Dismayed a bit that I'm eating the hook in what could be a close game, but I see this as a mismatch both on paper and on the field. Kyler Murray is exceedingly talented, but even with a depleted defense, the Seahawks are not the Cowboys or Jets. Seattle has the edge over Arizona at multiple positions, and Kliff Kingsbury is no match for Pete Carroll. Considering the Seahawks enter this game coming off a bye and Seattle's tremendous record in primetime, there's one move to make in this game, and it's to let Russ cook.

The Seahawks won't have Jamal Adams again, which means their subpar defense should continue to struggle despite coming off a bye. Look for Kyler Murray to be more accurate tonight than he was versus Dallas. While Russell Wilson's heroics might keep Seattle undefeated, I'll take the points in what should be a close game.

Pete Carroll generally has Seattle ready to roll after bye weeks. The Seahawks have won four in a row straight-up and six of seven. Let’s not overreact to Arizona goring the Dallas defense on Monday; everybody else does it. Four Cowboys turnovers made an easy task much easier. The Cardinals (4-2) have fattened up on the fourth easiest schedule in the league. A shootout looms, and wouldn’t you rather have Russell Wilson in such a scenario?

Russell Wilson is 6-1-1 lifetime at Arizona. Additionally, the Seahawks are 6-1 after a bye week in the last seven seasons, with an average margin of victory of 10.1 points. Look for Seattle to take full advantage in Sunday night's primetime game.

The Seattle defense has been notably awful this year, right? Well, they actually play pretty well against the run (seventh in yards per rush), and that's been the Cardinals' focus on offense as they rank seventh in run plays and 19th in pass attempts. The Cardinals' defense has played well, but they haven't really been tested yet, with their wins coming against Jimmy Garoppolo in a Week 1 game the Cardinals were more than prepared for ... then Dwayne Haskins, Joe Flacco and Andy Dalton. I think the Seahawks will have a lot of success in the passing game, and if we can lay only three, it's a smart play, especially with the game now in primetime where Russell Wilson dominates (Seahawks 23-10-2 ATS since 2012).

This will be a shootout. The Seahawks' defense isn't very good and Arizona has a ton of speed on offense. Like Christian Kirk getting deep last week, the Cardinals have all kinds of guys who can pop up and make plays. Take the 3.5 points at home with the 4-2 Cards.

Bettors came running to the bet window to take the Over after the Cardinals put up 38 points against the Cowboys' awful defense, but these two teams traditionally play Under. The Cards have stayed Under in all six games this season. The last five meetings with the Seahawks in Arizona have stayed Under, and both meetings last season stayed Under. The last six meetings have stayed Under 56. Totals right now are still inflated based on the first four weeks of Overs. The Under is the play.