Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks
Spencer Rattler is 0-10 SU as a starter in his NFL career. Yes, New Orleans is the sharp side as the line has flipped since it opened. However, even without Malik Nabers the Giants are the better team, which might not be saying much between these two. Jaxson Dart played in the SEC so the noise in the Superdome shouldn’t be much of a factor in his first road start and New York’s defensive front has the ability to make Rattler uncomfortable.

It's no secret Kendre Miller's role continues to grow. What I love about him Sunday is he's facing a Giants' team that's been historically bad against the run. They're last in EPA allowed on the ground, 31st in yards allowed after contact. Miller ranks second in the NFL in yards after contact per attempt.

B365 at -115. Rashid Shaheed has cleared this line in each of his four games this season. Running a more diverse route tree in head coach Kellen Moore’s offense, Shaheed’s average depth of target of 10.3 yards is significantly less than the two seasons prior. Seeing more short and intermediate throws has translated to more target volume for the fourth-year pro. He’ll draw a stellar matchup against the Giants secondary who has struggled to defend receivers - 15 WR receptions per game is the most in the NFL. It’s also a tougher spot for tight-end Juwan Johnson (questionable). The Giants man-heavy scheme is also beneficial for Shaheed, who has the highest target rate amongst the Saints against the coverage. I’d bet this up to -140.

Cam Skattebo was not able to punch it into the endzone in Week 4, despite having a few opportunities. He did rush in for the two-point conversion. Skattebo had massive usage with Tyrone Tracy out, playing 75% of the snaps and handling 79% of the backfield touches for 27 total touches. Tracy is doubtful to play Sunday, and I like Skattebo's matchup against the Saints, who allow a 58% success rate to running backs (20th). I believe Skattebo will find the end zone, and this price is a value compared to other running backs with this kind of usage.
Spencer Rattler has yet to get a win in his career as he is 0-10. Yet, he has had the Saints in position in several games this year, and now New Orleans returns home after a two game road trip. Over the Saints last ten games their only win was against the Giants. An x-factor is new Coach Kellen Moore as he is 6-0 in his last six games against the Giants as a play caller with the Eagles and Cowboys. Take the Saints.

Cam Skattebo has finally given the Giants fan base something to root for and they got instantly better when they inserted Jaxson Dart as a starting quarterback last week and the end result was their first win of the season beating a good defensive like the Chargers. No turnovers with Dart and Skattebo both running the ball and taking control of the game. It was beautiful football. He's just getting started in the NFL. His yards have gone up each of the last four weeks and he's probably going to get his first hundred yard game against the Saints. He's probably going to get over 13.5 yards as the longest run as well. This bet is for him to get over 66.5 yards.
The Saints have lost all four games, covering only once, and this week they're at home with the knowledge that they're going to win soon. They're the favorite this week against the Giants, who come off a huge home win over the Chargers, and it was simple football: don't turn the ball over, don't make mistakes, and run the ball down the other team's throat. Jaxson Dart and Cam Skattebo gave us a glimpse of the future last week, and if they can duplicate that each week, this team will be special. The Saints have to wait another week for their win. Giants to win.

Jaxson Dart's first career start was full of ups and downs, but he proved effective as a runner and even scored the first TD of the game from 15 yards out. He saw two more carries inside the 10 later in the game and was stuffed from the 1-yard line. With the Giants losing their best receiver by far, Dart is more likely to take off and pick up yards with his legs, and that includes in the red zone. I love the value here at FanDuel and would probably play him down to +150.

Tyrone Tracy is out again, Devin Singletary is not going to get the ball on goal to go situations. Any rushing touchdowns are going to be from Cam Skattebo or Jaxson Dart. The team is projected for 20 points and that translates to roughly 2 touchdowns. With Malik Nabers out the chances of 2 passing TDs is unlikely. Since emerging as at least RB1b and now RB1a in week 2 he has scored 2 times in 3 games and the one game he didn't score (last week) was probably his best game.
Jaxson Dart appeared to breathe new life into the Giants offense, but digging into the box score paints a different picture. The Giants averaged just 3.6 yards per play and scored 10 points on two drives that gained 2 net yards combined thanks to two pick-almost-sixes. You can upgrade the Giants thanks to the QB improvement, but there must be a downgrade for losing Malik Nabers as well. With all that said, I don't know how the market can make them road favorites against a Saints team that's been competitive with three good teams. This is a good spot for New Orleans' first win.
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