This could blow up in my face but Sportsline AI is projecting only 53 yards for Stefon Diggs. I don’t blame AI for thinking that though, the last time Diggs played the Jets he had 37 yards. The range of outcomes for Diggs can be huge, which makes this risky. Last season he had as high as 148 receiving yards and as low as 26. The Jets defense remains strong and last season they averaged the third best defensive passing yard defense allowing only 189 yards per game.

Sportsline AI is projecting 196 yards for Aaron Rodgers tonight which even for me sounds a little low. But in his last 10 games he’s averaged 209.8 yards per game only going over this line twice. I expect moments of brilliance from Rodgers, but just moments when he is needed most.

Sportsline AI is predicting 3.3 receptions for Marquez Valdes-Scantling with Travis Kelce playing. MVS averaged 2.5 receptions per a game in the regular season last year. Kelce averaged 6.5, if Kelce doesn’t play those 6.5 catches have to go somewhere. It’s a strong lean for now and a great bet if Kelce doesn’t play.

Sportsline AI is predicting 61.9 yards for Montgomery. Besides the prediction this comes down to game plan. If I am the Detroit Lions, I am keeping the ball out of Patrick Mahomes hands and running the ball. Plus, with no Chris Jones in the defensive line the Kansas City Chiefs are going to realize they need to give him a raise.

SportslineAI loves this over with a 5.1 - 4.9 scoreline totaling to 11 runs. Mike McClure broke down the pitchers perfectly in his pick explanation. Luis Severino on the season has a 7.49 ERA and now he is pitching against a Houston Astros team whom already average 4.7 runs per game on the season. The Yankees rank 7th in the league in home runs this season and Hunter Brown gives up a home run approximately 11% of his innings pitched.

SportslineAI has the probability of the Texas Rangers winning this game at 55%. Exactly what the line of -125 implied probability is. However, without the knowing Chicago's starting pitcher this number could change. If Chicago has to turn to a bullpen heavy the best offensive team in baseball could tear them apart. Join Early Edge in 5 at 4pm ET on the Sportsline Youtube page for more picks.

It seems like all of us are on the same side here. Each expert has their angle for why this is a great pick. Mine is simply the value of -110 according the SportslineAI. -110 is an implied probability of 52% and SportslinAI has Cincinnati's winning probability at 56%, a 4% edge.

Every game in the finals Jamal Murray has had at least 10 assists. The Miami Heat seem to be alright with allowing Nikola Jokic score and Murray to assist instead of the other way around. I am betting Murray's assist over until I see the Heat change their strategy.

SportslineAI is predicting 26 points, rebounds, and assists for Michael Porter Jr. tonight. In the last 10 games he has gone over this number in 8 of them averaging 14 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 1.9 assists. Last game he only had 11 PRA due to a bad three point shooting night, and if he isn’t providing offensive value, he is taken out of the game due to his defense. I expect him to regress back towards the mean and have closer to his average minutes and PRA.

Our SportslineAI have the San Francisco Giants winning this game at 61%. The Implied odds of -160 are also at 61% so we aren't getting a huge edge. However, the Giants are will have Logan Webb pitching. Webb is currently 11th in the league in ERA at 2.75. Combine him with the Giants bullpen who have combined for .79 ERA in 45 innings.

Jamal Murray averaged 32.5 points in the Lakers series where the line averaged at 25.5 points through four games. The books aren’t making any adjustment based on the Lakers series and our SportslineAI model doesn’t think his performance was just a few good games predicting 28.2 points.

Our SportslineAI is predicting 8.36 total runs. The New York Yankees scored 10 runs against the Seattle Mariners yesterday, and with Logan Gilbert starting for Seattle, New York should hav no trouble scoring again tonight. Gilbert has had 3 career starts against the Yankees (2 last season); in those games he is 1-1 with a 7.16 ERA. We won’t even need Seattle to score if Gilbert performs how he has against the Yankees in the past.

Our SportslineAI likes the Boston Celtics to do what has never been done before and win game 7 after being down 3-0, more specifically, win by 4.5 points. 151 teams have been down 3-0, Boston is only the fourth team in history to even force a game 7. None of the previous 3 won and with this line they need to win by 8. I will take the Heat and the points.

Robert Williams brings energy to the Boston Celtics. He has gone over this line in 6 of the 9 home games this playoffs averaging 15.2 points + assists + rebound. The Celtics shot their best 3-point game at 40% in game 4, if the three point shot starts to fall again look for the heat to start drifting closer to the 3 point line opening the lane for the Celtics only rim runner in Robert Williams.

SportslineAI is projecting a 3.2 - 5.3 game in the New York Yankees favor but we are going to play it a bit safer with the moneyline based off of yesterday's game. This analysis is about as simple as it is going to get. Tyler Wells has allowed at least one home run in 4 out of his last 5 games. He pitched 28.2 innings and allowed 7 homers in those last five. The Yankees have Aaron Judge with 14 HR and Anthony Rizzo 11 HR on the season. Join Early Edge in 5 on SportsLine's YouTube page at 4pm ET for more picks.