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Thu, Feb 263:00 am UTCBall Arena
Boston
Celtics
BOS
Last 5 ATS
W/L43-22
ATS38-27
O/U23-42-0
FINAL SCORE
84
-
103
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L39-26
ATS36-29
O/U41-24-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
43-22
Win /Loss
39-26
38-27
Spread
36-29
23-42-0
Over / Under
41-24-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BOS @ DEN
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MONEYLINE
BOS @ DEN
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OVER / UNDER
BOS @ DEN
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64%
PUBLIC
36%
MONEY
37%
PUBLIC
63%
MONEY
Over75%
PUBLIC
Under25%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
3PT Field GoalsCameron Johnson Over 1.5 Total 3pt Field Goals -138
WIN
Unit1.0
+1916
131-96 in Last 227 NBA Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. Cam Johnson should be in position to knock down a couple threes today. The Celtics allow the second highest frequency of catch and shoot three pointers, and I expect them to converge on the Jamal Murray/Nikola Jokic primary action tonight. Johnson, who is shooting 47% from deep at home, has cleared this line in 14 of 21 games with both Murray and Jokic active, but without the injured Aaron Gordon. Playable to -155 (or 0.5 units on 2.5).

Pick Made: Feb 26, 2:29 am UTC on FanDuel
Money LineDenver -148
WIN
Unit1.5
+479
12-8 in Last 20 NBA ML Picks
+1244
34-16 in Last 50 BOS ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Not a quitter. College basketball don't mind getting crushed because teenagers. The NBA? Will say I have stayed away from some props and other things due to the blatant tanking. It's the worst I've ever seen and can't really get a grasp. Essentially leaves you with 2 legit games on an typical night -- can't find value. At least both try here. Boston rested Jaylen Brown last night; MJ would have strangled someone asking him to do so. That's my work ethic. Every other key C's player saw fairly heavy minutes. It's the end of a trip at altitude. Who covers Nikola Jokic: Neemias Queta? Think even Mrs. Queta faded her husband tonight. And I know how bad former Bull Nikola Vucevic is on defense.

Pick Made: Feb 25, 11:26 pm UTC on DraftKings
Over/UnderOver 228.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
Micah's Analysis:

The Celtics have got a good thing going at 38-19 on the season, and they've won and covered four straight games. They've been doing it by controlling the pace, keeping games under the total. They've stayed under 36 times this season. The Nuggets have been in a free fall, losing 6 of their last 9 games, but the Nuggets aren’t going to lay down playing the Celtics' style. Denver is going to play Nuggets-style basketball, which is fast and gets over the total like they have the last three games and 37 times this season. Celtics may win or cover, but I think the game goes over.

Pick Made: Feb 25, 7:51 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
PointsCameron Johnson Over 10.5 Total Points -133
WIN
Unit1.0
+436
18-12 in Last 30 NBA Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Cam Johnson went 0 for 4 from deep and finished with nine points in Denver's loss to the Warriors on Sunday. But he started and played 38 minutes. It was the first time since Nov. 12 that the sharpshooter (41.7 percent on 3-pointers this season) failed to make a 3-pointer. The Celtics are playing their third road game in four nights. Look for Johnson to take advantage of a tired defense and clear this prop total for the third time in his last four games.

Pick Made: Feb 25, 7:40 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
AssistsDerrick White Over 5.5 Total Assists -132
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2709
65-32 in Last 97 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Payton Pritchard has come off the bench in eight straight games for the Celtics. During that span, Derrick White recorded at least eight assists in a game six times. The only times he didn’t hit the over on this number during that stretch were a five-assist game against the Heat and a four-assist outing against the Knicks. White also averages 6.3 assists per game on the road for the season, making this over even more appealing.

Pick Made: Feb 25, 3:24 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Boston Celtics
Wednesday, Mar 11, 2026
Avatar
PF
Jayson Tatum
AchillesQuestionable
Avatar
PG
Payton Pritchard
NeckQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Derrick White
KneeQuestionable
Saturday, Mar 07, 2026
Avatar
C
Nikola Vucevic
FingerOut
Denver Nuggets
Wednesday, Mar 11, 2026
Avatar
SF
Peyton Watson
HamstringOut
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