I love Josh Hart and he is playing some tremendous postseason basketball for the Knicks. It is amazing watching a 6'4'' wing dominate the glass and Hart is a throwback to yesteryear. That being said, 14 rebounds is just a massive ask, and there are simply too many ways he could stay under this line. So much has to go right and the margin for error here is very slight. Hart has to avoid foul trouble, a trip to the lockerroom, the game being paced down/featuring fewer possessions, volatile distribution, etc. Even if all these components fall in Harts favor, including playing 48 minutes, there is no guarantee he gets 14 boards, making the under here a no brainer as far as I am concerned.

Obi Toppin had went seven straight postseason games of scoring nine or more points. That ended with the Pacers game three victory, as Toppin took his fewest shots of the postseason and scored just two points. His role in the series appears to be changing, and I expect the former Knick to continue to regress in the points department. Take his under on points.

I don't know what's going on in the NBA of late to be honest. This is a big number, but there are ways of manipulating it. I would be surprised if the Knicks won as I still think Thibs playing his key guys so many dang minutes is gonna matter at some point. I'm honestly half surprised that Josh Hart isn't Captain Dan in a wheelchair by now ("you ain't go no legs!"). Dude never comes off the court. I miss feeling invincible in my late 20s ... shoot, I'd take late 30s.

Donte DiVincenzo has logged 43 minutes, or more, in the four straight. Indiana has allowed the 2nd most points to shooting guards and DiVincenzo had scored 23 points, or more, in four out of the six meetings against the Pacers. This season, when playing 40+ minutes, he’s had 23 points, or more, in 11 of his last 14 games.

Josh Hart leads the league in rebounding in the playoffs. Hart has had 14 rebounds, or more, in five of last seven playoff games. He’s had at least 13 rebounds in every game this series and comes off having 26 rebound chances in game three. Hart has played 41 minutes, or more, in every playoff game thus far and will continue those high minutes especially with Mitchell Robinson and OG Anunoby sidelined.

Are the Knicks on borrowed time here? Adding Mitchell Robinson and OG Anunoby to the injured list (on top of Julius Randle, who's missed the past couple of months) have stretched Tom Thibodeau's bench pretty thin, and we don't envision another 35 points from Donte DiVincenzo that kept NY close on Friday in Game 3. Aside from that spurt at the end of the 3rd Q, the Knicks would have been much further behind in Game 3, and Indiana feeling much better about Tyrese Haliburton, who has recovered from his 6-point off-night in Game 1 to 34 and 35-point explosions, respectively, in the last two games. Play Pacers

We've had some very bad beats lately on overs due to some strange fourth quarter occurrences (meddling officials, weird substitutions, starts being pulled way early, teams stopping trying to score), so with a quick turnaround between these teams we are approaching it a little differently. In the first half in this series we've seen 121, 112, and 126 points. Both teams getting to or near 60 in the first 24 minutes would not be odd. Seemed like Knicks might be holding back a bit in Game 3 knowing with fast turn to Game 4 might behoove them to save killer mentality for then. Either way pace will be super fast from the jump in IND, but might not be able to hold it 4 quarters