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Wed, Apr 291:30 am UTCFrost Bank Center
Portland
Trail Blazers
POR
Last 5 ATS
W/L44-43
ATS46-40
O/U44-43-0
FINAL SCORE
95
-
114
San Antonio
Spurs
SA
Last 5 ATS
W/L74-31
ATS60-45
O/U49-56-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
44-43
Win /Loss
74-31
46-40
Spread
60-45
44-43-0
Over / Under
49-56-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
POR @ SA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
POR @ SA
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
POR @ SA
Subscribers Only

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38%
PUBLIC
63%
MONEY
10%
PUBLIC
90%
MONEY
Over84%
PUBLIC
Under16%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
PTS + AST + REBJrue Holiday Over 26.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -122
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1342
39-23 Last 62 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. Jrue Holiday has been the most consistent producer for the Blazers this series, with 30+ PRA in each of the last three games, only missing this line in Game 1 due to poor shooting. In fact, he’s cleared this line in 14/16 games this season with 34+ minutes. With the Blazers down to their last hope, Holiday should be in store for another 36+ minutes tonight. Look for the young Blazers to lean on their playoff-tested veteran. I’d bet this to over 27.5.

Pick Made: Apr 29, 12:56 am UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PointsKeldon Johnson Over 8.5 Total Points -108
LOSS
Unit1.0
+477
15-9 Last 24 NBA Player Props
Zack's Analysis:

So many San Antonio Spurs players are flourishing against Portland in the points prop market. One that has had his market crater is Keldon Johnson. Johnson won the sixth man of the year, but got extended minutes over the last few months as the Spurs protected their starters. In this series he is averaging just 19 minutes, and struggled with just 5 points in game three with Wemby out. Dylan Harper and at times Carter Bryant have surpassed Johnson in rotation minutes. Tonight, is the type of game where the Spurs may need an extra lift from the bench as they look to close the series out. Tail Johnson over on too much of a drop down in the market on his points prop.

Pick Made: Apr 28, 8:45 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PointsRobert Williams III Over 6.5 Total Points -125
WIN
Unit1.0
+1776
96-65 Last 161 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

This has been a tough series for second-year Trail Blazers center Donovan Clingan; he shot 2 of 10 in 14 minutes in Game 4. Veteran Robert Williams III is playing well and getting more time due to Clingan's struggles. "Time Lord" scored 11 in each of the first three games before finishing with four points Sunday. With Williams expected to play about 25 minutes, I love his chances of scoring seven-plus points.

Pick Made: Apr 28, 6:22 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PTS + REBDonovan Clingan Under 15.5 Total Points + Rebounds -120
WIN
Unit1.0
Adam's Analysis:

The PRA totals for Donovan Clingan in Games 2 and 3 when Victor Wembanyama didn’t play: 19 and 18. The PRA totals in Games 1 and 4 when Wemby did play, either fully or even partially: 11 and 11. This is a guy who averaged 23.7 P/R in 77 games this season. He’s outmatched here. The Blazers know it. He played just 14 minutes in Game 4, down from 20 minutes in Game 3 and 24 in Game 2.

Pick Made: Apr 28, 6:19 pm UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

Portland Trail Blazers
Tuesday, Jun 16, 2026
Avatar
PG
Damian Lillard
AchillesOut
San Antonio Spurs
Tuesday, Jun 16, 2026
Avatar
SF
David Jones
AnkleOut
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