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Expert Picks
Neither the Rams nor Cowboys got enough credit for their performances in last week's game, while the Eagles' second-half collapse against Washington is being excused as an injury-aided aberration. Yeah, I'm not buying that. Though Philadelphia is getting a number of key pieces back, including Lane Johnson and Miles Sanders, the offensive creativity of L.A.'s Sean McVay along with the team's improved weapons has me siding with the visitors. The Rams are 20-8 away from home under McVay, and they're getting a small cushion here with the line movement. Carson Wentz may not get sacked eight times again, but four or five would be enough. I have the Rams as a 1-point favorite.
Philly QB Carson Wentz was sacked eight times by the Washington Football Team. Watching Rams DT Aaron Donald on film must be a horror show. The Eagles’ battered offensive line appears to be getting healthier but not enough to contain Donald and sidekicks. L.A. coach Sean McVay is 20-8 straight-up away from home, and he has won all three road openers. Let’s put the impact of Rams RB Todd Gurley’s departure to rest; he played minimally last year.
I liked the Rams early in the week, but now Miles Sanders, Lane Johnson, Javon Hargrave and Derek Barnett all are on track to play. That's a huge boost for the desperate home team. This is a season-defining game for Carson Wentz and Doug Pederson against a middling Rams team traveling cross-country.
Last week, Philadelphia's offensive line broke down against Washington in the second half, as it was missing RT Lane Johnson and two other starters. The Eagles get Johnson back this week, but their interior line still is a bit of a question mark. It'll be facing the best defensive player in football in Rams DT Aaron Donald. Interior pressure can cripple an offense, and I see Donald playing a major role in this game. Expect Los Angeles' defense to reward QB Jared Goff and the offense with more possessions.
The return of Lane Johnson and Miles Sanders will make the Eagles a trendy pick in Week 2, but I like the value with the Rams. The loss of a true home field advantage is a massive benefit for someone like Jared Goff. Goff was actually very good against Dallas, especially if you remove the interception that was a clear personal foul. After Week 1 I make the Rams -2.2 favorites on a neutral field and -1 in Philadelphia under current playing conditions.
Carson Wentz is bad and he doesn't have a lot of help right now either. The Eagles' offensive line is all chewed up. While I don't love backing Jared Goff on the road, the Rams have good running backs and receivers. Their defense is going to have a field day.
A good and desperate home team getting a point against a West Coast club playing at 10 a.m. ET Pacific time on a pseudo-short week? Sign me up! The Eagles know they have to win because 0-2 clubs rarely make the playoffs. They also are due back their best offensive lineman (Lane Johnson) and top running back (Miles Sanders) from injuries. The Rams, meanwhile, may be due a letdown after upsetting Dallas on Sunday night in Week 1 to christen SoFi Stadium. L.A. is 4-16 in its past 20 as a dog.
This was the biggest move off the lookahead number, as injuries to the offensive line caught up to the Eagles in their loss to Washington. But they should be more healthy for this matchup, with Lane Johnson expected to return and Miles Sanders also likely back after the Eagles had to go down to their No. 3 running back in Week 1. That means the line should be closer to the lookahead number of Eagles -3.5. I'd say these two teams are close to even in terms of strength, and while I don't think teams get full home-field advantage, if there's any at all the Eagles should be at worst short favorites in this game.