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    Tue, Jun 1812:30 am UTCTD Garden
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Dallas
    Mavericks
    DAL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L63-41
    ATS59-43
    O/U45-56-1
    FINAL SCORE
    88
    -
    106
    Boston
    Celtics
    BOS
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L80-21
    ATS53-44
    O/U50-49-2
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    63-41
    Win /Loss
    80-21
    59-43
    Spread
    53-44
    45-56-1
    Over / Under
    50-49-2
    Key Injuries
    No Key Player Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    C
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    DAL @ BOS
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    DAL @ BOS
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    DAL @ BOS
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    57%
    PUBLIC
    43%
    MONEY
    15%
    PUBLIC
    85%
    MONEY
    Over77%
    PUBLIC
    Under23%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    1st Half Spread1st Half Boston -4 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +408
    4-1 in Last 5 NBA Game Props Picks
    Brad's Analysis:

    My gut says Boston controls this game and Dallas will be trying to stay within striking distance most of the night. I can see a seven-point lead at the break but Dallas finding a way to hang around and backdoor cover the full-game line with a score that looks closer than the game actually was.

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 10:56 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Rebounds + AssistsDerrick White Under 8.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -133
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    Erik's Analysis:

    White is primed to shoot 3s tonight. They will find him and he will spot up. So let’s use that info to play against assists and rebounds. Under

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 10:56 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total 3pt Field GoalsLuka Doncic Over 3.5 Total 3pt Field Goals -123
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Brad's Analysis:

    Doncic is 1 for his last 15 from deep. He's tired. That's part of it. But I believe in Doncic's big-game gene, and with the season on the line and Dallas having to keep up with what will likely be a riled-up Boston offense at home with a chance to close it out, Doncic is going to need to heat up from beyond the arc.

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 10:53 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadDallas +7 -112
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2001.25
    170-108 in Last 278 NBA Picks
    +373
    8-5 in Last 13 NBA ATS Picks
    +404.5
    10-6 in Last 16 BOS ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    Now that DraftKings has given us 7, let's go ahead on what should be the final night of the NBA season. I don't give Dallas much chance of winning but I do think the Mavs play well again. Dereck Lively and Kyrie Irving both looked so much better in Dallas. Tim Hardaway Jr. had basically been on a milk carton in this series he had gone so missing but perhaps got some confidence by shooting 5-for-7 from deep in garbage time in Game 4. Incidentally, Games 2-3 were decided by exactly 7 points in favor of the C's so that half-point rise at DraftKings may well matter.

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 10:16 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Total ReboundsJrue Holiday Over 5.5 Total Rebounds -145
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    Erik's Analysis:

    Holiday is an underrated rebounder who will be needed if there is no Portzingis. Take the over.

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 9:54 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total ReboundsJaylen Brown Under 6.5 Total Rebounds -145
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    Erik's Analysis:

    This number really should be at 5.5. Brown has consistently been under this number and as he is tasked with Luka….I think he will need an outlier game to go over.

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 8:53 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total PointsDaniel Gafford Over 6.5 Total Points +102
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Zack's Analysis:

    Daniel Gafford has seen a reduction of minutes with Dereck Lively’s play at a high level. Still, with his limited minutes Gafford remains highly productive. He has cleared 6.5 points in three of the four matchups, and is averaging 76.5 percent from the field. That mark is three percent higher than his regular season NBA best 73.5 percent. Take Gafford’s over.

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 8:52 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total PointsAl Horford Over 8.5 Total Points -120
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Zack's Analysis:

    With the Celtics being blown out in game four, it could be a blessing in disguise for aging veteran Al Horford. Horford took a playoff low one attempt in game four, and has went under his points prop in three straight Finals games. Yet, there are looks to be had on the perimeter for the non star Celtics players. In the prior two rounds Horford was averaging close to ten attempts. Look for a series high in attempts tonight, and for Horford to clear his points prop.

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 8:52 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Points + ReboundsPJ Washington Over 17.5 Total Points + Rebounds -137
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    Erik's Analysis:

    We always look for outliers…and then play for the regression if they don’t adjust the numbers. Washington has uncharacteristic foul trouble….if that doesn’t happen again he should go over

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 8:35 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Points + Assists + ReboundsLuka Doncic Under 50.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -139
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +300
    3-0 in Last 3 NBA Player Props Picks
    Tom's Analysis:

    Luka has averaged 46.4 PAR in 21 playoff games this season, but the Finals have been a different story. Through the first four games of this series, Doncic is averaging 43.3 PAR and has eclipsed this number only in Game 2.

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 7:39 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadDallas +6.5 -105
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +980
    23-12 in Last 35 NBA ATS Picks
    Tim's Analysis:

    Dallas finally got one game last time out and now all these points are so tempting. The 3-point line is the key stat! Boston was +21 in games 1-3, while Dallas won the 3-point line in Game 4 and dominated the game. Let’s have a close one tonight!

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 2:53 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total PointsPJ Washington Over 11.5 Total Points -132
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Mike's Analysis:

    P.J. Washington was in foul trouble and only played 14 minutes in Game 4. Considering the final score, I’m not reading too much into his stat line. Prior to that, he had logged at least 36 minutes and scored at least 13 points in each of the first three games of this series. He is a key supporting scoring option for Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, so with a heavy dose of playing time likely coming his way, the over is the way to go here.

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 2:39 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadDallas +6.5 -105
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +160
    7-5-1 in Last 13 NBA ATS Picks
    +513
    36-28-5 in Last 69 BOS ATS Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    The Mavericks dominated Game 4 to avoid the sweep. Prior to that, the Celtics had won both Game 2 and Game 3 by seven points each. I’m not reading too much into the Celtics being blown out in Game 4 and I think they win the title at home in this Game 5. However, I don’t expect the Mavericks to go down without a fight, so I’ll take them to cover this number.

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 2:35 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total ReboundsPJ Washington Over 5.5 Total Rebounds -152
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +37
    3-2 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    PJ Washington got in early foul trouble in Game 4 and ended up playing just 14 minutes in the blowout win. In the previous eight games, Washington played 36 minutes or more. He has exceeded this prop total in 10 of his last 14 games, and his rebound number has dropped a full rebound from 6.5.

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 1:33 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadDallas +6.5 -106
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +3578
    197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
    +2461
    108-76-2 in Last 186 NBA ATS Picks
    +333
    12-8-1 in Last 21 BOS ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    Do we give the Celtics a mulligan for that Game 4 no-show effort? Probably so. Do the Mavericks have a chance to erase the 0-3 series deficit they carried into last Friday night? Probably not. But dynamics did change in this matchup across just short of the past five quarters, with the Mavs outscoring the Celtics by 52 points since falling behind 91-70 last Wednesday. The offense has finally started to function, with Luke Doncic now attacking the paint, and the Mavs bench also finally making contributions. Boston missed the rim protection that Kristaps Porzingis could have provided in Dallas, and the Celtics are only scoring at a 100 ppg clip in this series, far down from season averages. This one stays close! Play Mavs

    Pick Made: Jun 17, 12:56 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Money LineDallas +225
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Jason's Analysis:

    One game doesn't necessarily buy you much two days later, but I like everything about what the Mavericks showed last time out. They certainly relished playing with nothing to lose in Game 3. Luka's rehab and treatments worked wonders, the Mavs got back to playing their style and unlocked their offense in the manner they were searching for. The Celtics have not always made things easy on themselves. I thought they would be a long and hotly-contested series. Maybe it still could be. But putting away Dallas will be a little more tricky than vanquishing Miami or Cleveland or Indiana and the Celtics have had a nasty slip up at home in prior rounds. Can Boston just shake off that nightmarish beatdown? I'm not convinced

    Pick Made: Jun 16, 11:16 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey

    Team Injuries

    Dallas Mavericks
    No Player Injuries
    Boston Celtics
    Thursday, Jun 27, 2024
    Avatar
    C
    Kristaps Porzingis
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