1 in Last 6 TB ATS Picks
    Jimmie's Analysis:

    Once I saw the hook on this spread I jumped on it. I have the Lions winning here by six, so this is a nice value on a Tampa Bay team that has plenty of experience and looked good in Week 1.

    Pick Made: Sep 14, 4:01 am UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsChris Godwin Over 57.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
    WIN
    Unit1.5
    +879.5
    17-9 in Last 26 NFL Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Chris Godwin looked fully healthy in Week 1 on his way to a 8 target, 83 yard performance, where Godwin routinely showed up his ability to make tough catches for 1st downs. Godwin showed some burst that he simply didnt have last season as he was clearly operating at less than 100% for the majority of the season. Baker Mayfield is also locked in and I expect significant passing volume while the Bucs struggle to run the ball, in addition to a game with a 51 point total being played in a dome.

    Pick Made: Sep 12, 12:20 am UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsAmon-Ra St. Brown Over 80.5 Total Receiving Yards -118
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +680.5
    37-27 in Last 64 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    This game-changer was quiet in Week 1 but he has been a menace to the Bucs D and he gets to face them with a beat up secondary here. ARSB caught 20 of 29 targets vs them last season (including playoffs) and had 124 in the regular season meeting (77 in playoffs). Since 2022, at home, St Brown averages 7 catches for 89 yards. His YAC abilities are special and even underneath and screens can be big gains. Head coach loves him and I can't imagine he isn't featured here.

    Pick Made: Sep 11, 2:52 pm UTC on Caesars
    Total Home PointsDetroit Under 30.5 Total Pts -118
    WIN
    Unit0.25
    +70
    3-1 in Last 4 NFL Team Props Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    As much as I like the Lions this year, it's not that easy to score 31 points in the NFL -- so this number is almost an auto-Under for me unless, you know, some offense gets to face White Sox pitching. Detroit scoring 40 wouldn't shock me, but the Lions only had 20 in regulation in Week 1 vs. the Rams. Tampa Bay's defense played quite well in the opening win over Washington. When these clubs played in last season's Divisional Round also at Ford Field, the Lions won 31-23, but Baker Mayfield had two picks that helped lead to those 31 points. The SL Model has the Lions with 24 points.

    Pick Made: Sep 10, 9:56 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Point SpreadDetroit -6 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +535
    27-20-1 in Last 48 NFL Picks
    +75
    3-2 in Last 5 NFL ATS Picks
    +1141.5
    38-24-1 in Last 63 DET ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Bucs' passing game looked incredible in Week 1, but that came against probably the worst secondary in the league. Detroit's secondary didn't completely shut down the Rams but certainly fared better than last season, and I expect their pass rush to make life more difficult for Baker Mayfield here. The Bucs lost three CBs to injury in Week 1 and they should struggle to contain this Lions offense in Detroit. I have this line at Lions -8 and think we're getting excellent value fading the Bucs off a dominant win against a weak opponent.

    Pick Made: Sep 09, 6:59 pm UTC on BetMGM

    Team Injuries

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Monday, Oct 14, 2024
    Avatar
    DB
    Christian Izien
    ElbowQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Trey Palmer
    ConcussionQuestionable
    Avatar
    C
    Graham Barton
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Rachaad White
    FootQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Kameron Johnson
    AnkleQuestionable
    Sunday, Oct 13, 2024
    Avatar
    DB
    Jamel Dean
    HamstringQuestionable
    Detroit Lions
    Sunday, Oct 13, 2024
    Avatar
    NT
    Kyle Peko
    PectoralQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    Aidan Hutchinson
    Lower LegOut
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