Jaxon Smith-Njigba is breaking fantasy football and prop bets again this season. Through seven games, he already has 867 yards and 8 touchdowns. And now he gets a Bears defense that gives up the most yards per reception in the NFL (15.85 yards per reception to wide receivers). JSN accounts for 51% of the Seahawks' air yards (1st in the NFL). With a lot of moving parts at the Seahawks' running back position, and not being fully confident in the game script, I like approaching JSN longest reception. He's gone over this line five of seven games this season. And in this strength vs. weakness matchup, I love this prop for Monday night.

Dallas Goedert has an excellent matchup on Sunday night against the Washington defense, which has given up the 7th most receiving yards to tight ends this season. Goedert had 77 receiving yards in this matchup in Week 1. Granted, that was with QB Jalen Hurts. But he's cleared this line in four of the five full games he's played this season. I just missed his receptions prop on Monday night. But the Eagles will again be without wide receivers DeVonta Smith and Dontavion Wicks on Sunday night. So Goedert should be heavily targeted again in a great matchup.

Kenneth Walker had a rough outing against his former team on Sunday night, rushing for only 36 yards. But now he faces the Broncos, who he had a massive day against in Week 1. In Week 1, Walker rushed for 173 yards, with a longest rush of 60 yards. Per Sharp Football, the Broncos allow 3.85 yards after contact per rush (highest in the NFL). Walker has exceeded this longest rush prop in every game, except for last week. And as mentioned, he had a longest rush of 60 yards against this defense in Week 1.

Zay Flowers has racked up the receiving yards so far this season (5th among wide receivers), and done so with several big plays. Flowers has 32% air yards share and has gone over this longest reception line in every game he's played this season except for one. That's with and without QB Lamar Jackson too. With Jackson back and a matchup that i very favorable to wide receivers, I like Flowers to soar past his longest reception line. I also like his receiving yards over prop.

Last week I wrote up TE Tucker Kraft ATD against the Detroit Lions at +170, and it hit! I'm going right back to the well to attack this tight end funnel defense. The Lions have given up 10 touchdowns to tight ends this season. And that is in just six games, since they've already had their bye. And to get a +280 price is even better!

Through Week 7, Kirk Cousins led the NFL in passing touchdowns (16). He's thrown for multiple touchdown passes in every game except one. Now, we're getting this close to even money on two or more passing touchdowns for Cousins. This price is too good to pass up!

The Eagles are going to be without wide receivers DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks. TE Dallas Goedert is off the injury report and should be the top target. With DeVonta Smith playing most of Week 6, Goedert still saw 20% of the targets (8 targets for 6 receptions). Now, without Smith and Wicks, I expect Goedert's target share to rise. We also don't fear the Dallas defense, which allows tight ends to catch 83.8% of their targets (per Sharp Football). I expect the Eagles to be trailing, so we have the perfect combo of game script, usage, and matchup to go over this line. And love we're getting it at plus money.

I love all the SportsLine picks for Tucker Kraft over receiving yards and receptions. That's because the Lions give up the most to tight ends in both categories. They also give up the most touchdowns to tight ends. And in this high 53.5-point total, I do believe we will see a lot of points. And with Kraft's matchup, I think he'll help the Packers' points and find the end zone on Sunday.

When the Lions have been home this season, Gibbs has gone nuclear, with all-purpose yards of 186 and 164 in those two games. Now the Lions have a big divisional battle with the Packers at home on Sunday. This line is massive, but so is Gibbs role and production this season. It is a good matchup for Gibbs, both on the ground and in the air. Playing the combo yards line in a game I think they'll lean on Gibbs no matter the game script makes sense. Again, I know this line is huge, by I'll likely alt it to 150+ Rush + Receiving for plus money.

It is National Tight Ends Day on Sunday. And who is pretty much the founder and face of this very fun day? The very fun George Kittle, of course! Whether you want to lean into the narrative that his friend Brock Purdy helps get him a touchdown to celebrate this holiday or not, I still like this bet regardless. The 49ers are depleted of pass catchers, so Kittle and Christian McCaffrey will again need to be used heavily as receivers. We truly have no idea at this point who will be the active receivers for the 49ers. The Falcons have given four touchdowns to tight ends this season. And I think that will go up to five or more after Sunday.

The Bengals vs. Ravens have given us some fun shootouts and memorable Joe Burrow performances. He's gone over this passing prop line in three of the four games against the Ravens over the last two seasons. With QB Lamar Jackson trending to play on the other side, I think we'll see this game live up to 48.5 point total. Also, Burrow had a huge game the one time he played a Jesse Minter defense. He threw for 356 yards in that game vs. the Chargers. I like Burrow off the bye, in a high-total game to fly past this number.

With 11 passing touchdowns in the last four games, Aaron Rodgers has thrown multiple touchdowns in four games in a row. Even though this is a great running game matchup for the Steelers, I don't think the Steelers will lose their identity here. The Saints are a good matchup for Rodgers and the Steelers' passing game too. The Steelers have thrown at a high rate this season and are 4th in pass rate over expectation. And I don't think we should forget that Rodgers is playing for his lasting legacy too. He needs 25 passing touchdowns to pass Drew Brees, to be 2nd all-time in passing touchdowns (regular & postseason). Rodgers can always call his own number if you know what I mean.

We know the 49ers' receivers are very depleted, and now WR Mike Evans is questionable too. Whether Evans plays or not, I love this line for Kittle. He has a great matchup against Washington, which has given up the 4th most receiving yards to tight ends this season. We just saw Isaiah Likely last week in Washington. Outside of last week, when he was sick, and Week 1 in Australia, Kittle has had 70 or more receiving yards in the other three games. He should see a lot of targets in a great matchup. I'll be laddering this up to 80+ receiving yards.

We saw this matchup last year in primetime, and now we get it again. I think we get a similar back-and-forth shootout. Last year against the Cowboys, Love threw for 337 yards. The Cowboys this year allow a 72% completion rate. Most importantly, I think Love will be pushed by the Cowboys' offense. He's thrown for over 300 passing yards three times already this year. I think he'll make it four times on Sunday night.

When you see this line for a tight end, you may be surprised. But Brock Bowers is basically the WR1 for the Raiders. And he's been a stud since he came back this season. He's had double-digit targets, cleared this receiving prop line, and has a touchdown in all three games this season. Bowers has a 29% target share and a 35% air-yard share. The Bills defense, as we saw Monday night, is fairly weak, and they give up the 10th most receiving yards to tight ends. I'm laddering this up to 100+ receiving yards.