Can the Lobos remain perfect at home? ...

New Mexico State is just 1-5 SU on the road on the year, with their lone victory was over the Blue Hens of Delaware near the bottom of the country in the NET rankings. LA Tech is 11-1 SU at home on the year and has one of the more efficient defenses in the country. The Bulldogs are 3rd in the country in scoring defense and holding their opponents to under 63 points, on average, at home thus far. This is certainly a fishy line with New Mexico State desperate for a win but the defensive abilities from the Bulldogs, especially at home, should be enough tonight.

Florida Atlantic is another team desperate for a win, losers of three straight. The Owls may have got caught looking ahead in their last home loss against East Carolina. Tulsa is the much better overall team despite the Owls, most likely, having more success offensively at home. However, Florida Atlantic is trending towards in the bottom of the country in scoring defense and they are not playing well at the moment. The Owls are 5-5 ATS against conference opponents while Tulsa is 6-3 ATS.

Buffalo caught the Redhawks sleeping and should’ve won the first meeting. Miami Ohio is not going to be taking the Bulls lightly tonight. Buffalo hit 13 threes in first match but the Red Hawks, coaches and players, have said they’re looking to improve their defense. Miami Ohio spaces the floor almost as good as anyone in the country and for the Bulls to win they might need to reach the century mark tonight. Buffalo’s defense is one of the worst in the country and the Redhawks should be ready tonight.

This is a revenge spot for Sacramento State. The Wildcats got the first meeting at home but now they’re shorthanded in the second matchup. Sacramento State’s Mikey Williams and Prophet Johnson are playing at a high-level and the Hornets are winners of four of their last six. Their also 8-1 SU at home as well as 5-1 ATS, where they push the pace and play uptempo.

Nebraska returns home after three of four on the road and after being handed their first loss of the season. Both teams take more than half of their shots from three but the Cornhuskers defend the perimeter better than Illinois. The Fighting Illini are due for some regression after winning eight straight conference games and this is a focused spot for Nebraska off a loss with a good home court advantage.

No Braden Huff for Gonzaga tomorrow and Graham Ike is currently questionable. Ike has been sidelined for 15 day and even if he does play, he may not be 100%. This is matchup that the Gaels and Randy Bennett know well. Saint Mary’s has won and covered three of the last four meetings while also winning outright five of the last seven. There’s something about Bennett's ability to game plan for the Bulldogs and make them play his style. Without Huff, and maybe Ike, the Gaels have a better chance to battle on the boards.

Michigan has the size advantage but the Spartans have the best player on the floor in Jeremy Fears. Michigan State has owned the Wolverines, seven wins and covers in the last nine meetings. Michigan has yet to cover a game in 2026, seven straight non-covers. Each team's backcourts will be the deciding factor tonight, with the edge going to the Spartans. Michigan’s Elliot Cadeau has played well but struggles with turnovers in big moments. This one should come down to who takes better care of the basketball which in this case has been the Spartans thus far in the season.

Initially was leaning Georgia, especially off a loss. However, the Volunteers just played a team similar in style, Alabama, and won on the road. The Volunteers' defense is not as dominant as in seasons past but it’s trending upwards. Texas was able to make the Bulldogs play a half-court game in the second half last game and what better team to do that again than Tennessee. This is a tough rebounding matchup for the Bulldogs as Tennessee leads the nation in offensive boards and the Bulldogs are near the bottom of the country in keeping their opponents off the offensive glass.

Arizona has four top-25 victories and the Cougars have zero, as they’re 0-2 SU against top-15 teams. On the season, BYU is 8-11 ATS and 2-4 ATS in the Big 12 play. The Cougars have struggled with turnovers in conference play and have shown they can get off the slow starts which is something you can’t do against Arizona. The Cougars really have three main players and Arizona has the defensive capability of limiting their production. The Wildcats are the deeper team, being able to be efficient on offense in many ways.

The line continues to move in UConn's favor but the Huskies have yet to cover the number in 2026, 0-5 ATS. Villanova seems undervalued here as their 5-1 SU on the road and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games against the Huskies. This should be a slower paced game with these two being familiar with one another as the under has hit in five straight meetings. Villanova is another strong defensive team that can create turnovers as the Huskies haven’t been as sharp protecting the ball. The Wildcats also have been more consistent from beyond the arc and will need to limit UConn on the offensive glass.

This is one of the highest totals between these two. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings but why is this one so high? Akron pushes the tempo and scores in bunches, and the Bobcats have shown it can contribute offensively at home, averaging 79.1 points. Ohio’s defense will struggle slowing down the 20th best offense, currently, in the country as their opponents are shooting over 52% from the floor. With Zips averaging over 90 points per game, this total sets up for a fast-paced, high-scoring contest.

These are two teams that aren’t going to be playing very fast. Marist, surprisingly, continues to have one of the better defenses in the country, despite playing in the MAAC. The Red Foxes lean more heavily on the defensive side of the ball and Siena’s offense has been inconsistent under first year head coach Gerry McNamara. Neither team has shot the three well this season and both teams play some their best defense in their home/road splits. On the road, the Red Foxes are holding their opponents to under 68 points, on average, and Siena’s defense at home is limiting their opponents to under 67 points.

Eventually, Miami Ohio’s luck is gonna run out and hopefully this does not jinx that. However, the Redhawks did have a scare in their last game, but they’ve been finding ways to win all season. Their the better team on both ends of the ball, especially defensive. The Redhawks are also 12-4 ATS on the season and 3-0 SU on the road.

SMU is 1-2 SU in its last three and 3-3 ATS. The Mustangs are going to want to push the pace at home where they’re 11-0 SU. However, besides of Duke, the Cavaliers are one of the most fundamentally sound teams the Mustangs have faced yet. Virginia’s offense is much improved than season’s past under Ryan Odom and their team can play any style. The Cavaliers already went on a road to Louisville and took them down as the Cardinals play a similar style. Virginia will take away transitions and make this a half-court game where they have the upper hand.