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Sun, Dec 016:00 pm UTCU.S. Bank Stadium
Track OnCBS Sports
Arizona
Cardinals
ARI
Last 5 ATS
W/L6-7
ATS8-5
O/U5-6-2
FINAL SCORE
22
-
23
Minnesota
Vikings
MIN
Last 5 ATS
W/L11-2
ATS8-4
O/U5-7-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
6-7
Win /Loss
11-2
8-5
Spread
8-4
5-6-2
Over / Under
5-7-1
Key Injuries
Key Injuries
Avatar
DT
Avatar
P
Avatar
DT
Key Injuries
Avatar
CB
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
ARI @ MIN
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MONEYLINE
ARI @ MIN
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OVER / UNDER
ARI @ MIN
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36%
PUBLIC
64%
MONEY
9%
PUBLIC
91%
MONEY
Over78%
PUBLIC
Under22%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Receiving YardsTrey McBride Over 58.5 Total Receiving Yards -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+791.5
34-24 in Last 58 NFL Player Props Picks
Jimmie's Analysis:

The Vikings run a pass funnel type of defense that should open things up for a massive day from McBride. The third-year pro out of Colorado State is coming off his best game of the season (12 catches for 133 yards on 15 targets). I expect McBride to see double digit targets again on Sunday with 75+ receiving yards.

Pick Made: Dec 01, 5:21 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LineMinnesota -154
WIN
Unit0.5
+1527
89-54-2 in Last 145 NFL Picks
+1373
30-9 in Last 39 NFL ML Picks
+635
12-3 in Last 15 MIN ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Arizona has looked pretty bad in two of its past three road games, while it's Minnesota's first at home in nearly a month. I keep expecting Sam Darnold to turn into a pumpkin but he has had back-to-back games with at least two pass TDs and zero picks for the first time in his career. Defensively, the Vikes rank first in the NFL in the fewest rushing yards (95) and the lowest average yards per rush (2.6) by opposing quarterbacks, so they could make Kyler Murray one dimensional.

Pick Made: Dec 01, 4:17 am UTC on Sugar House
Point SpreadMinnesota -3 -118
LOSS
Unit1.0
+982.5
123-96 in Last 219 NFL Picks
+164
14-11 in Last 25 NFL ATS Picks
+1772
41-21-2 in Last 64 MIN ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The Cardinals need to run the ball effectively to succeed on offense. They were stymied last week in Seattle -- 49 yards on 14 carries -- and lost 16-6. Now they face the NFL's top rushing defense in Minnesota. This feels like a Justin Jefferson blow-up game, as Arizona ranks 24th in EPA allowed to outside receivers. Back Minnesota to cover as the Vikings remain in contention for the division and the conference's top seed.

Pick Made: Dec 01, 2:07 am UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Passing AttemptsSam Darnold Under 32.5 Total Passing Attempts -132
WIN
Unit1.0
+313.5
28-22 in Last 50 NFL Player Props Picks
Dave's Analysis:

Darnold threw 34 passes last week in what wound up being a competitive OT win at Chicago, but this won't be the same. Like Chicago, Arizona plays a lot of zone coverage. But unlike Chicago, Arizona's pass rush has gotten hot -- they have 14 sacks in their past three games. Darnold's never been a consistent passer when under pressure, and Minnesota's O-line has a large question mark at left tackle. What better way to combat that than by giving Aaron Jones and the Vikings run game a lot of work? With the Vikings defense expected to hammer the Cardinals offense, Darnold won't have to pass a ton. And the best part? He's thrown more than 33 passes in just three games all season.

Pick Made: Nov 29, 5:47 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsJustin Jefferson Over 78.5 Total Receiving Yards -133
WIN
Unit1.5
+222.5
41-32 in Last 73 NFL Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Justin Jefferson is having another fantastic season, however his numbers are down compared to previous years which can almost entirely be attributed to a decrease in targets. Shockingly, Jefferson has only had double digit targets in one game and while he's been highly efficient, the decrease in targets has contributed his dip in yardage. I like Jefferson's chances of having a spike game considering Arizona's pass defense is 21st in EPA allowed per drop back, 25th in Success Rate, in addition to lacking an effective or consistent pass rush. Arizona's offense is also capable of forcing Minnesota to throw and I even think there is some squeaky wheel narrative considering Jefferson has been quiet (by his standards) lately. I'd play this up to 84.5.

Pick Made: Nov 29, 5:28 pm UTC on BetMGM
Over / UnderUnder 45.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+146
7-5 in Last 12 NFL O/U Picks
+390
5-1 in Last 6 MIN O/U Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Cardinals defense has gotten pretty stout without anyone really noticing. In the last 5 games they've allowed: 16, 6, 9, 27 and 15 points. They have played 4 of the last 5 games at 38 points or less. They are 8-5 to the under on the road since the start of last season. Vikings are 9-4 to the under at home since the start of last season (on average under by 3.5 points, 30th in the NFL). The Vikings have played 3 of their last 4 games at 37 or under. MIN is back home finally after three straight road games and might be shaky. Cardinals road games and Vikings home games since the start of last season both averaged 42 points.

Pick Made: Nov 27, 5:11 am UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadArizona +4 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+719
31-21-1 in Last 53 NFL ATS Picks
+2392
59-32-5 in Last 96 MIN ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Vikings just won three straight road games and finally get to head home, but they may be missing key players on both sides of the ball after Cam Robinson and Ivan Pace suffered injuries Sunday. Robinson was the Plan B after Christian Darrisaw was lost, and Sam Darnold (who is also banged up) could see extra pressure against a defense that has played very well recently. Pace's loss could matter against a mobile QB, which the Vikings defense hasn't seen much of this year. While my ratings think the line is fine, I like the spot and the potential health advantage for Arizona.

Pick Made: Nov 26, 12:29 am UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

Arizona Cardinals
Friday, Dec 13, 2024
Avatar
P
Blake Gillikin
FootOut
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RB
Emari Demercado
BackOut
Wednesday, Dec 11, 2024
Avatar
DT
Roy Lopez
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Naquan Jones
ShoulderQuestionable
Minnesota Vikings
Monday, Dec 09, 2024
Avatar
CB
Stephon Gilmore
HamstringQuestionable
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