Micah's Picks (1 Live)
Micah's Past Picks
The Rangers are only 27-30 on the season, struggling with their bats, averaging only 3.2 runs per game. The good news for bettors is that they're the best under team in baseball, staying under 39 times so far. Cardinals starter Matt Liberatore has allowed two runs or less in eight consecutive starts, with the Cardinals winning three of his last four. Jack Leiter has stayed under the total in three of his last four starts. This game stays under.
The Cubs stayed under the total three straight games against the Rockies, but it's the weather's fault. The wind was blowing in at Wrigley Field, now it's blowing out at 9 mph, and it's a good time to bet the over with the Reds in town, a team they went over three straight games with at Cincinnati last week. The Cubs lead baseball with the most runs scored and average .262, tied for second in MLB. Andrew Abbott faced the Cubs last week and only allowed one run in the Reds 6-4 win, which went over. Colin Rea was the starter for the Cubs, who allowed all six runs in five innings of the 6-4 game. Over is the play.
We got a great pitching match-up in Philadelphia with Chris Sale facing Zack Wheeler, and both teams are on under streaks. The Braves have stayed under in their last five games before the doubleheader today, while the Phillies have stayed under in four of their last five. This pitching matchup screams an under. Chris Sale has stayed under his last five starts, and Zack Wheeler has stayed under his last three starts. Let's go under.
The Blue Jays and Rangers have stayed under the total in four straight meetings, and the Rangers lead MLB with 38 unders, six more than the second most. They've gone under more than twice as much as they've got over. Tyler Mahle has stayed under seven of his last eight starts, with only 11 runs allowed in his last 10 starts. They’ve got the perfect under combination of hitters producing only 3.3 runs a game, great starting pitching, and Bruce Bochy managing it all. This game stays under.
The Twins have gone 4-4 since their 13-game win streak ended and have a tough starter to go against in Drew Rasmussen, who hasn't allowed a run in his last two starts. Minnesota has won all four May starts by Pablo Lopez, and he's got a great record on the road, posting a 1.55 ERA and allowing opponents a .194 batting average. The Rays are looking to start another winning streak after their six-game win streak was halted yesterday. Despite both teams being under squads with 31 unders apiece, it's going to be 90° in Tampa with wind blowing out the center at 8 miles an hour. Twins win.
Cleveland's got starting pitching problems, while the Dodgers have a hot Shohei Ohtani, who has hit a home run in three straight games and 20 for the year. The Dodgers have won four straight against Cleveland and six of their last seven. Cleveland will start Kolby Allard from the bullpen, who makes his first start of the season. The Dodgers have Clayton Kershaw on the mound, but he’s not the same Kershaw we remember. He’s had two starts so far and hasn't made it out of the fourth inning. The Dodgers win a slugfest.
The Rangers are three games under .500 at 26-29, but they're 17-11 at home, and most importantly, they've stayed under the total 37 times. Two out of every three games they play stay under the total, and the last three meetings with the Blue Jays have stayed under the total. Nathan Eovaldi has only allowed three runs in his last six starts. He's going to be in a close one today. Just the under.
The Tigers have won two straight after losing the first three of four against Cleveland, but they have a nice, comfortable five-game lead in the AL Central and face the Giants with ace Logan Webb starting, who gave up six runs his last time out against Kansas City. Webb is unique because he gets a decision in almost every appearance, going 4 and 4 in his last eight starts. But his last two wins on the year came against the slumping A's and the struggling Rockies. Jack Flaherty only has two wins on the season, and in his last seven starts, he's won only one game and lost the other six, but he was only terrible in one of them. Tigers win.
The Blue Jays are solid at home and just swept the Padres last week, but they fell into a road slump this weekend at Tampa Bay, only scoring two runs in the three losses. Kevin Gausman comes off his best outing of the season, beating the Padres 14-0, where he went seven strong innings, but he allowed six runs before that to Tampa Bay. Jacob deGrom had won four straight games, allowing a total of three runs until the Rangers lost his last time out to the Yankees, 4-3. Texas has been amazing at home, at 17-10 on the season. Rangers to win.
The Orioles have won two games in a row and three of their last six, but still come in with an 18-35 record, being 8-15 at home. The Cardinals have gone 11-15 on the road and just swept the Diamondbacks at home. Today, however, the bet is about Charlie Morton, who is making his first start since May 7th. All 10 appearances for Morton have resulted in Orioles losses. Erick Fedde gave up four runs in his last start against the Tigers, but he didn't allow any runs in his two previous starts. Cardinals to win.
We've got game two between the Diamondbacks at the Dodgers with both teams averaging 10.3 runs a game, and the total is 9.5 with Ryne Nelson pitching for the Diamondbacks and Yoshinobo Yamamoto pitching for the Dodgers. Yamamoto has allowed eight runs in his last two starts, including losing 5-3 to Arizona. The Dodgers have lost four in a row, and Arizona has won four of their last five. It's going to be 76° at Dodger Stadium with winds blowing out to center at 10 mph and no chance of rain. The Dodgers have gone over six of their last seven. Just the over.
The Red Sox have won Walker Buehler's last five starts, while the Mets have won seven of nine behind Clay Holmes. The Phillies took control of the NL East by half a game last night as they beat the Rockies and the Mets lost at Boston. The Red Sox are still one game under .500 at 24-25. The Mets have lost four of their last five, and this is a perfect park to break a hitting slump. Mets to win.
The Reds have won all four meetings with the Pirates this season, and they're on a streak of winning five in a row, which puts them one game over .500 on the season at 25-24. The Pirates average 2.96 runs scored per game and have only won 15 games this year, losing 33. They've lost four games in a row and seven of their last nine. Nick Martinez had a stellar outing against the White Sox his last time out, winning 7-1, not allowing a run in seven innings. The Pirates won Bailey Falter’s last two starts, and he didn't allow a run in either. Over the last week, the Reds have hit .305 while hitting 10 homers. Reds run-line.
It's going to be 70° at Yankee Stadium with winds blowing out to right-center at 17 mph with a 5% chance of rain as the Mets visit for the final time this year. This is the rubber match. Good pitching matchup tonight, although the Yankees lost for the first time with Max Fried in his ninth start, losing 2-1 at Seattle when he only allowed one run. Fried has allowed only two runs between his last five starts and has a 1.11 overall ERA. David Peterson has been steady for the Mets, who won six of his eight starts, but the Yankees are going to hit him. Yankees to win, run-line.