What is this disrespect for Cam Skattebo? ...

I'm surprised by how low this Emeka Egbuka line is set at. ...

Target Dalton Schultz with Nico Collins out. ...

Look for more explosive passing game for Dak Prescott against Washington. ...

With Zay Flowers likely out, jump on Mark Andrews line. ...

I'm going right back to this Pat Freiermuth bet. ...

Going back to one of my favorite bets. ...

Coming off a multi-ligament tear in his left knee, will Patrick Mahomes run less in 2026? Mahomes himself noted in training camp that he needs to "stop running a little bit too much" and noted that he can lean on his new addition, RB Kenneth Walker. Even when he was completely healthy, he only rushed for three yards in his one appearance against the Broncos last season. I'm going to listen to the man himself and consider logic. I don't see Mahomes scrambling much in his very first game back from injury, especially against this defense.

You didn't think I forgot about my favorite NFL running back Cam Skattebo, did you? He starts his comeback story on Sunday Night Football vs the Cowboys. The summer was full of some FUD on Skattebo, but ultimately it's clear that he is the Giants' RB1. He shared quotes about John Harbaugh wanting to feed him ball 20 times a game. So we have volume and talent for this play. Honestly, I'll probably bet Skattebo's ATD and receiving line too. But I like over rush + receiving because it protects the game script and just leans into his projected volume. He went over this combination line five of the six full games he played last year.

Similar to my Aaron Rodgers write-up, throw out last year for Ladd McConkey. Because offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel is now in town for the Chargers, we expect creative offensive schemes to make McConkey more of a focal point. Add to that, they are facing one of the worst defenses in the NFL heading into the 2026 season in the Cardinals. I look for McConkey to feast and will likely ladder his receiving prop up to 70+ receiving yards for plus money.

I think we get a shootout in Cincy on Sunday for the Bucs vs. Bengals. Tee Higgins has big-play ability and a good red zone target share (ranked 21st among all wide receivers in red zone target share last year). So in a game where I see a lot of points scored, I like taking the plus-money bet for Higgins to find the end zone. He had 11 touchdowns last season, and most of that was without Joe Burrow.

I expect a bounceback season for Brian Thomas Jr., and I believe it starts Week 1. Thomas was playing through injuries last season, in a disappointing year. He's now fully recovered from those injuries. And beat reporters this summer said Thomas looks back to his 2024 self. I know the receiver room is crowded in Jacksonville. Thomas doesn't even need to get back to his 2024 form to soar past this line. He could exceed this in one or two catches. Even in a "down" year in 2025, Thomas went over this line 11 times. I expect him to fly past this line to kickoff the 2026 season.

Throw out last year's offensive stats for the Steelers under offensive coordinator Arthur Smith. Enter Mike McCarthy, reunited with Aaron Rodgers, and I think we'll see a lot more offense and points for the Steelers in 2026. When McCarthy has a healthy team, he has top-5 offenses. We don't even need that for this low line. So I want to jump on this early! Yes, there are narratives at play with Rodgers' swan song and reunion with McCarthy. But it's also a more aggressive offense with added weapons in Michael Pittman Jr. and Rico Dowdle. Add to that a great matchup against the depleted Falcons defense, and I think Rodgers soars over this passing line.

Just like my Aaron Rodgers write-up, keep in mind this is NOT the 2025 Steelers. The 2026 Steelers have Mike McCarthy as a much more aggressive head coach and play-caller. And they added several weapons on offense. But Pat Freiermuth is one of the longest-tenured offensive weapons, and in this offense, he's set up for a great season. Aaron Rodgers has recently given a lot of praise to Freiermuth for having one of the best training camps. It's clear they'll utilize him more than last year. Even last year, in a more crowded tight end room and weaker offensive system, he went over this line eight times. I think "MUTH" will soar past this line, and I'll likely alt it to 40+ receiving.

Hunter Henry has 33.3% of the targets in the red zone for the Patriots, which is the most of any tight end this season. Tight ends account for 28% of the receptions against the Seahawks this season. Essentially, against a tough defense, Henry has one of the better matchups for the Patriots' offense. So I love this price for the opportunity. I'm also sprinkling on Henry 1st touchdown.