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    Thu, Nov 239:30 pm UTCAT&T Stadium
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Washington
    Commanders
    WAS
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L4-13
    ATS6-10
    O/U10-7-0
    FINAL SCORE
    10
    -
    45
    Dallas
    Cowboys
    DAL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L12-5
    ATS10-7
    O/U9-7-1
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    4-13
    Win /Loss
    12-5
    6-10
    Spread
    10-7
    10-7-0
    Over / Under
    9-7-1
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    DE
    Avatar
    OG
    Avatar
    DB
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    DB
    Avatar
    CB
    Avatar
    OT
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    WAS @ DAL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    WAS @ DAL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    WAS @ DAL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    46%
    PUBLIC
    54%
    MONEY
    10%
    PUBLIC
    90%
    MONEY
    Over60%
    PUBLIC
    Under40%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadWashington +13.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +1209.5
    67-51-5 in Last 123 NFL Picks
    +85
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
    +355
    9-5-1 in Last 15 WAS ATS Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    It looks as though this major spread move won't hit the massive key number of +14, but there's still enough value to back a flawed but desperate underdog with a spread that has moved 3 points since the opener. The Cowboys have been great at crushing poor teams at home, besting the Jets, Rams, Patriots and Giants by an average of nearly 28 points. But they are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home Thanksgiving games, and the mercurial Commanders have done their best ATS work on the road. Three of their four wins have come away from home, and they also covered the number against Philadelphia and Seattle.

    Pick Made: Nov 23, 7:17 pm UTC
    Point SpreadWashington +13.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2053
    98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Picks
    +1733
    78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
    +687
    40-30 in Last 70 WAS ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    Everyone expects this game to be a blowout, but I believe the market has pushed the line too far. The lookahead for this game was just Cowboys -9.5 before the Commanders got embarrassed by the Giants, but I don't believe they're fundamentally any different of a team and the line has blown past my projection of Cowboys -11.5. I'll take the two points of line value with an offense capable of moving the ball through the air and getting a garbage time score to cover. The Cowboys are on a 1-11 ATS run on Thanksgiving and haven't won by more than eight points on the day since 2009. Let's fade this huge line move and back recent history.

    Pick Made: Nov 23, 4:18 pm UTC
    Point SpreadDallas -12.5 -114
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +739
    47-36-4 in Last 87 NFL ATS Picks
    +277
    5-2 in Last 7 DAL ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    We are careful regarding the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, which has been a huge money-loser for Dallas backers across the past decade (Jerry Jones 1-11 vs. line last 12 Turkey Day specials in Arlington). And we are skeptical of the rampant Dak Prescott hype, fueled by his efforts vs. lesser teams. Well, here comes another of those, as Washington looks on the ropes after a second consecutive loss to the Giants (the Giants?), and Ron Rivera's situation becoming all the more tenuous. Who is next on the Cowboys' schedule, anyway...Rice? Play Cowboys

    Pick Made: Nov 23, 11:44 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsBrandin Cooks Over 36.5 Total Receiving Yards -119
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +515
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    The Cowboys went out and got Brandin Cooks for a reason and that reason is coming to fruition as his target share has surpassed Michael Gallup and remains high above Jalen Tolbert. CeeDee Lamb will certainly dominate targets, but next in line is Brandin Cooks, and against this Commanders defense he may get it on one reception. The good news is he should have 4-5 targets so he may get there on volume as well.

    Pick Made: Nov 23, 3:23 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing AttemptsSam Howell Over 38.5 Total Passing Attempts -114
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +515
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    Sam Howell has hit this pass attempt number in 5 games in a row and 7 of his last 8. He gets another negative game script against the Cowboys and it's very unlikely that the Washington running game shows up. That means plenty of passes from Sam Howell yet again. I like the completions number for Howell as well, but my preference is the attempts in case we see some inefficiency thanks to an aggressive and chaotic Cowboy defense.

    Pick Made: Nov 23, 2:56 am UTC
    Over / UnderOver 48.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +496
    25-18-2 in Last 45 NFL Picks
    +88
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL O/U Picks
    +633
    14-7 in Last 21 DAL O/U Picks
    Micah's Analysis:

    The Cowboys not only won at home often, but over the last three seasons they’ve gone 17-5 SU and 15-7 ATS, including 4-0 SU and ATS this season. They score a ton at home and the defense contributes which is almost an expectant. They’ve gone 7-1 SU and ATS as the favorite. They’ve gone Over the total in three of their four home games. Washington will help with the scoring. Over is the top play in this game.

    Pick Made: Nov 22, 9:52 pm UTC
    Over / UnderOver 48.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Will's Analysis:

    There's a shootout coming in this spot on Thanksgiving. The Commanders defense is completely neutered and the Cowboys are rolling big time right now. Dak Prescott's playing as well as anyone quarterback in football over the last month-plus, and he'd be getting MVP buzz if the Cowboys needed to do anything on offense against the Panthers. CeeDee Lamb is coming off a "small" game, so I'd expect a massive holiday bounceback here. Sam Howell makes a bunch of mistakes but he's also capable of letting some deep shots fly.

    Pick Made: Nov 22, 6:03 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsCeeDee Lamb Over 89.5 Total Receiving Yards -118
    LOSS
    Unit2.0
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Cowboys blew out another overmatched opponent last week, but they did so with CeeDee Lamb recording just 38 receiving yards. Considering he averages over 100 on the season and had come in with four straight 100-yard games, getting to 100 in an average matchup is a reasonable expectation. But this week he's facing the atrocious Commanders defense, the only team to allow 2,000 receiving yards to WRs this season. With the Washington pass offense proving capable, the Cowboys will need to stay on the gas throughout this game, and that means feeding Lamb constantly. I'd ladder this Over as high as it can go.

    Pick Made: Nov 22, 2:42 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing + Receiving YardsBrandin Cooks Over 37.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1656
    123-86 in Last 209 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    For three straight games now, Michael Gallup has been on the field for less than half of Dallas' offensive plays. That leaves Brandin Cooks as the No. 2 behind CeeDee Lamb. Cooks has been targeted 14 times over the past two games, and on Thursday he faces a horrific Washington pass defense. Look for Cooks, who also can be used on end-arounds, to notch at least 40 yards from scrimmage.

    Pick Made: Nov 22, 4:00 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsSam Howell Over 257.5 Total Passing Yards -101
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Been riding this a bit and even with a ridiculous six turnovers last week he still got to 255. Dallas should be up big and Commanders will let him throw trying to pad the stats and score some points. He leads the NFL in yards and completions and has been far better on the road than at home. Averages 271 ys/G on the road and is 9th in the NFL in road passer rating. Also has 10 TDs to 2 INTs in those 6 road games. The INTs give me pause but he will see plenty of soft shells down multiple scores and I like him to bounce back here. Dallas is far more stout against the run, and we could get 45 passing attempts.

    Pick Made: Nov 21, 9:34 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsDak Prescott Over 277.5 Total Passing Yards -128
    WIN
    Unit2.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    This number will go up. Washington pass D is horrendous (28th in y/pass) and Dak has 300+ yards and 4 TDS in each of his last 2 at home vs WSH. He averages 309/G in his last 5 at home. Commanders can't cover Lamb in the slot or Cooks on the outside. WSH traded both starting edge rushers, and they won't get 9 sacks here. Yes, I am playing this in alt markets at 300 and above. Even in a blowout win, they'll air it out against an inferior foe. It's how they roll. Last week outdoors on the road with the blip. This is another 40-burger. Put on a show for Jerry Jones and all of 'Merica.

    Pick Made: Nov 21, 8:59 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsSam Howell Under 255.5 Total Passing Yards -135
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +845.5
    74-54 in Last 128 NFL Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    This is a brutal matchup for Sam Howell who will face a Cowboys pass defense that is 2nd in EPA allowed per dropback. Dallas is surrendering a paltry 170 passing yards per game to opposing QBs. While Sam Howell and the Commanders have orchestrated one of the highest volume passing offenses in the league this year, it has resulted in Howell getting sacked a league high 54 times. This doesnt bode well against an elite Dallas pass rush that excels at getting quick pressure on QBs.Howell has held onto the ball too long trying to make big plays down the field.

    Pick Made: Nov 21, 8:35 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Washington Commanders
    Sunday, May 12, 2024
    Avatar
    CB
    Jartavius Martin
    AnkleQuestionable
    Wednesday, May 01, 2024
    Avatar
    DE
    Jonathan Allen
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    Efe Obada
    Lower LegQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Christian Holmes
    ConcussionQuestionable
    Avatar
    TE
    Armani Rogers
    AchillesQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Andrew Wylie
    ElbowQuestionable
    Avatar
    SAF
    Darrick Forrest
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Tariq Castro-Fields
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    SAF
    Percy Butler
    WristQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Chris Rodriguez Jr.
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    OG
    Braeden Daniels
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Dax Milne
    GroinQuestionable
    Avatar
    C
    Ricky Stromberg
    KneeQuestionable
    Tuesday, Feb 13, 2024
    Avatar
    OG
    Nick Allegretti
    ElbowQuestionable
    Avatar
    DB
    Jeremy Reaves
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Jamin Davis
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Dallas Cowboys
    Wednesday, May 01, 2024
    Avatar
    DB
    C.J. Goodwin
    PectoralQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Josh Ball
    HipQuestionable
    Avatar
    TE
    Peyton Hendershot
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    T.J. Bass
    ElbowQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Deuce Vaughn
    AnkleQuestionable
    Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
    Avatar
    TE
    Luke Schoonmaker
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    DT
    Mazi Smith
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Monday, Feb 12, 2024
    Avatar
    CB
    Trevon Diggs
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    David Durden
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    TE
    John Stephens, Jr.
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    DeMarvion Overshown
    Knee - ACLQuestionable