ANALYSIS: Our SportslineAI is predicting 69.2 yards for Christian McCaffrey. Believe it or not, Dallas’ run defense isn’t as good as you think. Out of the teams remaining, only the Bengals and Giants allowed more rushing yards this season than the Cowboys, who ranked 22nd in rushing yards allowed. The Cowboys have a great pass rush, but you can nullify that if you simply run the ball. As for trends with CMC, he went over this number in four out of his last seven games, and all four were over 100 yards.

ANALYSIS: Our SportslineAI is predicting Christian Kirk to have 6.1 receptions, and it makes sense, as Kirk’s regular-season high in targets (12) and receptions (nine) came against the Chiefs. This is a bet that the Jaguars are down early and will have to throw the ball more often than not. The books agree with that premise, as the line for Trevor Lawrence’s completions this week (23.5) is the third-highest for QBs, after Mahomes and Burrow. Lawrence is going to be passing a bunch, yet Kirk’s reception line isn’t too inflated.

ANALYSIS: The Miami Heat are missing 4 starters. But really this is about OKC's constant undervalue by the market. This season the Thunder are 24-16 (60%) ATS and 10-2 (83%) ATS as road underdog's. Our SportslineAI model has OKC winning this game by 3 points but I am taking the points due to the fact that Miami will be unpredictable with so many players out. Lastly, OKC is more than just Shai Gilgeous-Alexander but it is going to be an SGA night, the Thunder will be playing on National TV for the first time since September 2020, if that isn't motivation, i don't know what is.

ANALYSIS: Our SportslineAI model is predicting a 113-117 win for Boston, a closer game than the 6.5 line suggests. The key to tonight's matchup is Kawhi Leonard. The Clippers are 11-3 in the 14 games Leonard has played in and those three losses were by 5, 5, and 17. The Clippers have only lost by more than 6.5 with Leonard once this season. If you need any more convincing for how key Leonard is; with him on the floor the Clippers are +14.5 points per 100 possessions. Without him, they are -3.4.

ANALYSIS: Our SportslineAI model is predicting a 238 point total for this game, a 1.5 point edge on the under. The Hornets played in Portland last night and are on the last stop of their six game road trip. The Warriors' last game was an emotionally fueled Christmas day game against the Grizzles and this is one of those games Draymond Green says it is difficult to get motivated for. Add in the fact that this line means that both teams need to average 60 point quarter totals, we only need one bad quarter for this to hit.