Washington’s problematic bullpen nearly blew a big lead in yesterday’s win against the Houston Astros. They were able to hold on and win 12 to 11. Today their bullpen will be relied on even more, as Andrew Alvarez has a maximum innings range of four to five total. Take the Astros who have won three straight road starts with Tatsuya Imai on the mound.

While the Astros bullpen has improved drastically over the last month, the Nationals bullpen is still allowing more home runs than any other bullpen in baseball, with 64. The Nationals are one of four bullpens teams with an ERA over 5.00. They are also the best over team in baseball. They're 55-33-4 to the over or hitting 62.5%. They score 5.4 runs per game, but they also allow 5.29 runs per game, for a total of 10.7 runs per game. They're going to get scored upon, but chances are they're going to score more than their opponent, like yesterday when they won 12-11. Over is the play.