Jalen Hurts is poised to run more in 2026. …

Jalen Coker cleared this line in six of his last eight games to finish last season. …

This 71% Michael Pittman trend figures to carry into this season. …

Deebo Samuel makes his return to the 49ers in Australia. …

DraftKings. After throwing 63 pitches in his return from a brief IL stint, Max Fried should be in line for a 75 pitch outing today against the Padres. At 15.1 pitches per inning, against a Padres lineup that’s been middle of the road against lefties over the last month (.741 OPS), Fried should have enough runway to pitch into the fifth inning.

DraftKings. Logan Allen draws the first start for the Guardians in their double header today. The lefty is pitching on five days rest after making four relief outings for Cleveland after being recalled from AAA. Ten days ago, his appearance consisted of 50 pitches - and before he was recalled to the majors, he was being used exclusively as a starter in the minor leagues. Assessing all of this with the tired Guardians bullpen, the assumption is likely that Allen can go for 60-70 pitches today. The Tigers have really struggled against lefties, with a .628 OPS since the All Star Break.

DraftKings. Tarik Skubal is under this very high strikeout line in 14/21 starts this season, including 10/12 against teams below the median strikeout rate against left handers. The Cardinals have the third lowest strikeout rate against southpaws this season, and have fared well against power pitchers this season (25.5% K%).

DraftKings. This is a very tough matchup for Jose Soriano, who struggles with his pitch efficiency against left handed hitters. Soriano’s walk rate spikes to 11.8% versus southpaws, while also allowing a .317 wOBA. Against the Guardians, he’ll likely face 7-8 lefties in the lineup today - and they’re also starting to come around at the plate, with a .741 OPS over the last two weeks against righties. Overall, Soriano is under this line in 16 of his last 23 starts, and seven of his last eight on the road.

DraftKings. Bryan Woo’s road struggles have been well chronicled - the Mariners righty is pitching to a 5.96 ERA away from home, staying under this line in 9/14 starts. Having dealt with shoulder soreness recently, Woo was held to only 76 pitches in his last outing (while getting shelled at home). Woo will now face the Red Sox who’ve been hot of late (.831 OPS, 130 wRC+ over the last 30 days versus righties).

DraftKings. Walbert Urena has been a welcomed addition to the Angels rotation. Despite his success, the rookie has struggled mightily with his control. Urena has issued at least three walks in 11/21 outings with at least 60 pitches, registering a 12.3% walk rate in those starts. His struggles are magnified against lefties, whom he issues a free pass to 15.4% of the time. Tonight against the Yankees, he will likely see seven lefties in the lineup, and six of them have a 9.4% walk rate or higher against right handed pitching. At plus odds, this is a strong bet.

DraftKings. Taj Bradley has cleared this line in 17/26 starts, including 7/10 at Target Field where he’s pitched to a 3.02 ERA with a .206 average against. Specifically dominant against lefties (.215 average against, .197 at home), he’s going to see five of them tonight. The Tigers as a team have been really struggling at the plate with a .178 average over the last two weeks against righties.

Caesar’s. Michael King has stayed under this line in 19/27 starts this season. One of the best in baseball at avoiding hard contact, King has an average against of .217, and a hard hit rate of 31.6% (90th percentile). He’ll face a Reds lineup that even in a mini “run” is only hitting .238 over the last two weeks against righties. King’s ability to keep the ball on the ground should suppress the hitter friendly conditions at Great American Ballpark today, and the Reds righty heavy lineup plays into his better split.

DK / Caesar’s. Braxton Ashcraft has stayed under this hits allowed line in 18/26 starts this season. Allowing just 132 hits in 155.1 innings, Ashcraft has yielded just a .232 average against (.230 xBA). He’ll face the Cardinals who have been league average against righties in the second half, hitting .246 (and .242 over the last two weeks).

FanDuel (+106). Matthew Liberatore has stayed under this line in 19/26 starts this season. Pitching to a 5.44 ERA (4.94 xERA), the lefty has not provided the Cardinals much hope for a turnaround, and St. Louis sports a fresh bullpen today, giving them no reason to push Liberatore, who allows an absurd 1.132 OPS the third time through the order. The Pirates are not the strongest of lineups right now, but as inter-division foes, they are familiar with Liberatore, and have had success against the lefty.

Caesar’s / MGM. Going with the same process as my Foster Griffin bet yesterday - the Royals do not hit lefties away from home. Twenty of 24 lefty starters have now stayed under this line at home against KC. Parker Messick is one of baseball’s elite southpaws, and has stayed under this line in 19/26 games, allowing a .206 average (.216 xBA). I’d bet this down to under 4.5 for a partial unit as well (+115 or better).