The Cardinals have now pulled off a few surprising wins this season, but after each of them, they have fallen back to reality. The same will happen here against a Seahawks team that needs a win – and some help – to make the playoffs. Seattle has largely dominated this rivalry in the recent past, and there is so much public action on Arizona that value has returned to the line. The Cards remain a bottom defensive team, and at under a field goal, I'm fine with making a play for the better team this season to go all out with something to gain from a win.

It would benefit Arizona potentially in a big way to lose from a draft pick perspective, although obviously players don't think that way. If I'm the GM? Calling down to the sideline and saying get Kyler Murray out of there early. The big worry here is that at halftime if Green Bay is pummeling Chicago, then Seattle really has little reason to care in the second half because it needs a win and Packers loss to get in the playoffs -- the same scenario as Week 18 last year. Don't really see the Packers blowing out the Bears.

The Seahawks have been overrated and underachieving most of the season. But with their meager playoff hopes still alive, this is a value price for a win against a Cardinals club that saw its Super Bowl come last week in an upset over coach Jonathan Gannon's former team in the Eagles.

The Seahawks missed 19 tackles in their uninspiring loss to Pittsburgh last week, but the return of linebacker Jordyn Brooks provides a huge boost. Arizona just lost starting left tackle D.J. Humphries, another factor that should aid a struggling Seattle defense. Geno Smith is poised to pick apart an Arizona defense that ranks dead last against the pass over the past five games. This line has moved too much based on Arizona's upset win in Philly. Look for the desperate Seahawks to cover this small number.

Arizona's wow win at Philadelphia last week and a recent trend of teams eliminated from the playoffs thriving in the season's final week have driven this line below a field goal. Thank you. Under coach Pete Carroll, the Seahawks have qualified for the postseason in 10 of the past 13 seasons, and it's a stretch to envision them flubbing a must-win game agains a 4-12 foe. Seattle has dominated the series, with four consecutive ATS victories and five of the last six. And while Arizona's coaching staff no doubt craves a win, will the front office get involved? The Cardinals could draft as high as second with a loss yet could drift all the way to No. 7 with a W.

D.K. Metcalf missed the first meeting with Arizona. He should thrive in this matchup because of the Cardinals' particular scheme and due to his matchup with cornerback Starling Thomas. The Seahawks' season is on the line and I expect them to ride their best offensive player.

With Jamal Adams on injured reserve, Julian Love is a fulltime player. He made 14 tackles last week vs. Pittsburgh and should be on the field for every defensive snap at Arizona. Look for Love to clear this prop total for the seventh time in his last nine games.

The Seahawks still have a chance to make the playoffs but first and foremost they need to take care of business and beat the Cardinals who will certainly be looking to play spoiler against a divisional rival. With Seattle needing to win and the Cardinals sporting one of the worst run defenses in the league, it is likely we see the Seahawks lean heavily on RB Kenneth Walker. Arizona is 29th in EPA allowed per rush, 32nd in defensive run grade, and 28th in Run Stop Win Rate. Look for Walker to bed fed early and often in what is a fantastic matchup.

Since Week 12 Seattle has allowed 5.0/carry, 30th in the NFL. They have allowed 160 rushing yards or more in three straight games and four of the last five. The Cardinals can run the ball and Conner can be a workhorse. Arizona is 2nd in the NFL in yards/carry and Seattle is 25th for the season in yards/carry allowed. Either Steelers RB could shred them last week, and Conner will pick up where they left off.

Since Week 12 the Seahawks have allowed 12 rushing TDs, most in the NFL by a large margin - three more than any other team. That's how the Cardinals score and Conner will probably get another 25 carries against this broken run defense. No one should poach him except maybe the QB, though we haven't seen a ton of that this season (four in row without Kyler Murray rushing TD). No reason not to get very physical against this Seattle D inside the RZ. Conner will lead that charge.

Cardinals coming off their Super Bowl, beating the Eagles outright to really ruin Gannon's old team's season. Seahawks fighting for their playoff lives -- they're in with a win and the Bears beating the Packers. I think Chicago keeps it close with Green Bay in that game because the Packers defense isn't likely to close anyone out. Which means the Seahawks are very likely to keep their foot on the gas offensively and defensively throughout the entirety of this game. Even if Seattle is scoreboard watching -- and they won't likely be getting any updates until later in the game if at all -- Pete Carroll won't let his team stop trying to compete. Seahawks motivation factor here is just too high to ignore.

The Cardinals are coming off a massive upset win over the Eagles that was more dominant than the final score indicated. However, I expect this to be a letdown spot after they got a win for coach Jonathan Gannon against his former team. The Seahawks defense looked terrible against the Steelers but the team still won the yards per play battle thanks to the effectiveness of the offense, which I expect to score a lot of points this week. I'd make this the line at full motivation for each team, but with the chance Arizona checks out, the value is on the Seahawks.