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Jason Spector
Jason Spector
The Speculator
As CBS Sports' lead data scientist, Jason is the architect of the ongoing rollout of SportslineAI. With a bachelors and masters in Statistics from UC Berkeley and the University of Arizona respectively, he brings advanced machine learning techniques to sports data. Jason created and taught sports analytics courses at both universities, working with Division I college coaches to improve their gameplans. His experience extends beyond the academic world though, as he spent multiple seasons working with the Golden State Warriors Analytics group. With a passion for sports analysis through data, Jason will supply picks that are objectively based on data with minimal human bias. For Jason Spector media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com
LAST 4 NFL PICKS
+210
Record: 3-1
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NFL | Minnesota 33 @ Buffalo 30 | 11/13 | 6:00 PM UTC

Minnesota +3.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: SportslineAI has this game as a pick’em when rounding the decimal scores. That is with the assumption that Josh Allen plays. Like Larry Hartstein said, for me, this is a calculated risk, even at +3.5 and Josh Allen playing our model thinks Minnesota has a 54% chance to cover. If Josh Allen doesn’t play then you get a great deal out of the line.

+210 3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL PICKS

NFL | Seattle 16 @ Tampa Bay 21 | 11/13 | 2:30 PM UTC

Seattle +2.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Our SportslineAI model has Seattle winning this game by 2 points. But due to the unpredictability of travel Seattle +2.5 is the play. I had Seattle ML against the Cardinals last week and said if Ken Walker III had a great game Seattle would win. Tampa Bay has the 23rd ranked rushing defense setting up Walker to be key again. Additionally, Tampa Bay’s offense last week only put up 16 points and have averaged 15 points in the last 4 games. If you still need convincing, Seattle’s last four games: 4 wins by an average of 12 points. And 3 of those games Seattle was an underdog.

+210 3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL PICKS

NBA | Utah 125 @ Atlanta 119 | 11/10 | 12:30 AM UTC

Utah +4

WIN

ANALYSIS: The SportslineAI model has the Utah Jazz winning this matchup against the Atlanta Hawks by a point. However, the 4 point spread gives me a little more comfort in this pick. The Jazz are the number one team in the West and it is because they play team basketball. In their top 10 man rotation not a single player has over 25% usage percentage. For comparison, the Hawks’ Trae Young usage is currently 36% and Dejonte Murray’s is 27%. The Hawks are a great team, but the unpredictability of the Jazz who have six players averaging double digit points per game makes Utah Jazz +4 the pick.

NFL | Seattle 31 @ Arizona 21 | 11/06 | 9:05 PM UTC

Seattle +110

WIN

ANALYSIS: Our SportslineAI model and Sim model both agree that Seattle will win this game. The implied odds of this game at +110 are 48%. SportslineAI believes that number should be closer to 54% giving you a 6% edge. Seattle’s offense has been fantastic and if Ken Walker III can pull off another 97 yard and a touchdown game like the last meeting between these two teams, the big play passes for Metcalf and Lockett will open up.

+210 3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL PICKS

NBA | Indiana 109 @ Brooklyn 116 | 10/31 | 11:30 PM UTC

Indiana +7.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: These teams played two nights ago where Brooklyn was a 10.5 point favorite. Even with Kyrie and KD combining for 61 points the Pacers won by 9 shooting an incredible 23-46 (50%) from behind the arc. Even with the Pacers’s great shooters and Brooklyn’s poor defense that number will most likely regress towards their mean of 39% on the season. Still, Brooklyn’s Defensive Rating is the worst in the league meaning +7.5 is too high. Our SportslineAI model likes Brooklyn to bounce back and secure a win but not to cover.