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Sun, Dec 176:00 pm UTCBank of America Stadium
51 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Atlanta
Falcons
ATL
Last 5 ATS
W/L7-10
ATS5-12
O/U7-10-0
FINAL SCORE
7
-
9
Carolina
Panthers
CAR
Last 5 ATS
W/L2-15
ATS5-11
O/U5-11-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
7-10
Win /Loss
2-15
5-12
Spread
5-11
7-10-0
Over / Under
5-11-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
ATL @ CAR
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MONEYLINE
ATL @ CAR
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OVER / UNDER
ATL @ CAR
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56%
PUBLIC
44%
MONEY
74%
PUBLIC
26%
MONEY
Over36%
PUBLIC
Under64%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadAtlanta -2.5 -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2294
84-55-8 in Last 147 NFL ATS Picks
+589
27-19 in Last 46 ATL ATS Picks
Adam's Analysis:

Spent Sunday morning trying to find a reason not to back the Falcons, and I just cannot come up with one. The Panthers are going to struggle effecting Desmond Ridder in the pocket, and Atlanta is far stronger defensively facing one of the three weakest offenses in the NFL. The Carolina has an interim coach who has never been more than a special teams coordinator for bad teams. The fans have given up tickets going for $0.45 this week. I suppose the Panthers could surprise, but I just don't see it. Every Carolina loss this season has been by 3+ points, and it is too mistake prone to put all your trust in its defense.

Pick Made: Dec 17, 5:23 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadCarolina +3 -112
WIN
Unit1.0
+99
2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
+85
2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
+496
15-9 in Last 24 ATL ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

The downtrodden Panthers yielded just 207 yards of total offense to New Orleans last week, and their backfield plowed away for 204 yards. Even so, a late turnover and blocked a punt negated an otherwise stellar effort. If snake-bit Carolina is going to win another game, it will be Sunday against a reeling Falcons club.

Pick Made: Dec 17, 2:57 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadCarolina +3 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+2450
202-148-2 in Last 352 NFL Picks
+1754
79-55-2 in Last 136 NFL ATS Picks
+1195
43-28-2 in Last 73 ATL ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The Panthers are back home where Bryce Young is more comfortable (78.0 passer rating compared to 66.4 on the road). He'll rely on Chuba Hubbard against an Atlanta defense that's missing defensive lineman David Onyemata (ankle) for the second straight week. Onyemata's absence figured prominently in the Falcons' 29-25 home loss to Tampa Bay. But this bet comes mainly comes down to how good the Panthers' defense is and how decimated the Falcons' offensive line is. Kaleb McGary is out, and three other starting O-linemen are questionable.

Pick Made: Dec 17, 1:08 am UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Avatar
Anytime Touchdown ScorerBijan Robinson Anytime Touchdown Scorer -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1375
43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Carolina has now allowed 21 rushing TDs on the season, most in the NFL. I swore to myself I was off Falcons props because their coach continues to butcher game management, but my desire to keep playing RBs to hit paydirt against this D won out. Allgeier isn't much of a poaching threat with 1 since Week 1. Ridder is a turnover machine. Bijan has a TD in 3 of last 4 games (only the Jets stopped him) and has 5 TDs in his last 6 games and scored in the first game vs Carolina and is coming off his biggest receiving game of the year, too. So, yeah, they pulled me back in.

Pick Made: Dec 16, 3:24 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadAtlanta -3 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+917
83-66-3 in Last 152 NFL Picks
+362
26-20 in Last 46 NFL ATS Picks
+91
2-1 in Last 3 ATL ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Seriously, is it possible in good faith to take the Panthers with this few points? Poor QB Bryce Young, with the finish line to his nightmarish rookie season within view, is coming off his worst game in a season that began with a two-interception loss to Atlanta. Not since eight games ago has Carolina scored as many as 20 points. The Falcons are no great shakes but tend to handle business in the sorry NFC South, having covered in all five games until last week. As tri-leader of the division, they carry in far more motivation than the discouraged Panthers.

Pick Made: Dec 15, 10:25 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsKyle Pitts Over 35.5 Total Receiving Yards -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+845.5
74-54 in Last 128 NFL Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

It's been a frustrating season for Pitts, who has elite physical traits and flashed monstrous upside in a rookie season that saw him finish with 1,026 receiving yards. Considering Pitts' college production and rookie output, it was natural to think Pitts could become one of the elite at the position. That hasn't been the case, as Pitts plays in one of the lowest-volume passing offenses and hasn't even been a full-time player. That changed in Week 14, as Pitts played a season-high 85% of the snaps. Hopefully it's a sign of things to come, as Pitts' usage has been head-scratching, to say the least. If Pitts continues to see at least 80% of the snaps, he is a no-brainer in the 35- to 45-yard range.

Pick Made: Dec 15, 8:47 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsBijan Robinson Over 19.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+327
15-10 in Last 25 NFL Player Props Picks
Mackenzie's Analysis:

It's been a passing season for the Falcons. They went from 42% pass to 50% this season. After Robinson's mid-season migraine situation, his receiving yards have been steadily increasing. He is averaging 6 targets the past 3 games and over 37 yards. Carolina's rush defense is actually decent which could bode for some more passes for the rookie.

Pick Made: Dec 15, 5:34 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Tackles Plus AssistsJessie Bates III Over 6.5 Total Tackles Plus Assists -128
WIN
Unit1.0
+1720
126-88 in Last 214 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Falcons safety Jessie Bates has made 7-plus tackles in six straight games, and he had 10 tackles in the first meeting with Carolina. (He also intercepted two passes and forced a fumble). Bates never leaves the field and this is a great matchup for him. Look for him to register at least seven tackles plus assists.

Pick Made: Dec 15, 5:20 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Rushing + Receiving YardsChuba Hubbard Over 80.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+1375
43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Hubbard getting 25 touches is the centerpiece of this limping Panthers offense and they will undoubtedly lean on him heavily Sunday with Bryce Young struggling mightily. He's over 87 yards rushing each of the last two games since becoming the feature back and can win in the screen game too. ATL is top 10 vs run but NFC South RBs have gone way over this against them: White (27 touches - 135 yards last week), Kamara (19-119), White (19-99), Sanders (24-98). Hubbard was behind Sanders in Wk 1 game vs ATL but still had 11-69. Panthers will follow that RB script here with Hubbard the lead guy.

Pick Made: Dec 14, 9:18 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderUnder 35 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+949
35-26 in Last 61 NFL Picks
+475
6-2 in Last 8 CAR O/U Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

Both teams are coming off tough losses with statistical profiles that don't reflect the final score. The Falcons outgained the Bucs by two yards per play but collapsed due to a bad pick, two FG misses and a safety. The Panthers held the Saints to 207 yards and four yards per play despite getting blown out. The Panthers should be able to run the ball against a beat-up Falcons front and shorten the game, and their defense should continue to have success against an Atlanta O-line dealing with injuries. The Falcons are 1-5 straight up away from home, and I expect Desmond Ridder to struggle much like the Carolina offense has all year. Take this Under now before it drops.

Pick Made: Dec 11, 4:41 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey

Team Injuries

Atlanta Falcons
Monday, Jun 02, 2025
Avatar
LB
Troy Andersen
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Kyle Pitts
FootQuestionable
Avatar
RB
Jase McClellan
KneeQuestionable
Monday, Feb 10, 2025
Avatar
LB
Bralen Trice
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Carolina Panthers
Thursday, Jun 12, 2025
Avatar
WR
Tetairoa McMillan
LegQuestionable
Tuesday, Jun 10, 2025
Avatar
LB
Amare Barno
KneeQuestionable
Tuesday, Jun 03, 2025
Avatar
WR
Jimmy Horn Jr.
HamstringQuestionable
Monday, Jun 02, 2025
Avatar
DT
Derrick Brown
Knee - MeniscusQuestionable
Avatar
LB
D.J. Wonnum
BackQuestionable
Avatar
LB
DJ Johnson
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Claudin Cherelus
ToeQuestionable
Tuesday, May 27, 2025
Avatar
TE
Tommy Tremble
BackQuestionable

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
31%
4-9
3-9-1
25%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
33%
2-4
1-3-1
25%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
22%
2-7
3-9-1
25%
When Spread was -4.5 to -1.5
SPREAD
When Spread was +1.5 to +4.5
22%
2-7
3-5-1
38%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
33%
1-2
1-3-1
25%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
25%
1-3
1-2
33%
vs Teams Allowing >25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
0%
0-3
2-2-1
50%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
18%
2-9
2-7-1
22%
vs CAR
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
100%
1-0
0-1
0%
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