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Tue, Feb 0312:00 am UTCGainbridge Fieldhouse
Houston
Rockets
HOU
Last 5 ATS
W/L33-19
ATS23-29
O/U22-30-0
FINAL SCORE
118
-
114
Indiana
Pacers
IND
Last 5 ATS
W/L14-40
ATS27-27
O/U22-32-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
33-19
Win /Loss
14-40
23-29
Spread
27-27
22-30-0
Over / Under
22-32-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
HOU @ IND
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
HOU @ IND
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OVER / UNDER
HOU @ IND
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40%
PUBLIC
60%
MONEY
78%
PUBLIC
22%
MONEY
Over88%
PUBLIC
Under12%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
ReboundsJabari Smith Over 6.5 Total Rebounds -143
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1112
88-66 in Last 154 NBA Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Jabari Smith Jr. has cleared this rebounding line in 12/15 games against teams in the bottom 10 of rebounds allowed, of which the Pacers rank 29th. Plus, no Kevin Durant with Reed Sheppard replacing him as a starter, should spell more opportunities for Smith. I’d bet this at over 7.5 for plus odds.

Pick Made: Feb 02, 11:35 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadIndiana +6.5 -110
WIN
Unit0.5
+731.5
14-6 in Last 20 NBA Picks
+185
5-1 in Last 6 NBA ATS Picks
+643
19-11-1 in Last 31 HOU ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

No Kevin Durant tonight, the Rockets (4-12 ATS in past 16 overall) are 2-0 without him but averaged just 109.0 PPG in those two, well down from their season average. Also a one-game trip that NBA players despise and with a much bigger game next back home vs. Boston. Indiana is getting healthy and has won two in a row at home and three of four overall. And obviously I don't need anything near a win, even though our model has Indiana doing just that. The Pacers lost by seven in Houston in late December when they were playing horribly and Durant had 30 points.

Pick Made: Feb 02, 11:01 pm UTC on Caesars
Avatar
ReboundsTari Eason Over 6.5 Total Rebounds -133
WIN
Unit1.0
+368
8-4 in Last 12 NBA Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Tari Eason averaged 7.8 rebounds in January, and his minutes could go up with Kevin Durant out. The Pacers give up the second-most rebounds in the NBA. Back Eason to clear this prop total for the eighth time in the past 12 games.

Pick Made: Feb 02, 10:19 pm UTC on BetMGM
SpreadIndiana +6.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+693
30-21 in Last 51 NBA ATS Picks
+1048
38-25 in Last 63 IND ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

The marketplace made an adjustment for Houston early this season when the Rockets and their big lineup were laying waste to most of their opponents. Spreads began to inflate...and then Houston seemed to lose a bit of its edge. Across the last 16 games, the Rockets have covered just four, including Saturday's narrow win over the Mavs. Tonight at Indy, word is that Kevin Durant (ankle) will miss the game as well. Though the Pacers' season effectively ended last June when Tyrese Haliburton ruptured his Achilles, plus Obi Toppin's early-season injury, recent form not bad, with wins over the Hawks and Bulls this homestand, and sorts like Andrew Nembhard (26 vs. Atlanta on Saturday) still around to provide a spark. Play Pacers.

Pick Made: Feb 02, 5:07 pm UTC on Caesars
Avatar
REB + ASTAndrew Nembhard Over 10.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -112
LOSS
Unit1.0
Alex's Analysis:

Andrew Nembhard has been playing very good basketball for a Pacers team that has been playing much better as of late after a disastrous start to their season. Nembhard has served as their primary playmaker and is averaging 9 APG, in addition to 4 RPG in the month of January, while clearing this line in 12 of his last 14 appearances.

Pick Made: Feb 02, 4:10 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
REB + ASTAmen Thompson Over 13.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -133
WIN
Unit1.0
+1834
36-15 in Last 51 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Amen Thompson has recorded at least 14 combined rebounds and assists in six of his last eight games. He could have the ball in his hands even more Monday with Kevin Durant (ankle) out. Durant has missed two games this season and Thompson recorded at least 15 combined rebounds and assists in both of them. Also making this over appealing is that the Pacers allow the fourth-most rebounds per game in the league.

Pick Made: Feb 02, 4:00 pm UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

Houston Rockets
Tuesday, Oct 21, 2025
Avatar
PG
Fred VanVleet
KneeOut
Wednesday, Jan 28, 2026
Avatar
C
Steven Adams
AnkleOut
Indiana Pacers
Tuesday, Oct 28, 2025
Avatar
PG
Tyrese Haliburton
AchillesOut
Tuesday, Feb 10, 2026
Avatar
C
Ivica Zubac
AnkleOut
Avatar
PF
Jarace Walker
IllnessQuestionable
Monday, Feb 09, 2026
Avatar
SG
Johnny Furphy
KneeOut
Sunday, Feb 08, 2026
Avatar
SG
Ethan Thompson
ThumbQuestionable
Saturday, Jan 31, 2026
Avatar
PF
Obi Toppin
FootOut
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