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    Jason Spector

    The Speculator

    As CBS Sports' lead data scientist, Jason is the architect of the ongoing rollout of SportslineAI. With a bachelors and masters in Statistics from UC Berkeley and the University of Arizona respectively, he brings advanced machine learning techniques to sports data. Jason created and taught sports analytics courses at both universities, working with Division I college coaches to improve their gameplans. His experience extends beyond the academic world though, as he spent multiple seasons working with the Golden State Warriors Analytics group. With a passion for sports analysis through data, Jason will supply picks that are objectively based on data with minimal human bias. For Jason Spector media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com

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    Jason's Past Picks

    Sep 12 2023, 12:15 am UTC
    League
    Buffalo
    16
    @ N.Y. Jets
    22
    Analysis:

    This could blow up in my face but Sportsline AI is projecting only 53 yards for Stefon Diggs. I don’t blame AI for thinking that though, the last time Diggs played the Jets he had 37 yards. The range of outcomes for Diggs can be huge, which makes this risky. Last season he had as high as 148 receiving yards and as low as 26. The Jets defense remains strong and last season they averaged the third best defensive passing yard defense allowing only 189 yards per game.

    Pick Made: Sep 11, 8:42 pm UTC
    Sep 12 2023, 12:15 am UTC
    League
    Buffalo
    16
    @ N.Y. Jets
    22
    Analysis:

    Sportsline AI is projecting 196 yards for Aaron Rodgers tonight which even for me sounds a little low. But in his last 10 games he’s averaged 209.8 yards per game only going over this line twice. I expect moments of brilliance from Rodgers, but just moments when he is needed most.

    Pick Made: Sep 11, 8:36 pm UTC
    Sep 08 2023, 12:20 am UTC
    League
    Detroit
    21
    @ Kansas City
    20
    Analysis:

    Sportsline AI is predicting 61.9 yards for Montgomery. Besides the prediction this comes down to game plan. If I am the Detroit Lions, I am keeping the ball out of Patrick Mahomes hands and running the ball. Plus, with no Chris Jones in the defensive line the Kansas City Chiefs are going to realize they need to give him a raise.

    Pick Made: Sep 07, 12:25 am UTC
    Sep 08 2023, 12:20 am UTC
    League
    Detroit
    21
    @ Kansas City
    20
    Analysis:

    Sportsline AI is predicting 3.3 receptions for Marquez Valdes-Scantling with Travis Kelce playing. MVS averaged 2.5 receptions per a game in the regular season last year. Kelce averaged 6.5, if Kelce doesn’t play those 6.5 catches have to go somewhere. It’s a strong lean for now and a great bet if Kelce doesn’t play.

    Pick Made: Sep 07, 12:27 am UTC
    Aug 04 2023, 11:05 pm UTC
    League
    Houston
    7
    @ N.Y. Yankees
    3
    +300
    4-1 in Last 5 MLB O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    SportslineAI loves this over with a 5.1 - 4.9 scoreline totaling to 11 runs. Mike McClure broke down the pitchers perfectly in his pick explanation. Luis Severino on the season has a 7.49 ERA and now he is pitching against a Houston Astros team whom already average 4.7 runs per game on the season. The Yankees rank 7th in the league in home runs this season and Hunter Brown gives up a home run approximately 11% of his innings pitched.

    Pick Made: Aug 04, 6:16 pm UTC
    Jun 20 2023, 12:10 am UTC
    League
    Texas
    5
    @ Chi. White Sox
    2
    +300
    7-3 in Last 10 MLB Picks
    Analysis:

    SportslineAI has the probability of the Texas Rangers winning this game at 55%. Exactly what the line of -125 implied probability is. However, without the knowing Chicago's starting pitcher this number could change. If Chicago has to turn to a bullpen heavy the best offensive team in baseball could tear them apart. Join Early Edge in 5 at 4pm ET on the Sportsline Youtube page for more picks.

    Pick Made: Jun 19, 5:38 pm UTC
    Jun 15 2023, 12:10 am UTC
    League
    Cincinnati
    7
    @ Kansas City
    4
    +300
    7-3 in Last 10 MLB Picks
    Analysis:

    It seems like all of us are on the same side here. Each expert has their angle for why this is a great pick. Mine is simply the value of -110 according the SportslineAI. -110 is an implied probability of 52% and SportslinAI has Cincinnati's winning probability at 56%, a 4% edge.

    Pick Made: Jun 14, 5:08 pm UTC
    Jun 13 2023, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Miami
    89
    @ Denver
    94
    +77
    9-7 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Every game in the finals Jamal Murray has had at least 10 assists. The Miami Heat seem to be alright with allowing Nikola Jokic score and Murray to assist instead of the other way around. I am betting Murray's assist over until I see the Heat change their strategy.

    Pick Made: Jun 12, 6:49 pm UTC
    Jun 08 2023, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Denver
    109
    @ Miami
    94
    +77
    9-7 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    SportslineAI is predicting 26 points, rebounds, and assists for Michael Porter Jr. tonight. In the last 10 games he has gone over this number in 8 of them averaging 14 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 1.9 assists. Last game he only had 11 PRA due to a bad three point shooting night, and if he isn’t providing offensive value, he is taken out of the game due to his defense. I expect him to regress back towards the mean and have closer to his average minutes and PRA.

    Pick Made: Jun 07, 6:34 pm UTC
    Jun 03 2023, 2:15 am UTC
    League
    Baltimore
    3
    @ San Francisco
    2
    +300
    7-3 in Last 10 MLB Picks
    Analysis:

    Our SportslineAI have the San Francisco Giants winning this game at 61%. The Implied odds of -160 are also at 61% so we aren't getting a huge edge. However, the Giants are will have Logan Webb pitching. Webb is currently 11th in the league in ERA at 2.75. Combine him with the Giants bullpen who have combined for .79 ERA in 45 innings.

    Pick Made: Jun 02, 6:33 pm UTC
    Jun 02 2023, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Miami
    93
    @ Denver
    104
    +77
    9-7 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Jamal Murray averaged 32.5 points in the Lakers series where the line averaged at 25.5 points through four games. The books aren’t making any adjustment based on the Lakers series and our SportslineAI model doesn’t think his performance was just a few good games predicting 28.2 points.

    Pick Made: Jun 01, 6:05 pm UTC
    May 31 2023, 1:40 am UTC
    League
    N.Y. Yankees
    10
    @ Seattle
    2
    +300
    4-1 in Last 5 MLB O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Our SportslineAI is predicting 8.36 total runs. The New York Yankees scored 10 runs against the Seattle Mariners yesterday, and with Logan Gilbert starting for Seattle, New York should hav no trouble scoring again tonight. Gilbert has had 3 career starts against the Yankees (2 last season); in those games he is 1-1 with a 7.16 ERA. We won’t even need Seattle to score if Gilbert performs how he has against the Yankees in the past.

    Pick Made: May 30, 5:00 pm UTC
    May 30 2023, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Miami
    103
    @ Boston
    84
    +790
    9-1 in Last 10 NBA ATS Picks
    +300
    3-0 in Last 3 BOS ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Our SportslineAI likes the Boston Celtics to do what has never been done before and win game 7 after being down 3-0, more specifically, win by 4.5 points. 151 teams have been down 3-0, Boston is only the fourth team in history to even force a game 7. None of the previous 3 won and with this line they need to win by 8. I will take the Heat and the points.

    Pick Made: May 29, 7:00 pm UTC
    May 26 2023, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    Miami
    97
    @ Boston
    110
    +77
    9-7 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Robert Williams brings energy to the Boston Celtics. He has gone over this line in 6 of the 9 home games this playoffs averaging 15.2 points + assists + rebound. The Celtics shot their best 3-point game at 40% in game 4, if the three point shot starts to fall again look for the heat to start drifting closer to the 3 point line opening the lane for the Celtics only rim runner in Robert Williams.

    Pick Made: May 25, 4:28 pm UTC
    May 24 2023, 11:05 pm UTC
    League
    Baltimore
    9
    @ N.Y. Yankees
    6
    +300
    7-3 in Last 10 MLB Picks
    Analysis:

    SportslineAI is projecting a 3.2 - 5.3 game in the New York Yankees favor but we are going to play it a bit safer with the moneyline based off of yesterday's game. This analysis is about as simple as it is going to get. Tyler Wells has allowed at least one home run in 4 out of his last 5 games. He pitched 28.2 innings and allowed 7 homers in those last five. The Yankees have Aaron Judge with 14 HR and Anthony Rizzo 11 HR on the season. Join Early Edge in 5 on SportsLine's YouTube page at 4pm ET for more picks.

    Pick Made: May 24, 4:36 pm UTC