loading...
League Logo
NFL
League Logo
NFL
League Logo
CFB
League Logo
NBA
League Logo
NHL
All
    loading...
    Sun, Oct 085:00 pm UTCMercedes-Benz Stadium
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Houston
    Texans
    HOU
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L10-7
    ATS9-7
    O/U6-11-0
    FINAL SCORE
    19
    -
    21
    Atlanta
    Falcons
    ATL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L7-10
    ATS5-12
    O/U7-10-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    10-7
    Win /Loss
    7-10
    9-7
    Spread
    5-12
    6-11-0
    Over / Under
    7-10-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    SAF
    Avatar
    LB
    Avatar
    CB
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    G
    Avatar
    LB
    Avatar
    DT
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    HOU @ ATL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    HOU @ ATL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    HOU @ ATL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    51%
    PUBLIC
    49%
    MONEY
    69%
    PUBLIC
    31%
    MONEY
    Over70%
    PUBLIC
    Under30%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Money LineAtlanta -134
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1096
    42-17 in Last 59 NFL ML Picks
    +359
    8-3 in Last 11 ATL ML Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    CJ Stroud has been unbelievable, but in his young career Atlanta's Desmond Ridder has much better home splits. Houston struggles to stop the run and that's right up the Falcons' alley. This almost even feels like a bit of a letdown game for the Texans.

    Pick Made: Oct 08, 4:24 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Over / UnderOver 41.5 -112
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +917
    83-66-3 in Last 152 NFL Picks
    +592
    18-11 in Last 29 NFL O/U Picks
    +242
    9-6 in Last 15 ATL O/U Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    Rookie QB C.J. Stroud has exceeded the wildest expectations, with six TD throws and no picks so far. He has accumulated 970 passing yards the past three weeks behind a makeshift line. With elite OT Laremy Tunsil likely back for the first time since Week 1 and right OT Tytus Howard joining him, Stroud can light it up here. (Concerns do remain at LG). Falcons QB Desmond Ridder, dreadful in road games, is unbeaten in four starts at home in his brief career, with four TDs and a nearly 68 percent completion rate. Houston has registered 67 points combined in its two latest outings. If Ridder stays on form at home, the Over is gettable.

    Pick Made: Oct 08, 12:07 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsBijan Robinson Over 79.5 Total Rushing Yards -118
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +139
    9-6 in Last 15 NFL Player Props Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    Bijan Robinson only needed 14 carries to accumulate 105 yards against the Jaguars in Week 4. That marked his second game of at least 100 rushing yards in the early going of his rookie season. With Desmond Ridder struggling at quarterback, the Falcons want to run the ball as much as possible. The Texans have allowed 4.4 yards per carry, which is tied for the ninth-highest mark in the league. Combine that with Robinson averaging 6.0 yards per carry and I like the over.

    Pick Made: Oct 08, 1:10 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
    Money LineAtlanta -125
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +285.5
    28-22 in Last 50 NFL Picks
    Kenny's Analysis:

    I played the Falcons on the money line -125. HC Arthur Smith loves the power running game and Houston struggles to stop the run. My model has the Falcons by four.

    Pick Made: Oct 07, 11:42 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
    Point SpreadAtlanta -1.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1249.5
    64-48-5 in Last 117 NFL Picks
    +85
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
    +724
    15-7 in Last 22 ATL ATS Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    Desmond Ridder might have temporarily saved his job with a long scoring drive in the second half of last week's loss to Jacksonville, but the club might be better served by at least giving backup Taylor Heinicke a look. Even so, this rates a strong matchup for the run-heavy Falcons against the league's worst run defense. The Texans have earned some respect in the market but they should be a bigger underdog Sunday.

    Pick Made: Oct 07, 9:33 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
    Money LineAtlanta -125
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1053
    63-44-2 in Last 109 NFL Picks
    +317
    8-4 in Last 12 NFL ML Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    If you're looking at box scores and and win columns you'll notice that the Texans are running hot while the Falcons have cooled significantly since a 2-0 start. I'm happy to take the unpopular team here as I think the Falcons will dominate with the running game. While CJ Stroud and company have been great, they do meet a formidable secondary in Atlanta which will give Stroud some trouble. I expect Ridder to be a non-factor as usual, but I don't think it will matter. The running game and defense secure the win.

    Pick Made: Oct 07, 4:13 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
    Avatar
    Total Passing TouchdownsDesmond Ridder Under 0.5 Total Passing Touchdowns +184
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +555
    9-4 in Last 13 NFL Player Props Picks
    Dave's Analysis:

    Houston plays heavy zone defense designed to take away big plays, not that Ridder is making many big plays these days anyway. In fact, of 34 QBs who have thrown 40-plus passes this season, Ridder is 11th lowest in pass attempts of just 10 or more Air Yards with a 50% completion rate, a 9.9 yards per attempt average, and most importantly, one touchdown. Heck he has just three passing touchdowns on the year, which is one more than Houston has allowed all season! And what happens if the Falcons hit halftime and they bench Ridder for Taylor Heinicke?! It's obviously a risky bet but with nearly two to one odds, I love the rationale.

    Pick Made: Oct 06, 8:40 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsJonnu Smith Over 29.5 Total Receiving Yards +100
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +555
    9-4 in Last 13 NFL Player Props Picks
    Dave's Analysis:

    Over his past three games Smith has had target shares of 20, 21 and 20%. He's running short routes and is an easy target for Desmond Ridder. The Texans allowed a catch rate of 89% over 18 total targets to the Colts and Jaguars' tight ends in Weeks 2 and 3 with 9.9 yards per catch and 7.2 yards after catch per reception. These numbers were the byproduct of the zone coverage Houston played against both of those teams. They are expected to do the same this week, making Smith a good option. And get this: His over/under is a yard higher than Kyle Pitts' over/under!

    Pick Made: Oct 06, 8:22 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
    Avatar
    Anytime Touchdown ScorerBijan Robinson Anytime Touchdown Scorer -109
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Matt's Analysis:

    As good as Robinson has been, he has yet to score a rushing TD (one receiving). He had been the OROY favorite but has fallen behind CJ Stroud ... whom (who? infer? imply? tomato? tomatoe?) so happens to be across the field Sunday. You don't think Dirty Birds coach Arthur Smith wants to "pimp" his rookie with his first rushing TD? I like this quite a bit against a bad Houston run defense, but I never recommend over-betting player props because it's often out of their control, injuries, blowouts, etc.

    Pick Made: Oct 06, 5:39 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsDesmond Ridder Under 183.5 Total Passing Yards -143
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1720
    126-88 in Last 214 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Desmond Ridder has eclipsed this total in three straight, but each time the game script had the Falcons trailing big. This should be a tight game throughout, if not Atlanta in the lead. Ridder is facing a Texans' defense that can't stop the run, so you know Arthur Smith is going extremely run-heavy Sunday. Per PFF, Houston owns the worst rush defense and ranks second to last in tackling grade. Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier should carry the load, limiting Ridder's attempts and yards.

    Pick Made: Oct 05, 7:09 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
    Point SpreadAtlanta -1.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2450
    202-148-2 in Last 352 NFL Picks
    +1754
    79-55-2 in Last 136 NFL ATS Picks
    +1323
    41-25-2 in Last 68 ATL ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    As bad as Desmond Ridder has played, he's 4-0 in his home starts. This is a good matchup overall for Atlanta. Houston owns the NFL's worst run defense, per PFF, so the Falcons should have success with their running back duo. The lookahead line for this game was Falcons -3.5. C.J. Stroud has been a revelation, but I think the adjustment has gone too far given Atlanta's much-improved defense. Look for the Falcons to improve to 3-0 at home.

    Pick Made: Oct 05, 6:08 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
    Money LineAtlanta -125
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +66
    2-1 in Last 3 HOU ML Picks
    Will's Analysis:

    Remember when the Bills were favored against the Dolphins last week and no one could figure out why? This is the same situation, albeit with a much less explosive offense. The Texans are a good football team, earlier than people expected. But the Falcons aren't trash, even if the results the last two weeks have been pretty bad. Desmond Ridder and Arthur Smith are on the hot seat to a degree, with people wanting Taylor Heineicke and Smith's playcalling at least in question. I think they bounce back here in a surprising spot at home as favorites and the defense shows up in a big way while Ridder moves to 5-0 at home.

    Pick Made: Oct 05, 5:21 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey

    Team Injuries

    Houston Texans
    Thursday, Oct 31, 2024
    Avatar
    SAF
    Jimmie Ward
    GroinInactive
    Avatar
    LB
    Azeez Al-Shaair
    KneeInactive
    Avatar
    CB
    Myles Bryant
    Coach's DecisionInactive
    Avatar
    RB
    Dameon Pierce
    GroinInactive
    Avatar
    C
    Jarrett Patterson
    ConcussionInactive
    Atlanta Falcons
    Wednesday, Oct 30, 2024
    Avatar
    G
    Chris Lindstrom
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    JD Bertrand
    ConcussionQuestionable
    Monday, Oct 28, 2024
    Avatar
    LB
    Troy Andersen
    KneeQuestionable
    Sunday, Oct 27, 2024
    Avatar
    DT
    Ruke Orhorhoro
    AnkleQuestionable
    © 2024 CBS INTERACTIVE INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. SportsLine and SportLine PRO are registered trademarks of SportsLine.com, Inc.FANS ONLY
    In partnership with...247 Sports

    FOLLOW US:

    The content on this site is for entertainment purposes only and SportsLine makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. There is no gambling offered on this site. This site contains commercial content and SportsLine may be compensated for the links provided on this site.