This line has been hovering between 6-7, so I'm jumping on it here before it goes back up. The Packers are nearly at full strength with the exception of Aaron Jones, but they probably do not even need him to run successfully against this Vikings defense. Jamaal Williams will do just fine. Though I do think Mike Zimmer will have Minnesota playing tough in the first half, I just don't see the VIkings and Kirk Cousins keeping up with the Packers and Aaron Rodgers for four quarters on the road.

The Vikings are coming off their bye week and aiming to end a three-game skid versus the Packers. Unfortunately, Kirk Cousins is 0-3 ATS in his last three games following a bye. The Packers don't have Aaron Jones, but Aaron Rodgers still has Davante Adams. Lay the points.

Kirk Cousins is more likely than Aaron Rodgers to make key mistakes in the windy conditions at Lambeau Field. Under Matt LaFleur, Green Bay has beaten Minnesota all three times, by an average of 9 points. Lay it.

I'm shocked this has fallen below 7 points. True, the Vikings are off their bye and will have Dalvin Cook back, while Green Bay will be without Aaron Jones. However, that terrible Minnesota defense could be gutted in the secondary due to injury/COVID-19. Aaron Rodgers threw for 364 yards and four TDs in Week 1 when that unit was healthy (and A-Rod might get back Allen Lazard on Sunday). Oh, and Minnesota waived the white flag during the bye when trading Yannick Ngakoue, the team's best pass-rusher. The Pack have won and covered three straight in series and will make it four.

Most teams emerge in good shape from a bye week. Not so the Vikings, who traded away one starting DE (Yannick Ngakoue) and sent another (Danielle Hunter) to injured reserve. Contrastingly, the Packers have thrown a welcome-back party for several ailing players, notably OT David Bakhtiari. QB Aaron Rodgers, awesome all year aside from one game, should have oodles of time in the pocket against the 27th-ranked defense. The chances of Green Bay extending a 4-0 ATS streak at home are promising.

Both teams come into this game off of a bye week. Minnesota hopes the time off does QB Kirk Cousins good, as he's been a liability for the Vikings so far this season. Green Bay is looking to get back on the winning track after getting beat down from the Buccaneers prior to the bye week. The Packers defense should be able to harass Cousins and force him into some bad decisions. Expect them to get a convincing win.

The spot doesn't favor the Packers here, as they have to travel to face the 49ers on Thursday night next week, but they're so much better than the Vikings that I'm taking them anyway. The Vikings succeed on offense when they can run the ball, but if Aaron Rodgers is torching a secondary that ranks 29th in yards allowed per attempt, Minnesota is going to have to throw it eventually. The Packers' big edge statistically in the first meeting doesn't paint an accurate picture of how dominant Green Bay was in the first half before the Vikings racked up some garbage-time stats and points. With the Vikings waving the white flag on the season by trading their best pass rusher, the Packers should roll.

Aaron Rodgers has his favorite receiver back fully healthy, and they've got a good running game whether or not Aaron Jones returns. They're a scoring machine. In the first meeting with Minnesota, the Packers put up 43 points. Lay the points.