George Kirby just allowed eight runs in four innings in game three. Seattle may be the better overall team but their pitching has let them down since going up 2-0. The Blue Jays are 57-29 at home on the year and have the lowest strikeout rate in the majors. Their bats are hotter and have multiple players hitting over .300 this series. Shane Bieber held Seattle to only two runs last Wednesday in six innings of work and Max Scherzer is also available tonight in a hostile environment to send their team to the World Series.

Toronto has lost seven of its last nine games against right-handed pitchers with an ERA under 3.50. Logan Gilbert will start instead of Luis Castillo and Gilbert has held his opponents to two runs, or less, in each of his last seven starts. The Blue Jays have won all four of Trey Yesavage’s appearances and can't afford to go down 0-2 with three games in Seattle coming up. Gilbert is off short rest in, almost, a must win for the Blue Jays.

Cristopher Sanchez owns a 4.91 ERA in three starts against the Dodgers, allowing 10 earned runs. Tyler Glasnow, at home, owns a 2.77 ERA in 11 starts and will need to go longer than two innings, keeping their bullpen of the game until the later innings. Los Angeles will not want to travel back to the Bank for game 5 as they’re still 52-30 SU as a home favorite on the season.

Instead of going with either of their two best starters, Aaron Nola goes for the Phillies owning a 6.97 road ERA. In his one outing against Los Angeles this season, he allowed three runs in seven innings. But the Dodgers are hitting .373 this postseason at home. Yoshinobu Yamamoto blanked this same lineup in early April but with their season on the line, you’d except Philadelphia best hitters to go out swinging. If they don’t, they could get to this Dodgers bullpen owning a 6.97 ERA these playoffs.

Bullpen day for Toronto. The Blue Jays bullpen was middle of the pack during the regular season, 3.98 ERA, but in the playoffs so far, 8.76 ERA while allowing 19 hits and 12 earned runs. Cam Schlittler goes for New York, off the best start of his young career, looking for lightning to strike twice when his team needs him the most. After a home win, the Yankees are 57-39 SU and may have the momentum offensively after yesterday’s game in a win-or-go-home situation.

In six playoffs starts with the Padres, Darvish has gone 6+ innings while holding his opponents to less than three runs in all six starts. He’s backed by one of the top bullpens during the regular season with a 3.06 ERA. Their bullpen has allowed just one run in 9.1 innings thus far and the Cubs are only hitting .175 as a team in the first two games of this series. James Taillon pitched well down the stretch allowing two runs, or less, in each of his last six starts with top five bullpen in the NL this season.

Tanner Bibee pitched very well at the end of the season. This will be the 3rd he faces the Tigers in the last 15 days, holding them to two combined runs in his last two outings. Casey Mize starts for Detroit and may have a short lease since he’s allowed two runs, or more, in nine of his last 10 starts. The Guardians will look to stay alive with their hostile home crowd backing them along with the better bullpen.

These are been two of the best offensive teams in the league when facing left-handers, but it’s a new season now. Max Fried owns a 2.37 home ERA and have faced Boston for 18.1 innings this season, allowing four earned runs. Garrett Crochet has pitched his best on the road, 2.25 ERA, but when facing the Yankees this season he’s allowed 10 earned runs and five home runs. Boston, statistically, has the better bullpen, but New York has been in better overall form ending the season while also winning seven of Fried’s last eight starts.

Neither team has anything to play for in this final weekend of the season. However, Mason Barnett is now the starter for the A’s, owning a 7.56 ERA this season. He has progress over his last four starts but has still allowed three runs, or more, in three of those four. Noah Cameron has pitched very well on the road this season, 2.86 ERA, and Kansas City has won three of his four starts in September. He has allowed at least one home run in each of his last seven starts but the Royals have the better bullpen if needed.

Shota Imanaga has been inconsistent for most of the season. In September, he’s allowed three earned runs in each of his four starts, owning a 4.91 ERA. He’s also allowed a combined five home runs in his last two starts. Nolan McLean has yet to allow more than two earned runs all seven of his starts thus far, with the Mets winning five of those games as well. New York cannot afford to lose any more games this season as the Reds are only a half game back of the final Wild Card spot in the NL.

Stephen Kolek has pitched very well since being acquired by the Royals. He’s allowed two runs, or less, in each of four starts for Kansas City despite his team going 2-2 SU in those outings, struggling to give him run support. Yusei Kikuchi owns a 3.00 home ERA, and the Royals have only been hitting .237 against lefties on the season.

Boston currently holds a one game lead for the AL Wild Card and send out their ace tonight. Garrett Crochet owns a 2.42 road ERA with a 12-2 SU record. Still no Bo Bichette for the Blue Jays and Max Scherzer is off of allowing seven earned runs on the road to Kansas City. Toronto has hit lefties well all season, but the numbers are little down in September. They already locked up a playoff spot while the Red Sox magic number is down to three to clinch a spot in the postseason.

Detroit continues to have an awful second half of the season. Jack Flahtery has been one of the least profitable pitchers on the road this season, with a 5.20 ERA and the Tigers have lost six of his last seven road starts. Cleveland has all the motivation right now, and playing better baseball, tied with the Tigers for the division. Tanner Bibee is currently pitching the best he has this season, a combined three runs in his last three starts, all Cleveland victories, while also defeating the Tigers in his last outing.

Detroit is six games under .500 in the second half of the season, barely holding onto the division lead at this point. The Guardians are one game back for the division and send out Gavin Williams who has been pitching very well, three earned runs, or less, in each of his last six starts. Cleveland got the victory in their last game against Tarik Skubal, who still may be dealing with tightness to his left side, but the value lies with the Guardians as Detroit is in danger of missing the playoffs, hitting .233 in September.

San Francisco just ended a tough four game series against the Dodgers, losing three out of four. They sit three games back of the final wild card spot and send out Justin Verlander, who’s allowed a combined one earned run over his last four starts. Both teams have struggled offensively in September with the Cardinals hitting .230 and San Francisco hitting .225. Michael McGreevy has allowed one earned run or less in three of his last four games as well.