Caesar’s. Julius Randle has failed to clear this line in each of the Wolves’ six playoff games. When playing alongside Rudy Gobert, against teams that were outside the bottom 10 of allowing rebounds plus assists to forwards (Warriors were 11th best this season), Randle averaged 10.8 rebounds plus assists across 52 games. With Steph Curry out for this game, the Warriors likely dial down the pace and look to muck this game up. I have Randle projected at 10.7 R+A.

Anthony Edwards missed his first 10 shots in Game 1, but he did finish with 14 rebounds and two assists. That was the fifth time in six playoff games in which Edwards cleared this 12.5 prop total. His Timberwolves' teammates won't shoot as poorly in Game 2, which should lead to more assists. And Edwards should remain very aggressive throughout, attacking the glass, after he got called out by coach Chris Finch for not bringing the proper energy and leadership.

There's no Steph Curry for the Warriors in Game 2, but they beat the Timberwolves in Game 1 with a smart game plan executed by Jimmy Butler and Buddy Hield. And of course, you need the Timberwolves not to shoot well, converting only 5 of 29 3-pointers and having 16 turnovers, while the Warriors shot 18 of 42 from 3-land and only had 12 turnovers. You've got to make your shots, especially 3-point shots in the NBA these days. I don't expect Draymond Green to hit four 3-pointers again, but I think Butler and Hield will be the key again. I got the Warriors Game 2.

Buddy Hield scored four total points in Games 5-6 vs. Houston but has since scored 33 and 24, respectively, and certainly should get plenty of shot attempts with Steph Curry out as now Hield is the team's top 3-point threat. I'd imagine the Wolves focus their defense on Jimmy Butler sans Curry.

The Warriors give up the fourth-most rebounds to opposing centers (16.2 per game). Rudy Gobert grabbed 11 rebounds in 26 minutes in Game 1 after pulling down 24 rebounds in the clinching win over the Lakers. Steph Curry's absence means Golden State will play a bigger lineup; Gobert is less likely to be played off the floor. In addition, look for Gobert to get held less after Chris Finch complained officials let Gobert get "physically beaten on" in Game 1.

Anthony Edwards had 14 rebounds and two assists in Game 1. He has played a ton in the playoffs, averaging 41 minutes over six games. He turned those heavy minutes into averages of 9.3 rebounds and 5.5 assists. He has finished with at least 15 combined rebounds and assists in five of the six games. The Warriors don’t have a ton of size, which should help Edwards continue to accumulate rebounds. The Warriors should also focus their defense on slowing down Edwards, leaving him with more opportunities to rack up assists as he passes out of double teams. I like this over.

With Stephen Curry (hamstring) playing just 13 minutes in Game 1, the Warriors needed more scoring from Buddy Hield. He didn’t let them down, scoring 24 points over 40 minutes. He attempted 19 shots, eight of which came from behind the arc. Hield has logged at least 29 minutes in four playoff games and he scored at least 15 points in each of them. I expect Hield to play a lot in Game 2, so I’ll take this over.

Concerns about no Steph Curry and an occasional penchant for losing touch on the road (as Game 5 at Houston), not to mention the NBA Playoff zig-zag angle favoring the Wolves, are enough to cause us to pause before backing Golden State. But if the Warriors slow the pace as they did at both Houston and Minnesota on this trip, this game likely is played in the 90s and the double-digit spread really intrigues. As long as one other Dub (it's been Buddy Hield the past two games) steps up besides Jimmy Butler, Steve Kerr's offense can be functional. It will then be up to one of the NBA's best defenses to again fluster the T-wolves, who seemed out of sorts on Tuesday. Play Warriors

No better time to buy in on Minnesota 3-point shooting! I'm eying Julius Randle because I like his consistently high 3-point attempts through the playoffs. He was 3-2 to this over in the Lakers series, and again for what it's worth, somebody on this Timberwolves team is due to break lose from deep. Our Model has him projected for 1.7, so we're getting a solid price at essentially even money.

After two straight insanely bad 3pt shooting nights from the Timberwolves, we knew we’d have buy low odds for their top shooters and looked for the best value. We found Randle as the ‘classic’ situation we love where the player’s average (1.6) and projection (1.7) are over the line and we are getting +$$$. It is unusual that Randle averages over 1.5 but his Over% is just 30-45, 40% on the season and not closer to 50/50. But we optimistically see this as a situation where after 3-1 unders coming in, Randle will start the game hot from three and a cover early!

With Steph Curry out, the line opened at -9 and has steamed further to -10.5. In years past, Steph Curry being out would move the line 5 to 6 points in the model, but in this case, it only moved it 2 points. Curry can still be the focal point of the offense, but with Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski, and Moses Moody, they have players who can ‘inherit’ Steph’s 10 3pt shots and hit them at nearly the same rate (37% for these 3 vs 39% for Steph). Gary Payton is a great defensive player, so if Payton gets more minutes, it helps on that end of the floor. He certainly contributed to Minnesota shooting horrifically from 3pt range in Game 1.

The Wolves won't be that brutal offensively again. Every home team with extreme rest struggled in the first game this week. And no Steph Curry matters on both ends. The Wolves were 3rd in offensive rating after the ASG (only BOS and OKC were better) and they have the size to give the Warriors issues in the paint as the Rockets did last round. This is an obvious bounce-back spot for me. Lack of rest between series will catch up to the Warriors here. MIN was a top 9 team shooting behind the arc since ASG and I don't buy the Warriors shutting them down again or them missing that many good looks.