Monday, the Detroit Tigers head to Houston after delivering a home sweep this past weekend over the Baltimore Orioles. Their long term success has featured wins in eight out of ten games. Last week I noted their strong ability on winning game ones in series, which they have now done eight straight times. This is where I step in and go against the trend. As great as Jack Flaherty’s numbers are, Detroit has not scored a run in each of his last two starts. Take the home price reduction here on the Astros.

The Tampa Bay Rays go into Sunday’s series finale against the San Diego Padres on a four game winning streak. San Diego began the series 12-1 at home on the year, and have already doubled their home losses on the year. The losses have been attributed to the Padres struggles at the plate where they have totaled just one run over their last three games. Take the Rays to finally win with Zack Little on the mound as a slight road underdog.

Kansas City Royals starting pitcher in Seth Lugo has had issues withstanding beyond four innings this season. His last two starts the opponent has hit four total home runs in the fifth inning for a combined six runs. Although Lugo was phenomenal against the Astros last season, his current form even at home is too troublesome to bypass. Take the Astros as the slight road favorites.

Thursday, the Baltimore Orioles will look to avoid being swept for the first time this season. They’ve lost four of five games, and really have struggled at the plate with three runs or less in all four losses. A positive for the Orioles is they did generate ten hits in Wednesday’s loss, but were 1 for 12 with runners in scoring position. Look for better success today as MacKenzie Gore has given up five hits or more in three out of his last four starts. Take the Orioles

A price point that has come down is the Orioles road price today against the Washington Nationals. I believe that is the wrong move considering Orioles starter Dean Kremer settled in his last outing. Mitchell Parker of the Nationals has been outstanding to start the season, and pitched well against the Orioles last year. He gave up just two runs but the Nationals lost in extra innings. Expect a similar outcome with the Orioles outlasting the Nationals once Parker exits. Take Baltimore

The Detroit Tigers won have won six out of their past seven series, and took yesterday’s opener against the Padres. Early in the season San Diego has had road flaws where they are below .500 with a 4-6 record. Yet, the Padres had runners on base consistently yesterday against the Tigers. Jack Flaherty has yet to pitch six innings or more this season, leaving the door open for the Padres late. Take San Diego to bounce back from yesterday’s game one loss.

The Detroit Tigers will host a San Diego Padres team that is coming off a Sunday night win. Still, they are below .500 on the year on the road with a 4-5 record. Detroit on the other hand after an 0-3 start to the season has won five out of their last six series. Each opener of those six series they have won with an average run production of 7.3 runs. Take Detroit.

Toronto Blue Jays starter Easton Lucas is coming off a rough outing against the Atlanta Braves. Atlanta had three home runs off of Lucas, who also struggled with four total walks. This combined with the Mariners handling the Blue Jays ace in Jose Berrios Saturday, creates an over valued position in my opinion on Seattle. Take Toronto who wins the series over Seattle with two of three victories.

Early in the season the Milwaukee Brewers have been one of the more predictable teams in MLB. They’ve had three win streaks and two losing streaks, and were able to take advantage in game one yesterday against the Oakland As. It was the first time this season Oakland had played in a second straight road series. Expect for Oakland to be the first team to get after Brewers starter Chad Patrick. Take the As.

The Toronto Blue Jays Bowden Francis has been excellent on the season on minimizing runs. He has allowed three runs or less in each of his first three starts, and three of his four home runs allowed on the season have been solo shots. Expect the Blue Jays to keep his work load around five innings, to avoid the sixth inning troubles his has shown. Additionally, the Mariners are coming off an extra inning game yesterday against the Reds. Take Toronto.

Rays starting pitcher Drew Rasmussen is off to a stellar start to the season. He has a .60 ERA, in which he has allowed just one run in fifteen innings of work. The problem for the Rays is the extended use of their bullpen when Rasmussen starts. This has led to consecutive starts of Tampa Bay blowing leads when Rasmussen exits. The Yankees showcased Thursday how potent they can be at George Steinbrenner Field. They’ll overcome any issues Carlos Rodon has on the mound. Take the Yankees.

The Seattle Mariners picked up their first road win of the season in yesterday’s victory over the Cincinnati Reds. Today, Emerson Hancock will get his second start of the season after a disaster outing on March 31st, in which he gave up six runs on seven hits. Expect Hancock to settle in today at least the first time through the order, and for the Mariners to be ready with early use of the bullpen. Take the Mariners to get their first road win streak of the season.

Monday’s are a great day in baseball to attack value angles off of Sunday series. The Atlanta Braves continue to under perform where they are now 1-9 in road games. They also lost Sunday with their lead ace Chris Sale on the mound to the Tampa Bay Rays. Traveling to Toronto oddsmakers have not swayed their beliefs on the Braves for game one against Toronto. Starter Easton Lucas has been brilliant in two starts but has not went beyond 5 1/3 innings yet. Look for the Braves to possibly rattle him for an inning and finish the job against the Blue Jays pen. Take Atlanta.

The Seattle Mariners have enjoyed a home friendly schedule, as they go into their 13th home game out of 16 games on the season. Their bats have taken off with a surge in run production of three straight games of five runs or more. Today, look for the Rangers Nathan Eovaldi to cool their bats off, and what should be a low scoring game. Take the Rangers to outlast the Mariners on a moneyline that has ballooned Seattle’s side.

Two early season stats that I don’t expect to uphold today are the Atlanta Braves 0-8 road record, and Rays starter Drew Rasmussen’s .90 ERA. Atlanta’s bats started to pick it up a bit in their last series against the Phillies, in particular in the latter innings. Look for Atlanta to have success early against Rasmussen, and take on the necessary runs when he exits after five innings. Take the Braves to end their 0-8 record on the road.