Zack's Past Picks
The Orlando Magic received big news today with the return of their star player Paulo Bachelor. They will face a Miami Heat they defeated by four points to begin the season. It was a matchup the Magic erased an eight point deficit in the fourth quarter to come back in win. Look for the Magic to take advantage tonight against a Heat team traveling in from Dallas, and are below .500 on the season on the road.
The Detroit Pistons will face the Milwaukee Bucks twice the rest of this week, beginning with a road game tonight. Recently, the Pistons have been involved in closer games. A couple of losses, and three wins by five points or less. Expect that to change against a Bucks team that has dropped eight out of their last nine. This includes a thirteen point loss to Detroit. Lay the number here.
Karl Anthony Towns has scored under his prop offering in three straight games. Tonight expect the balance to be back as Towns can uplift his scoring at the free throw line. One of two games he made double digit free throws this season was against the Boston Celtics with ten. He also has room for a rise in three point makes, as he has made just two of his last 9 attempts over the last three games. Take Towns over tonight against Boston.
Denver Nuggets MVP candidate Nikola Jokic has been a rebound away from a triple double each of his last two games. Scoring has dipped as he has went under his points prop in three straight games. Saturday though, he played his fewest minutes over his past eleven games. Expect the scoring focus to be there against a Mavericks team that is shuffling their interior with Anthony Davis’s return.
The LA Clippers continue to be the struggling team that the market values off of prior seasons. That can be tough to find a spot to back, as they are just 2-8 on the road and have dropped seven out of their last eight games. Still, tonight will mark Kawhi Leonard’s fifth game back in the lineup. He has scored 30 or more in consecutive games, and the first matchup against Miami was just a one point loss on November 3rd. Back the Clippers.
Returning to action in the NBA after a long layoff is usually a no-no when it comes to prop evaluations. For Dallas and Anthony Davis it’s a spot to take advantage against. The Lakers are winning on an 11-2 run, but it’s because of their elite offense. Defensively they will take hits especially in the interior. Grab Anthony Davis over as he has his way with Ayton, Jaxson Hayes, and Maxi Kleber.
The Milwaukee Bucks have lost six games in a row and now will head to Madison Square Garden to face the Knicks. New York at home this season is 8 and 1 overall. Yet, we just saw the Bucks undermanned face a Heat team that is 9 and 1 at home and not give up despite being down double digits late. There is also a chance that Giannis suits up, which would drop this spread 1.5-2 points. Grab the number now.
A player that has been searching for his shot is Jaylen Wells of the Memphis Grizzlies. Expect him to be sparked after scoring a season high 22 points in the Grizzlies latest game against Denver. He made four three pointers, which he has done just two other times this season. One of those other instances was against tonight’s opponent in the Pelicans. Take Wells to have his second straight solid game from the field.
The New Orleans Pelicans are coming off just their third victory of the season over the Chicago Bulls. Their opponent in Memphis already has a victory over the Pelicans this year, and have started to get more comfortable minus Ja Morant. In the victory over the Pelicans seven players from Memphis scored in double figures. They also attempted 43 free throws, with Kentavious Caldwell Pope leading the way at 9 for 9. Take Memphis.
A team that should come out fired up tonight are the Minnesota Timberwolves. They have blown late leads in the final three minutes in each of their last two games against the Phoenix Suns and Sacramento Kings. With Anthony Edwards off of consecutive games of 40 or more points, it’s caused a dip scoring wise from Jaden McDaniels. McDaniels who averages 17 points on the season, has scored sixteen or less in six straight games. That ends tonight against the Thunder.
The Houston Rockets will be without Kevin Durant tonight, but will face a Phoenix Suns team in a back to back spot. Houston on the season has not lost consecutive games since their first two games to begin the season. Look for the team to be fired up as it’s the first matchup seeing Dillon Brooks since being traded in the off-season. Lay the high number with the Rockets.
Acceptance of a star’s new role off the bench takes time. Klay Thompson has accepted that role on the Dallas Mavericks, and tonight gets a favorable matchup against the 2-13 New Orleans Pelicans. The Mavericks could also be without D’Angelo Russell who is questionable, giving Thompson more value off the bench. Look for Thompson to flash some of his old school shooting tonight, and clear his points prop.
The Memphis Grizzlies have elected to essentially play two different units where no one is getting heavy minutes. That can make it hard in the prop market, but today should be an opportune spot for Santi Aldama. The Sacramento Kings are tied for the worst losing streak in the Western Conference, and in a back to back spot. Aldama has actually went under today’s prop offering in all but one game this season. Perfect jump in spot, as Aldama has a big night against the Kings.
The San Antonio Spurs got away with one in their last matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies, in which they ended the game on an 11 to 0 run. Tonight, they will face an Atlanta Hawks team that has been far superior on the road then at home. On the road they have a 7-2 record, and are just coming off sweeping a four game west coast road trip. Take the Hawks here.
Jalen Brunson is expected to make his return tonight, which means the first and second unit of the Knicks will be revamped. Less shots I do not expect to derail the momentum of Landry Shamet. Shamet has shown his versatility if playing starter’s minutes or bench minutes, as he has scored in double figures in each of his last four games. Take his over once again tonight.








