These clubs combined for 21 points in their first meeting a month ago. That was when the Giants had a functional QB and before Washington traded away some key pieces of its defense. Even so, those developments can be considered a push and the gam script for this one should be similar to the clunker they collaborated on in their first meeting.

New York is only averaging 11.8 points this season. The Commanders offense can put up points at least. However, New York’s defense kept the Washington offense in check in their first meeting, holding them to only seven points. The Commanders should have more success today, but New York’s offense won’t do much.

While the Giants defense has been solid all throughout the season considering the circumstances, the offense hasn't been as trustworthy. Look for this passing game of Washington to find a way to make a few more plays to help cover this spread.

We've all heard about Washington's pass rate over expectation this season, but I think this game will showcase both teams running the ball, chewing clock and limiting possessions. It's rare you'll see Washington favored by more than a touchdown and it's this type of unusual game script that likely leads to Howell dialing the passing back just enough to fall under this passing yard total.

Is Tommy DeVito 16.5 points worse than Tyrod Taylor? You could argue that's what's being said with this line, which has the Giants getting 9.5 points less than a month after they beat Washington by 7 with their backup QB. DeVito was bad the last two weeks, but in a divisional game against a Commanders team the Giants haven't lost to since January 2022 -- and one that recently had a fire sale -- N.Y. isn't likely to get blown out. Grab the points.

The Giants take the DeVito show on the road for a third straight game: next stop Washington. Washington has obvious holes on defense, but the offense continues to churn through the improved play of Sam Howell. If you think that DeVito will be more comfortable now that he's got two full games under his belt, keep in mind that teams also have two weeks of film to exploit his weaknesses even more. I think the opening line of -10 was appropriate and I'm happy to lay the -8.5.

What has this offense shown us under Tommy Devito that makes me think they can keep this remotely close? Nothing. However, 9.5 is just too many points for such a low total. I expect Wink Martindale to blitz the living daylights out of Sam Howell and make it hard on the Washington offense. This one is as ugly as you’d expect, but I'll still take the points.

There should be plenty of opportunity here for Daniel Bellinger. Even with Tommy DeVito, that absence of Darren Waller is benefiting Bellinger. He's had 2 catches for 34 yards and 3 catches for 43 yards in the last 2 games. The over here is 11-2 when he has at least 3 targets. And given the potential of garbage time and playing from behind, this feels like a good spot for Bellinger to see action.

In last 2 months his median is 73 yards per game and 9 targets. The Giants are not only bad v the pass but also banged up in the secondary. He had 90 v the Giants earlier in the year and I think anything under 70 yards has value.

Among the items New York is desperate for is a home game. The Giants must wait awhile after getting sent on the road for the third consecutive week following defeats by 24 and 32 points. They have covered in one of sox roadies. The Commanders' biggest negative -- extensive sacks for QB Sam Howell -- has been mitigated somewhat, with seven allowed the past three outings. Washington has not won by double digits in two years. This one should break the spell.

The Giants look hopeless on offense, but the same could be said for the Commanders on defense, right? Washington has held one opponent under 350 yards since Week 1 and nearly gave up 500 yards to the Seahawks last week after trading away two key defensive linemen earlier this season. Tommy DeVito was able to move the ball against the Raiders after a couple ugly picks, and he finished that game 15-of-20 for 175 yards after Daniel Jones' injury. If he's similarly effective here, this number is far too high. I'm backing it now with the Giants injury report not looking nearly as bad as expected.

This kid leads the league in yards and completions and his bosses are trying to save their jobs - how do you think they do that? Let the QB shine and go wild against bad teams. Yeah, the Giants held him in check in that weird first meeting but he still went over this number (249). He's over 300 three weeks in a row and oozing confidence. Giants love to blitz and Howell is the NFL's 11th leading passer when you bring five or more pass rushers, and I think he'll handle that just fine here. Giants seem to be out of steam and out of fight and they're 29th against the pass. Sam will get some revenge here and flll up the boxscore.