The Dodgers have allowed three runs, or fewer, in eight of their last 10 games. Bryce Elder has yet to allow more than three runs in any start this season, pwning a 2.29 road ERA. Justin Wrobleski has allowed a combined two runs in his last 32 innings and yet to allow a home run this season as well. Two able average starters backed by two of the top bullpens in the major is a recipe for a low scoring affair on Sunday afternoon.
Logan Gilbert has struggled recently as Davis Martin has the numbers Gilbert should have. Martin has only allowed more than to runs once in his first seven starts this season and Seattle is only hitting .233 against righties on the road thus far. Gilbert is a strikeout dependent pitcher but hasn’t been missing many bats and has allowed at least one, or more, home runs in four of his last five starts. The White Sox are still hitting .273 over their last seven days despite losing four of their last six.
New York is averaging 5.5 runs per game while also scoring at least seven runs in six of their last seven games. The Brewers are averaging 6.4 runs per game over their last eight games overall. This is a low total since both pitchers have been in good form to start the season. However, Max Fried has struggled in his last two starts against Milwaukee, allowing a combined nine runs in 10.2 innings. The Yankees should be able to get to Jacob Misiorowski since he’s allowed three runs in three of his last five starts.
Two rookie pitchers on the bump this afternoon and they both have combined for 25 walks in 38 innings, but the total has dropped since the opener. Noah Schultz is in great form currently, as he’s allowed just three earned runs across his last three starts. The Angels offensive struggles at home have continued into this season, batting .209, last in the majors. Walbert Urena is off a quality start, forcing a lot of ground balls to counter the walks and has a favorable matchup against a Chicago team hitting .239 on the road.
George Kirby faces one of the best lineups in baseball tonight but the Braves are without Ronald Acuna Jr. again tonight. Everyone knows that Seattle is a pitcher friendly ballpark as Kirby has only allowed three runs or more twice in his first seven starts of the season. Bryce Elder is off to a great start this season and has the edge against a Mariners lineup hitting .205 over their last seven days. These are also two of the best bullpens in the league to this point, both under 3.33 ERAs.
New York is averaging 3.44 runs per game and batting .231 against right-handers. Jack Kochanowicz owns a 0.79 home ERA in 11 innings pitched, only allowing three runs once in his five appearances thus far. The Angels are batting .228 against right-handers, and face Clay Holmes who owns a 2.04 road ERA. Nine of the Mets' last 12 games have not gone over eight total runs and seven of Los Angeles' last 12 games have not reached nine runs.
Despite winning five of their last six games, Tampa Bay is only hitting .222 over their last seven days. The Giants offense has been inconsistent for the majority of the season, hitting .237 on the road against lefties. Robbie Ray has allowed a combined five earned runs on the road, both losses, but back by, currently, the best bullpen in the NL with a 3.19 ERA. San Francisco is currently 30th in the majors for runs scored with 104. The Rays tend to lean towards tight, structured games as suggested by this total.
This is only JR Ritchie’s second big league start of his career. He has favorable matchup against Detroit who has been struggling on the road against righties, hitting .234. The Braves have been one of the best teams against lefties thus far but Tarik Skubal is a different pitcher. He’s off one of his worst starts of the season, allowing four earned runs to the Brewers at home. Skubal does own a 0.99 WHIP and bounced back the last time he allowed four runs this season allowing one run in his next outing. The game has gone under the total in five of the last seven between these two as well.
This is a rather short line for one of the best teams in baseball. The Tigers started the year off struggling against lefties but have been one of hotter teams against lefties of late. Detroit’s bullpen isn’t in the best form but they should still be able to give Casey Mize some run support with the public all over the Braves.
Dustin May owns a 5.84 ERA and 1.54 WHIP on the season but has only allowed one earned runs in each of his last three starts. However, St. Louis has scored seven total runs over their last four games. The Pirates have been the much better overall team has than their opponents thus far.
Texas has scored at least five runs in five of the last six games. The Rangers just faced Bryan Woo, who struggled against them when they met over a week ago, allowing three runs in five innings. Seattle is, currently, one of the worst offensive teams in the league, failing to score more than two runs in three of their last four games. They’re batting under .200 against left-handers, and facing MacKenzie Gore, who’s allowed a combined five runs in his last three starts. The Rangers are also top-10 in the league offensively on the road.
Both starting pitchers come into this one struggling. Mark Burrows had allowed at least three runs, or more, in three of his first four starts and is coming off his worst start of the season, allowing six runs in Seattle’s pitcher friendly ballpark. Matthew Liberatore had allowed four runs in each of his last two starts, with three or his four start going over 10+ runs. Each bullpen owns an ERA above five as well, expect runs to continue.
Kind of fishy for Seattle to be away favorites since they’re 1-5 SU on the road to kick off the season. Bryan Woo takes the bump for the M’s, who’s off to a great start this season, statistically, while also being 3-0 SU with a 2.33 ERA and 16 strikeouts in three starts against San Diego. The Mariners bullpen is fully rested and Michael King is off the rocky start, with control issues and allowing a combined six runs in his last 11.2 innings.
St. Louis has been playing much better offensively, averaging more than six runs per game in their last three games. They’ve also done well batting against lefties as they’re facing Ranger Suarez, who had a rocky start to the season, allowing a combined eight runs in his two starts. The Red Sox only have one win on the road, averaging less than three runs per game in their six road games. Kyle Leahy had a rough start to the season at home, allowing four earned runs against the Mets, but Boston is only hitting .201 on the road thus far.
Cleveland has had a lot of success batting against lefties, hitting .306 on the road against them. Martin Perez struggled in his last start, giving up four runs in the loss, while the Braves have lost both of his starts thus far. Perez has also struggled against Cleveland, giving up at least three runs in two of his last three starts against them. With Atlanta’s Parker Messick has been dominant on the mound so far, giving up only one run in his first 11 innings and their bullpen is also performing better than the Braves.