

Alex Selesnick
PropStarz
An experienced poker player, Alex Selesnick (aka PropStarz) specializes in NFL, MLB and NBA prop betting, where he implements a combination of research, statistical analysis and mathematical modeling. He is arguably the nation's No. 1 props expert. Since joining CBS Sports in 2021, PropStarz has delivered consistent winners on SportsLine.com and "The Early Edge," the popular daily betting show. He is 479-370 (plus 44.45 units) in MLB entering the 2027 baseball season, and 592-471 (plus 48.93 units) in the NFL. PropStarz also is coming off a three-season NBA stretch in which he went 545-414 on prop bets (plus 56.27 units). In addition, PropStarz called the Pacers' improbable run to the 2025 NBA Finals. He told everyone in the SportsLine Discord to back Indiana in every Eastern Conference playoff series, including as huge underdogs to top-seeded Cleveland. PropStarz appears regularly on CBS Sports HQ and "The Early Edge" and publishes articles with sophisticated analysis on SportsLine.com. For Alex Selesnick media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
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Alex's Past Picks
I’ve been extremely impressed with Cameron Boozer despite the rookie shooting just 32% from the field. Boozer’s efficiency is going to improve and he’s been stuffing the stat sheet and showing off a very polished game that has translated to the pros. The Grizzlies are playing great basketball and have a bright future. Memphis would be wise to continue running offense through Boozer who is exceptionally skilled. I’d play this combo line up to 31.5.
Jaxson Hayes is currently operating at as the starting Center for an Utah Jazz team with some frontcourt depth issues after losing both Jaren Jackson and Jusuf Nurkic to injuries. Despite the increased role, Hayes is unlikely to see any additional shots as it’s more likely to trickle down to more viable shot creators. Hayes gets almost all of his scoring via put backs, tip ins, and hustle plays. This is a lofty combo line for the veteran big.
This looks like a good spot to back Ja Morant as he’s set to take on his former team tonight in Portland. Narratives aside, the Grizzlies are an excellent matchup as they play with pace and aren’t particularly strong defensively. Look for Ja to stuff the stat sheet in what projects to be an up tempo game environment.
This line is simply too low for a scorer the caliber of AJ. I expect him to play upwards of 30 minutes and he is NBA ready in what should be a competitive game environment. This is speculative but he’s one of most talented first overall picks we’ve seen and I expect him to average at least 18 PPG as a rookie.
Darius Acuff Jr. is averaging over 20 PPG this season and is certainly a talented scorer, however he’s been inefficient and struggles with shot selection. It also doesn’t help things that he plays on a team that plays absolutely no defense where he has a green light to chuck. This looks like a natural spot to fade him a very good Spurs team in a game with serious blowout potential. The Spurs are also likely to make life very difficult for the talented rookie.
Darryn Peterson has had an underwhelming start to his NBA career but he’s locked into a high usage role on an uptempo offense and I expect much better days ahead, starting tonight against the Grizzlies. This game should be competitive and features a 237.5 point total. I expect Peterson to be much more aggressive looking for his shot tonight. This number feels much closer to his floor in what should be a good matchup for the talented rookie.
This is a big line for Jaden McDaniels who finds himself on a Wolves team surrounded by high usage players. It’s also a difficult matchup as Orlando has historically defending the wings very effectively. There are no shortage of high volume scorers on the Wolves.
Anthony Davis looked sensational in his Washington Wizards debut and I like his chances of having another big performance. He was receiving MVP chants and while that may be a little premature, I believe as long as he’s healthy he’s set for big production as the clear focal point of Washington’s offense. Having a legitimate point guard in Trae Young will also be helpful in getting him easy looks. I’d play this at 22.5 as well.
I like this spot for Giannis making his debut with the Miami Heat tonight in what could be a fun game. The Wolves added additional offensive firepower and pace after acquiring LaMelo Ball in the offseason. I expect Minnesota's offense to improve and Giannis finds himself as the centerpiece of a Heat team that’s lacking scoring.
Jalen Williams had an injury marred disappointing 2025-26 season where he was clearly operating at less than 100% after finishing All-NBA Third Team the season prior. Williams looked like that version of himself in the preseason and I expect him to return to form. He should be locked into a high usage role in a game that projects to be competitive and a potential WCF preview.
This feels like a natural spot to fade Alex Caruso, who has inarguably had the best series of his career, especially from a scoring standpoint against San Antonio. Caruso has never averaged 11 PPG in a single season, nor has he done that in a playoff series, so needless to say this is a lofty line for him. Role players typically struggle on the road and I expect Caruso to come back down to earth tonight.
This is a significantly discounted combination line for De’Aaron Fox who has eclipsed this in his last six postseason games, including both appearances in the Western Conference Finals. After missing the first two games of this series, Fox logged 31 minutes in consecutive games and had Game 4 not been a blowout he was set to play more, indicating he appears to be operating without limitations. I was very encouraged by how he’s played and think this combo line presents strong value.
Chet Holmgren had a very disappointing Game 1 performance against the Spurs, however I expect him to bounce back tonight. Chet is averaging 17 PPG in the playoffs and has cleared this number in 7/9 postseason games. Im betting on him having a much more inspired performance.
Donovan Mitchell has played well throughout the playoffs, however I’ll be fading him in Game 1 versus the Knicks. Mitchell is averaging 25.6 in the postseason and has largely played well but this is a big line for Mitchell who is facing an elite Knicks perimeter defense. New York held Tyrese Maxey to just 18 PPG in the conference semifinals and the combination of OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges have proven to be an elite defensive tandem. This is a very tough matchup for Mitchell.
Ajay Mitchell has eclipsed this scoring prop in 7/8 Thunder playoff games, including seven consecutive games. Mitchell is essentially a rookie and has proven to be a tremendous natural scorer who has provided the Thunder with a secondary scoring option. Even with Jalen Williams back in the lineup, I still expect Mitchell to play 25-30 minutes.















