James Paxton has struggled away from Dodger stadium this season. ...

The Brewers have a very potent offense. ...

Jose Soriano will face a very tough Brewers lineup. ...

Sonny Gray is having a career best season. ...

Not So Fast ...

Trea Turner will be back for the Phillies on Monday. ...

Here are the early bets I made after the NFL schedule release ...

Marcus Stroman has an expected ERA of 4.47, way above his actual 2.82 ERA. He's a major regression candidate and the Red Sox have an above-average lineup. Stroman is coming off a season-high 102 pitches last Tuesday in Kansas City. Look for him to exit before completing six innings.

Yankees have won four of the last six against the Red Sox but lost last night. Marcus Stroman is on the mound and the Yankees won his last four starts and has been stellar even when he hasn't had a good game like against the Twins when he gave up five runs and allowed two home runs but the Yankees still won eight to five. That's what I think is going to happen tonight he's going to give up three or four runs but the Yankees are going to score on Cutter Crawford. Crawford has lost seven straight. Yankees win, likely over.

It’s a bullpen day for Pittsburgh. Both teams own the second-worst and worst bullpen ERA in the NL, Pirates 4.65, and Colorado 5.60. Coors Field is typically an over ballpark with the altitude, but the Rockies O/U this season is only 15-14 at home. Besides today, there’s only been one total at Coors above 12 and that game went over. However, Sundays in sports betting can be difficult. The obvious play is the over, so we’ll take the contrarian route.

The only 9.5 on our board and I'd probably not play 9. Colin Rea I think we can count on being pretty good for the Brewers on the mound as opponents are batting only .239 off him. It's all about which Frankie Montas we get for the Reds. The bad version showed up last time out, but Montas only threw 1.1 innings so he might have a little more on his fastball today.

Detroit's Kenta Maeda has a 10.80 ERA in 15 road innings this season. The Astros have the best slugging and OPS at home among AL clubs. Alex Bregman has broken out of his early season slump in a big way with a career-high 16-game hitting streak. Pitcher Ronel Blanco has a 2.67 ERA and few Tigers have seen him.

Royce Lewis has a 1.287 OPS in 37 plate appearances since returning from injury, along with a six-game hitting streak, going 9-for-23 with two home runs. He has gone over 1.5 total bases in six of nine games with a hard-hit rate of 50%. JP Sears has allowed a 40.8% hard-hit rate and usually struggles in road day games. Target Field is ranked fifth in doubles this season. Good value at +110.

The Marlins are the worst offensive team in the majors against lefties and it's probably not a coincidence that Washington started a southpaw in both the first two game and won each and is going with another here in good-looking rookie Mitchell Parker. Opponents are hitting just .196 against him in seven starts at Nationals Park. Counterpart Jesus Luzardo has a 5.64 road ERA. Consider a Lane Thomas prop as he has safely in nine straight, going 12-for-33 (.364) with five extra-base hits (2B, 3B, 3 HR) and is 7-for-16 with three doubles and a homer career off Luzardo.

The Miami Marlins are looking to bounce back from a shutout loss yesterday to the Washington Nationals. They had a threat late with bases loaded but Tim Anderson was not able to deliver. Sunday, their fortune should be much better as the Marlins have won three of Jesus Luzardo’s last four starts. Take the Marlins as the slight underdog.