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Thu, Mar 2611:10 pm UTCSAP Center at San Jose
Texas
Longhorns
TEXAS
Last 5 ATS
W/L14-15
ATS21-15
O/U21-15-0
FINAL SCORE
77
-
79
Purdue
Boilermakers
PURDUE
Last 5 ATS
W/L28-9
ATS17-22
O/U21-18-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
14-15
Win /Loss
28-9
21-15
Spread
17-22
21-15-0
Over / Under
21-18-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TEXAS @ PURDUE
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MONEYLINE
TEXAS @ PURDUE
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OVER / UNDER
TEXAS @ PURDUE
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63%
PUBLIC
37%
MONEY
14%
PUBLIC
86%
MONEY
Over74%
PUBLIC
Under26%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over/UnderUnder 147.5 -108
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1266
66-48 Last 114 CBB
Bob's Analysis:

Purdue has to cool off eventually after two of their best shooting performances of the season. The Longhorns don’t give up many three’s, only allowing their opponents to shoot them 33% of the time. Texas doesn’t shot many threes and even if they do, they're inconsistent. The Longhorns want to get to the free throw line but Purdue does a great job keeping their opponents off the stripe. Both teams like a slow half-court game and the total continues to drop.

Pick Made: Mar 26, 8:30 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadPurdue -7.5 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1199
77-59 Last 136 CBB
+121
46-41 Last 87 CBB ATS
Micah's Analysis:

Texas has won its first three games of the NCAA Tournament, and now it's made it to the Sweet 16 in San Jose to face second-seed Purdue. Texas had lost its last three games before the tournament started and had 14 losses on the season. Thinking about what Purdue can do to this team, you can't help but think about Texas losing to Mississippi in the SEC tournament and Oklahoma at home. If Purdue just plays their regular game, which is making lots of 3-pointers and not turning the ball over, it’ll be fine. They are third in the nation with 19.9 assists per game. I think that if Purdue just plays their regular game, it should win by 12 or more.

Pick Made: Mar 26, 7:20 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadPurdue -6.5 -122
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1530
28-12 Last 40 CBB
+1098
14-3 Last 17 CBB ATS
Eric's Analysis:

There's nothing more as an Arizona fan that I would like to see than Sean Miller vs. his former team with a spot at the Final Four on the line. But it's not gonna happen. I think Purdue rolls on Thursday behind an efficient offense and the fact that Texas' three wins in this tournament were against teams that had been declining in recent months. Texas is 2-7 when scoring less than 74 points, while Purdue hasn't given up 74 or more points in 15 of their last 21 games. I think this game is a no-contest result from the early stages - something like 81-65 Boilermakers.

Pick Made: Mar 24, 8:50 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Texas Longhorns
Monday, May 18, 2026
Avatar
F
Lassina Traore
Knee
Monday, Apr 20, 2026
Avatar
G
Dailyn Swain
Pro Draft Prep
Purdue Boilermakers
No Player Injuries
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