We won luckily on this matchup Tuesday thanks largely to Aaron Judge. New York has won five straight and goes with Nestor Cortes, who is 4-0 with a 1.37 ERA (39.1IP, 6ER) and 56K in eight career appearances (six starts) vs. the Orioles. He won at Camden Yards earlier this year. Baltimore's Tyler Wells lost at home to New York in April and is 0-4 with a 4.68 ERA career against the Yanks. I'll be playing Judge Over 1.5 total bases as he's 8-for-17 with a double and three homers off Wells. Baltimore's best reliever and maybe the best in the AL right now, Yennier Cano (0.35 ERA), pitched two innings Tuesday and probably isn't available.

The Yankees have won five straight, and they're 3-1 against the Orioles this season. One of these wins came off of Tyler Wells, who picked up his only loss against the Yankees after giving up four earned runs. On the other hand, Nestor Cortes led the Yankees to a victory in Baltimore. Back the home team to get their sixth consecutive win.

SportslineAI is projecting a 3.2 - 5.3 game in the New York Yankees favor but we are going to play it a bit safer with the moneyline based off of yesterday's game. This analysis is about as simple as it is going to get. Tyler Wells has allowed at least one home run in 4 out of his last 5 games. He pitched 28.2 innings and allowed 7 homers in those last five. The Yankees have Aaron Judge with 14 HR and Anthony Rizzo 11 HR on the season. Join Early Edge in 5 on SportsLine's YouTube page at 4pm ET for more picks.

On the surface, it looks like Tyler Wells has been great for the Orioles with his 2.94 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. However, his FIP has been much worse at 4.64 and he has allowed 10 home runs over 52 innings. The last time he faced the Yankees, he allowed four runs and two home runs over six innings. With the Yankees playing at their hitter-friendly home park and having Nestor Cortes Jr. on the mound, look for them to deal the Orioles another loss.