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Thu, Mar 191:15 am UTCUniversity of Dayton Arena
Miami (Ohio)
RedHawks
MIAOH
Last 5 ATS
W/L29-2
ATS20-11
O/U19-12-0
FINAL SCORE
89
-
79
SMU
Mustangs
SMU
Last 5 ATS
W/L20-14
ATS14-19
O/U21-12-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
29-2
Win /Loss
20-14
20-11
Spread
14-19
19-12-0
Over / Under
21-12-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIAOH @ SMU
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MONEYLINE
MIAOH @ SMU
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OVER / UNDER
MIAOH @ SMU
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26%
PUBLIC
74%
MONEY
79%
PUBLIC
21%
MONEY
Over74%
PUBLIC
Under26%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadMiami (Ohio) +7.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1308
44-28 Last 72 CBB ATS
Bob's Analysis:

This may be the last time we can place a wager one of the Discords favorite teams this season. Yes, there are two other experts on them but we’re rolling with our beloved RedHawks. SMU's BJ Edwards is confirmed out tonight but Corey Washington is now playing. You can expect a rowdy bunch of Miami Ohio fans tonight as their campus is only 50 minutes away and Coach Steele hinted at the environment as a semi-home game. The pace will be there for the RedHawks efficient offense and even though they haven’t faced top-50 competition to this point, they should find success against SMU’s lackluster defense.

Pick Made: Mar 18, 11:40 pm UTC on Caesars
SpreadMiami (Ohio) +7.5 -118
WIN
Unit1.5
+1530
28-12 Last 40 CBB
+1098
14-3 Last 17 CBB ATS
Eric's Analysis:

Once again, I'm drinking the Miami kool-aid. This is basically a home game for the RedHawks, only an hour away from campus. At 31-1, Miami has something to prove considering their strength of schedule was among the worst in the country. While I wouldn't be shocked if they won the game outright, this line is disrespectful, especially considering that SMU lost 5 of 6 heading into this First Four game.

Pick Made: Mar 18, 5:08 am UTC on BetMGM
Over/UnderOver 163.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+740
15-7 Last 22 CBB
+75
3-2 Last 5 CBB O/U
Chip's Analysis:

Miami (Ohio)’s spacing and shooting should translate even against a power conference defense, in part because SMU’s defensive quality down the stretch of the regular season might have been closer to the MAC than the ACC. The Mustangs ranked 16th out of 18 teams in defensive efficiency in conference play, and gave up 80 points or more in half of their ACC games. SMU does have an advantage with 7-2 center Samet Yigitoglu against Miami’s front line, and the RedHawks defense has been part of the blame for some close calls late in the year and the MAC Tournament loss. Combine those factors with fast tempo and a rowdy crowd for the in-state RedHawks in Dayton and it's easy to envision a high-scoring affair.

Pick Made: Mar 17, 1:35 am UTC on FanDuel
SpreadMiami (Ohio) +7 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1199
77-59 Last 136 CBB
+121
46-41 Last 87 CBB ATS
Micah's Analysis:

It's the First Four of the NCAA Tournament between SMU and Miami of Ohio, and the game is being played in Dayton, Ohio. This game is a better option for Miami than being left out. The mounting pressure was building for Miami. The loss lets them reset and just ball. The fact remains that this team was the No. 1 shooting team in the nation at 52.4%, and they were 9th nationally shooting 39.2% from 3-point range. They've been the hunted all season, and now they become the hunters. They're getting points and lots of them. SMU is a good shooting team as well, but they lost five of their last six games. I bet that Miami shoots better and wins this game.

Pick Made: Mar 16, 8:21 pm UTC on Caesars

Team Injuries

Miami (Ohio) RedHawks
Monday, Apr 27, 2026
Avatar
G
Eian Elmer
Pro Draft Prep
Monday, Feb 09, 2026
Avatar
G
Evan Ipsaro
Knee
SMU Mustangs
Thursday, Apr 09, 2026
Avatar
F
Sam Walters
Transfer Portal
Tuesday, Apr 07, 2026
Avatar
F
Chance Puryear
Transfer Portal
Thursday, Mar 19, 2026
Avatar
G
B.J. Edwards
Ankle
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