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Sun, Nov 169:05 pm UTCState Farm Stadium
San Francisco
49ers
SF
Last 5 ATS
W/L8-4
ATS8-5
O/U7-6-0
FINAL SCORE
41
-
22
Arizona
Cardinals
ARI
Last 5 ATS
W/L2-9
ATS6-6
O/U7-5-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
8-4
Win /Loss
2-9
8-5
Spread
6-6
7-6-0
Over / Under
7-5-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
SF @ ARI
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MONEYLINE
SF @ ARI
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OVER / UNDER
SF @ ARI
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66%
PUBLIC
34%
MONEY
92%
PUBLIC
8%
MONEY
Over44%
PUBLIC
Under56%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Passing YardsJacoby Brissett Over 225.5 Total Passing Yards -114
WIN
Unit1.0
+627
15-8 in Last 23 NFL Player Props Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The 49ers have seen their favored status grow with the return of Brock Purdy and Ricky Pearsall, but no reinforcements are coming for a defense that has struggled since losing multiple stars. Even With Marvin Harrison Jr. sidelined, I expect Brissett to have success in the passing as he has since taking over the starting role with four straight games over 250 pass yards while facing Seattle, Green Bay and Indy. This shouldn't be as tough a matchup as any of those games, and the bump for the 49ers offense means he's more likely to be in a chase scenario and stacking up yards as well. I'd consider a 250+ alt as well.

Pick Made: Nov 16, 3:38 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadSan Francisco -3 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+172
15-12-1 in Last 28 SF ATS Picks
Adam's Analysis:

There may be a bit of rust on Brock Purdy and Ricky Pearsall coming back, but there's no doubt the 49ers offense levels up with them on the field. While the Cardinals do appear to operate better with Jacoby Brissett behind center, they are missing Marvin Harrison Jr. on Sunday, and they've lost to every quality defense they've faced this season. San Francisco knows this is crunch time – it must start not only winning but playing playoff-level football to salvage this season. Just because Arizona has played mostly close games does not mean that will continue.

Pick Made: Nov 16, 3:32 pm UTC on FanDuel
SpreadSan Francisco -3.5 -106
WIN
Unit1.0
+1126
36-22-2 in Last 60 NFL ATS Picks
+386
5-1 in Last 6 ARI ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Brock Purdy is back in the lineup for the 49ers, who managed to hold their own while Mac Jones was taking snaps in Purdy's absence. Slowly, SF has been getting back some pieces, with George Kittle returning to active duty a few weeks ago, with the best news that Christian McCaffrey has stayed off of the injured list and should resume his Batman & Robin role with Purdy. We are also wondering about the Arizona side, which regressed last week at Seattle after an uplifting win over the Cowboys, and if Jacoby Brissett really is more than a stop-gap answer at QB as the Big Red seem to be putting all of their eggs in his basket for the rest of this season. Play 49ers

Pick Made: Nov 16, 8:09 am UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Tackles + AssistsJalen Thompson Over 6.5 Total Tackles Plus Assists +117
LOSS
Unit1.0
+589.5
61-46 in Last 107 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Cardinals safety Jalen Thompson made just 14 combined tackles in his last three games, but this is a terrific matchup with the 49ers. San Fran is the only team that has generated 160 tackles for opposing defensive backs. The Cards are dealing with key injuries in their secondary. Thompson recorded six tackles against San Fran earlier this season, and I think he has a good chance to hit seven Sunday.

Pick Made: Nov 16, 3:51 am UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Tackles + AssistsTatum Bethune Over 8.5 Total Tackles Plus Assists -114
LOSS
Unit1.0
+847
20-10 in Last 30 NFL Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Tatum Bethune has recorded at least ten tackles in five straight games. Wearing the blue dot in the absence of 49ers All-Pro Fred Warner, Bethune has been everywhere defensively for the 49ers. The Cardinals offensively have been more efficient with Jacoby Brissett taking the snaps - and they’ll be without big play threat Marvin Harrison on Sunday. I’m expecting more check-downs in the passing game, which should benefit Bethune’s tackle opportunities.

Pick Made: Nov 15, 10:50 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Receiving YardsRicky Pearsall Over 40.5 Total Receiving Yards -114
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1090
45-29 in Last 74 NFL Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

The 49ers are not only getting Ricky Pearsall back in the lineup but also Brock Purdy ahead of their divisional clash with Arizona. Prior to Pearsall suffering an injury he was functioning as the teams WR1 and was Purdys primary target Weeks 1-4. He will face a subpar Cardinals pass defense that will be without their best cornerback in rookie Will Johnson, leaving potentially a huge mismatch for Pearsall with backup CBs Denzel Burke and Max Melton. We’re getting a sizable discount on this line.

Pick Made: Nov 14, 5:09 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LineSan Francisco -159
WIN
Unit1.0
Matt's Analysis:

Brock Purdy will be back, Ricky Pearsall probably will be for the Niners and Marvin Harrison Jr. is out for Arizona. I'm actually not sure 2025 Brock Purdy is better than 2025 Mac Jones and that's probably why this spread hasn't really moved with the Purdy news. Just seems like Arizona has quit -- if you read Wednesday's premium newsletter for subscribers, I went into some detail (and odds futures) on the Cards. Me playing a road ML team in the NFL ... checking my pulse. No stroke yet. Just feels like the season for the Niners.

Pick Made: Nov 13, 11:59 pm UTC on BetRivers
SpreadSan Francisco -2.5 -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+61
15-13-2 in Last 30 NFL Picks
+18
35-31-2 in Last 68 NFL ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

San Fran's injury-plagued defense, which was torched last Sunday by the Rams, gets a reprieve of sorts with a major injury development for 'Zona. Marvin Harrison Jr., the Cardinals' top WR (and No. 2 on the team in receptions) is out after an appendicitis. The Cards previously lost WR Zay Jones for the season, so backup QB Jacoby Brissett must rely on lesser lights. The Niners, showing resilience, bounced back this season from their three previous defeats with SU wins. Most sportsbooks were posting a line of three on Wednesday, and the lower half-point could make a difference.

Pick Made: Nov 12, 6:01 pm UTC on BetMGM
SpreadArizona +3 -116
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1724
133-110-4 in Last 247 NFL Picks
+613
23-15-3 in Last 41 NFL ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

Both of these teams are dealing with key defensive injuries, but I'm willing to back the Cardinals because I believe they should be favored if they aren't missing too many guys. That's because the Arizona offense has been good with Jacoby Brissett at QB, scoring 22+ in all four of his starts despite facing the Colts, Packers and Seahawks in that stretch. The 49ers defense has given up 23+ in six of the last seven games and couldn't stop a beat-up Houston offense a few weeks ago. Last week was the first time all year the Cardinals lost by more than four points, and the 49ers haven't been playing well enough to be considered among their toughest opponents, especially with the game in Arizona.

Pick Made: Nov 11, 2:27 pm UTC on BetRivers

Team Injuries

San Francisco 49ers
Monday, Dec 01, 2025
Avatar
K
Eddy Pineiro
HamstringQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Tatum Bethune
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Sam Okuayinonu
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Ben Bartch
FootOut
Sunday, Nov 30, 2025
Avatar
FB
Kyle Juszczyk
RibsQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Nick Martin
ConcussionQuestionable
Arizona Cardinals
Thursday, Dec 04, 2025
Avatar
WR
Xavier Weaver
HamstringQuestionable
Wednesday, Dec 03, 2025
Avatar
OT
Kelvin Beachum
GroinQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Greg Dortch
ChestQuestionable
Monday, Dec 01, 2025
Avatar
RB
Emari Demercado
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
SAF
Dadrion Taylor-Demerson
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Max Melton
HeelQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Marvin Harrison Jr.
HeelQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Walter Nolen
KneeQuestionable
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