Classic head vs. heart play. There has been nary a situation where picking against the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes as an underdog or home favorite under a field goal has not paid. Plus, Mahomes has never started 0-2 nor lost three straight games. Perhaps I’m still shellshocked from watching live as the Eagles ran up and down the field in New Orleans, but given Kansas City’s mass of playmaking losses, it’s tough to see how KC can go shot for shot with Philadelphia. Jalen Carter should shore up the interior of the Eagles defense, which got pounded by the Cowboys after his ejection, and the Chiefs OL should not be a match. So, while the heart says Chiefs, the head says, “Fly Eagles Fly.”

Yes the Chiefs looked terrible defensively in Week 1, but I'm not sure the Eages will attack them the way Justin Herbert did. Philly won't have Dallas Goedert, and the Eagles' offense looked bland in their opener. K.C. isn't a pushover against the run. Back Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes to be on point and keep this tight throughout.

This is nearly a pick'em because the public believes Kansas City is eager to exact revenge from its decisive Super Bowl setback to the Eagles and cannot fathom an 0-2 start for the Chiefs. Fact is, Philly is much better at the moment. The K.C. dynasty is receding, especially on offense with the two foremost WRs out and TE Travis Kelce entering a career twilight. A win would need to come from an unbending defense, but can it sufficiently contain QB Jalen Hurts and RB Saquon Barkley? Likely not.

The Eagles won't have Dallas Goedert today, and that's typically meant a sizeable bump for Smith in the passing game. He's gotten to 85 receiving yards in seven of the last 11 games Goedert has missed with another in the 60s, so this number figures to be pretty low unless the Eagles just don't have to throw the ball much. But even in the same matchup in February with Goedert playing and the Eagles up big, Smith got to 69 yards on just four catches. This number feels at least 5 yards short.

Jalen Hurts scored 19 rushing touchdowns last season, including postseason. He has a rushing touchdown or more in four straight games dating back to last season. This includes a rushing touchdown against the Chiefs in the Super Bowl. He also opened this season with two rushing touchdowns against the Cowboys. As we approach this Super Bowl rematch, Hurts Anytime Touchdown is one of my favorite bets in this game.

Caesar’s / DraftKings. After Xavier Worthy (doubtful) went down with a shoulder injury on the first drive, JuJu Smith-Schuster was thrust into an every-down role. After catching all five of his targets, I expect him to see the field a bunch again against the Eagles. The Chiefs should struggle to move the ball on the ground against Jalen Carter and the Eagles front. With Patrick Mahomes implied around 36 pass attempts, I have JuJu slated for six to seven targets, as Hollywood Brown does draw the tougher assignment against slot cornerback, Cooper DeJean. I love this spot at plus odds, and would play it down to -105.

The Eagles didn't offer much in the passing game in Week 1, mostly because the offense against Dallas ran through Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts on the ground. A.J. Brown was MIA until the final drive and it was a big *thing* publicly in the wake of the win. Brown didn't say anything about it himself, but against a Chiefs defense that gave up 8.1 yards per pass to the Chargers last week in a game with a high total (46.5) I think Brown gets some shot-play looks from Hurts here and the price is pretty solid at DraftKings currently.

This isn't a true 1:1 Super Bowl rematch, as some of the pieces have changed and also there isn't a championship on the line. This is just strictly a Week 2 football game. And based off what we've seen so far from both teams, the Eagles enter this one playing significantly better on both sides of the ball. Look for the defense to be the reason why they are able to get the win.

The Super Bowl rematch lost a bit of luster with Rashee Rice out and Xavier Worthy likely joining him on the sidelines, a blow for the Chiefs after the Eagles defense looked vulnerable to the pass in Week 1. That D should play better with Jalen Carter back on the field, and the offense gets to face a Chiefs defense that was knocked around by Greg Roman in Week 1. I love only laying -110 on the money line for Philly here.