Kincaid brought in one of two targets for seven yards in the Bills' 29-26 loss to the Patriots on Sunday.
Coleman secured six of seven targets for 116 yards and a touchdown in the Bills' 29-26 loss to the Patriots on Sunday.
Stevenson rushed 13 times for 47 yards and a touchdown while bringing in three of five targets for 27 yards in the Patriots' 29-26 win over the Bills on Sunday. He also caught a two-point conversion pass.
Henderson rushed 14 times for 42 yards and failed to bring in either of his two targets in the Patriots' 29-26 win over the Bills on Sunday.
Doubs secured six of nine targets for 58 yards and two touchdowns in the Patriots' 29-26 win over the Bills on Sunday.
Maye completed 22 of 37 passes for 269 yards with three touchdowns and one interception while adding eight rushes for 54 yards in the Patriots' 29-26 win over the Bills on Sunday. He threw a two-point conversion pass and committed three fumbles, losing one and recovering the other two.
Allen completed 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards with a touchdown and an interception and added five carries for four yards and another score in the Bills' 29-26 loss to the Patriots on Sunday.
Cook rushed 12 times for 75 yards and a touchdown and brought in both targets for eight yards in the Bills' 29-26 loss to the Patriots on Sunday.
Woods (shoulder) exited Sunday's 29-26 win over the Bills. He finished with two tackles (one solo).
Raridon (ankle) is questionable to return to Sunday's game against Buffalo.
Henderson is the Pats’ most explosive running back by far, and he cleared this prop total in the first three games before falling short in last week’s blowout win. This potential game script should work in his favor. Henderson could eclipse this in a couple catches.
The 7 and the hook feels like it’s books trying to dissuade Bills backers. I think they can win this game by double digits. Josh Allen is 10-4 ATS when playing as a favorite of -7.5 to -10.5, so this is his sweet spot as a big fave. Buffalo has been dominant at home, and this Patriots defense has been weakest in the secondary. I expect Allen to carve them up and lead the Bills to a win by multiple scores.
Drake Maye is over this pass attempts total in 2/4 games so far this season. The Patriots were playing from behind for a good portion of both of those games, in which he had 46 & 37 attempts. New England are +7.5 underdogs in this matchup against the 4-0 Bills, and Maye will likely need to go score for score with Josh Allen in Primetime if the Pats have a chance. I like him to go well over this total.
Stefon Diggs returns to Buffalo Sunday night, and while you can play the narrative card, I like Stefon Diggs to exceed his receiving line just based on the matchup and usage. Diggs finally broke out in Week 4 with six receptions for 101 receiving yards, even with limited pass attempts for QB Drake Maye due to a blowout over the Carolina Panthers. Diggs was playing 81% of Maye's dropbacks in Week 4, compared to 55% to start the season. I look for Diggs to build on his usage and take advantage of a good matchup against the Bills' secondary to go over his receiving line Sunday night.
Drake Maye is quietly having a very strong season and is coming off a highly efficient performance against Carolina that saw him post an impressive 155.6 QB Rating. He’ll face a stiffer test against Buffalo on SNF, however this game had a healthy 49.5 point total and the Patriots are 8.5 point underdogs. I was also encouraged by the Patriots willingness to keep throwing last week despite leading by 28-6 at halftime. I expect that theme to continue as Maye is going to try to keep up with Josh Allen and company.
