This went up a yard since Mike Barner picked yesterday, but I'm still fine with it. Yes, this should be a passing shootout and as Mike noted, Waller has easily topped this number in all three games since his return from injury.

The Chiefs are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games. The Raiders have nothing to play for except for pride, but that could make them dangerous especially after taking the 49ers to overtime last week. The better option betting this game looks to be the Over, which has happened in five straight Chiefs-Raiders meetings.

I’m surprised the line for this prop was set so low. In three games since returning from injury, Waller has at least 48 receiving yards each time. Even with Jarrett Stidham taking over as the starting quarterback last week, he caught three of five targets for 72 yards and a touchdown. The Raiders should have to throw a lot to try and keep up with Patrick Mahomes and company, leaving Waller with the potential for plenty of targets.

Josh Jacobs comes into this game questionable and likely has the rushing title in hand (he's leading Henry and Chubb by 160+ yards). This may result in a reduced role from Jacobs and a relatively ineffective rushing attack which will force more throws from Stidham. Stidham exploded last week against a great defense (365 passing yards) and now sees a better matchup with a higher total (52.5). Stidham won't be afraid to continue his audition and throw it down the field against a very susceptible KC defense.

Jarrett Stidham's mobility and his understanding of Josh McDaniels' offense paid off last week as the Raiders put up 34 points against the NFL's top defense. Stidham completed nine passes of 20-plus yards. With Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow healthy, the Raiders have one of the league's most potent attacks. Josh Jacobs, the NFL's leading rusher, is questionable Saturday. Now Las Vegas hosts a Chiefs team that continues to win, but often does so by slim margins. The Chiefs have yet to cover a divisional game. Grab the points.

The Raiders appeared to be packing in the season by benching Derek Carr, but 500 yards later against the league's best defense, this looks like a team that will compete for its first-year head coach in the final week, especially on national television. Not only did the Raiders offense manage 7.6 yards per play against the 49ers, but Jarrett Stidham topped 10 yards per attempt. The Chiefs defense gave up 24 points to a mediocre Denver attack, their third time in four weeks giving up at least 24 points to a bad offense. The Raiders nearly pulled off the upset in Kansas City earlier in the season, and I don't see them getting blown out here.