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    Sun, Sep 085:00 pm UTCLucas Oil Stadium
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Houston
    Texans
    HOU
    Last 2 ATS
    W/L2-0
    ATS0-2
    O/U1-1-0
    FINAL SCORE
    29
    -
    27
    Indianapolis
    Colts
    IND
    Last 2 ATS
    W/L0-2
    ATS1-1
    O/U1-1-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 2 ATS
    2-0
    Win /Loss
    0-2
    0-2
    Spread
    1-1
    1-1-0
    Over / Under
    1-1-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    SAF
    Avatar
    RB
    Avatar
    RB
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    DE
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    HOU @ IND
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    HOU @ IND
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    HOU @ IND
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    43%
    PUBLIC
    57%
    MONEY
    83%
    PUBLIC
    17%
    MONEY
    Over78%
    PUBLIC
    Under22%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadIndianapolis +3 +100
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Daniel's Analysis:

    Divisional home underdogs in Week 1 are 22-7 ATS since 2010, and 9-2 ATS since 2018. The Texans come into this season with as much hype as any team, but it does feel a bit rushed. Colts QB Anthony Richardson remains a fairly unknown commodity, but has all the potential in the world as a mobile QB in this Shane Steichen offense. The betting handle is heavy on the Texans, so I'll play the house and take the home dogs. CJ Stroud went just 3-5 ATS as a favorite last year. If Richardson stays healthy, look for the Colts to make noise in the AFC this season.

    Pick Made: Sep 08, 4:27 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadHouston -2.5 -120
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +656
    19-11-1 in Last 31 IND ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    The Colts play extremely well at home, but Anthony Richardson is basically still a rookie given his limited play in 2023 (and the way he looked in the preseason). The Texans upgraded significantly around C.J. Stroud with Joe Mixon and Stefon Diggs boosting an offense that was already running smoothly. Both teams have the chances to win the AFC South this season, but the Texans might be one of the best teams in the conference.

    Pick Made: Sep 08, 4:04 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsAdonai Mitchell Over 2.5 Total Receptions -143
    LOSS
    Unit1.5
    Erik's Analysis:

    This is -175 on most sites and will be 3.5 soon. A full 1.5 unit play. He’s a emerging player who will exceed expectations

    Pick Made: Sep 08, 3:03 pm UTC on Sugar House
    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsAdonai Mitchell Over 2.5 Total Receptions -143
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Alex's Analysis:

    Adonai Mitchell looks set for a full time roll and heavy route participation in Week 1 after Colts starting slot receiver Josh Downs has been ruled out versus the Houston Texans. I was impressed with Mitchell’s usage in the preseason as he was able to draw targets from all over the field and looked to be the Colts most explosive receiving option. The Texans boasted an excellent run defense last season and were much more vulnerable through the air. I like Mitchell’s chances of at least 90% route participation and the impressive rookie should draw a healthy target share in the process.

    Pick Made: Sep 08, 7:37 am UTC on Sugar House
    Point SpreadIndianapolis +3 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +94
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
    +686
    9-1 in Last 10 HOU ATS Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    The Colts were a dropped pass at the goal line away from sneaking into the playoffs last year despite injuries to QB Anthony Richardson and other key players. Now, they' should be improved and are looking for a little payback against a Texans club that was probably a year ahead of schedule last year. They are the trendy pick to win the division, but will face resistance from a Colts club that has its own designs on a breakout season.

    Pick Made: Sep 04, 10:29 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Point SpreadIndianapolis +3 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +82
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
    +948
    45-32-2 in Last 79 IND ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    These teams played for the division crown in Week 18 last year, with the Texans winning a tight matchup. That the Colts were neck and neck with Houston despite playing most of the year with a backup QB is impressive, and I expect a run game that dominated that Week 18 matchup to be even better with Anthony Richardson back. Shane Steichen should have a field day attacking the Houston run defense. The line in Week 18 was Houston -1.5 in Indy, and now the Colts have their QB back, so I have to think we're getting value catching the full field goal.

    Pick Made: Sep 04, 1:12 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Point SpreadIndianapolis +2.5 +100
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +255
    9-6 in Last 15 NFL Picks
    +155
    8-6 in Last 14 NFL ATS Picks
    +230
    10-7 in Last 17 IND ATS Picks
    Emory's Analysis:

    Before he went out of the game with an injury last season, Anthony Richardson and the Colts were up 14-0 against the Texans. Now, both teams have improved on both sides of the ball this offseason, but there's no reason why the Colts shouldn't be taken seriously in this ball game against a division foe.

    Pick Made: Sep 04, 12:37 pm UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderUNDER 49.5 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +229.5
    20-16 in Last 36 NFL Picks
    +106.5
    3-2 in Last 5 NFL O/U Picks
    +285
    4-1 in Last 5 HOU O/U Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    I don’t see this game being played in the 50s. Indy will want to run the ball and they play good defense. Plus, I’m not sure Houston is the offensive juggernaut that they hype train is selling. And the Texan D is improved. Divisional game and two good coaches. Under

    Pick Made: Sep 03, 5:49 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Point SpreadHouston -2.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +89
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
    +929
    39-27-4 in Last 70 HOU ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Anthony Richardson may ultimately become a top-flight NFL quarterback, but right now his accuracy and decision-making are lacking. That was evident throughout the preseason, in games and joint practices. The Texans have no such concerns with C.J. Stroud. With the second-year star on a cheap contract, they wisely went all-in this offseason, landing Danielle Hunter (16.5 sacks), Stefon Diggs, Joe Mixon, Folo Fatukasi and Azeez Al-Shaair, among others. Houston won the division last year despite being the NFL's most injured team. The Texans are relatively healthy now and poised for greatness. Look for Indy to fall to 0-10-1 straight-up in its last 11 season openers, and lose by a field goal or more.

    Pick Made: Sep 01, 7:56 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Money LineIndianapolis +110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +400
    4-0 in Last 4 NFL Picks
    +200
    3-1 in Last 4 IND ML Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    I'm a pretty big fan of the Colts this year and I think they are very live to win the AFC South. They get the Texans at home Week 1 and I think it's a good spot to lean on Anthony Richardson and Jonathan Taylor behind a solid offensive line. I think we're going to see some ball control and bludgeoning at the line of scrimmage, similar to the gameplan that the Ravens undertook against the Texans in the playoffs. The Colts secondary is a question, but they're very solid at almost every other position group. Home team gets the win here.

    Pick Made: Aug 05, 6:16 pm UTC on Caesars

    Team Injuries

    Houston Texans
    Friday, Sep 20, 2024
    Avatar
    RB
    Joe Mixon
    AnkleDoubtful
    Avatar
    RB
    Dameon Pierce
    HamstringOut
    Wednesday, Sep 18, 2024
    Avatar
    C
    Jarrett Patterson
    CalfQuestionable
    Monday, Sep 16, 2024
    Avatar
    SAF
    M.J. Stewart
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    C
    Juice Scruggs
    GroinQuestionable
    Indianapolis Colts
    Friday, Sep 20, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Michael Pittman
    BackQuestionable
    Sunday, Sep 15, 2024
    Avatar
    DE
    Laiatu Latu
    HipQuestionable
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